Match Analysis: Virginia Cavaliers vs William and Mary Tribe – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, VA
Game Overview
The Virginia Cavaliers host the William & Mary Tribe in an ACC vs FCS matchup. Virginia is a Power 5 team with a strong running game and solid offense, while William & Mary has struggled against quality opponents and is stepping up in competition.
Key Factors to Consider
- Virginia has a balanced offensive attack, highlighted by a potent running game averaging over 180 yards from their lead back, and a quarterback completing 70% of passes with 3 TDs. William & Mary is averaging 134 rushing yards and a passing QB with a 64% completion rate but faces defensive struggles, allowing 25 points per game.
- There is limited recent direct head-to-head data as William & Mary seldom faces ACC teams. Prior games show Virginia dominating similar matchups versus FCS opponents.
- No significant injuries reported for Virginia; William & Mary details are less clear but no major absences reported affecting starting QB and defensive leaders.
- Game at Virginia’s home stadium with favorable weather (78°F, clear). Virginia has the advantage in facilities and fan support. No adverse weather or travel fatigue factors.
- Virginia aims to bounce back from a close loss and prepare for a tougher upcoming schedule (Stanford game). William & Mary seeks an upset to prove competitiveness but historically struggles stepping up to Power 5 competition.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Virginia -4500, William and Mary +1600 | Virginia Cavaliers | ★★★★★ 94% |
| Spread | Virginia -26.5 -114, William and Mary +26.5 -106 | Virginia Cavaliers -26.5 | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Over/under | Over 51.5 -114, Under 51.5 -106 | Over 51.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Virginia Cavaliers -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 51.5 28% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Virginia Cavaliers to win outright on the moneyline, cover the 26.5-point spread, and the total points to go over 51.5
Predicted Score: Virginia Cavaliers 38 – William and Mary Tribe 10