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NAC Breda vs. Willem II Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: NAC Breda vs Willem II – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 12:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda, Netherlands

Game Overview

The match between NAC Breda and Willem II is a crucial Eredivisie encounter near the season's end, taking place at NAC Breda's home ground. Both teams are struggling near the bottom of the table, with NAC Breda in 15th and Willem II in 16th place. Recent form shows both sides have been underperforming, with multiple losses and draws in their last five matches, indicating a tense and cautious contest likely focused on defensive solidity and taking advantage of limited chances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • NAC Breda's recent form includes two draws followed by three losses, showing inconsistency and defensive vulnerabilities. Willem II has an even poorer run with four losses and a single draw in their last five matches. Both teams have struggled offensively and defensively, reflected in low expected goals (xG) metrics around 1.58 for NAC Breda versus 0.86 for Willem II, indicating limited attacking threat especially from the visitors.
  • This season, NAC Breda and Willem II have met once, with NAC Breda holding a slight edge in overall standings and expected points. Historically, matches between these two have been closely contested given their neighboring league positions. The home advantage at Rat Verlegh Stadion slightly favors NAC Breda, but previous outcomes suggest tight competition without a dominant side.
  • No explicit data on injuries is available from current sources, but typical late-season fatigue and minor injuries can be expected for both squads, potentially impacting squad depth and tactical choices.
  • Playing at home provides NAC Breda with familiar conditions and fan support. Weather or pitch conditions are not detailed but should be standard for Eredivisie in May. Motivation-wise, both teams have much to play for to avoid relegation threats, adding intensity to the fixture.
  • Given their low positions near the relegation zone, both teams are highly motivated to secure points. NAC Breda, being slightly higher in the table, will aim to consolidate their spot, while Willem II desperately needs a result to improve their survival chances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline NAC Breda: -114, Willem II: 275, Draw: 255 NAC Breda Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread NAC Breda -0.5: -114, Willem II +50: -106 NAC Breda -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.75: -103, Under 2.75: -117 Under 2.75 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline NAC Breda 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

NAC Breda are favored to win narrowly due to home advantage, slightly better expected goals statistics, and a marginally stronger recent performance. A low-scoring game with strong defensive focus from both sides is expected, making a close victory or draw plausible.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Willem II vs. FC Zwolle Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Willem II vs FC Zwolle – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 14, 2025
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg

Game Overview

This match between Willem II and FC Zwolle will take place in the Netherlands Eredivisie. Both teams are closely positioned in the league standings, with Willem II at 12th and FC Zwolle at 13th. The dynamics of the match could be influenced by their recent head-to-head performances and current team form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Willem II has shown some inconsistent form recently, losing several matches before drawing against NEC. FC Zwolle has also faced challenges, but they've had tighter contests against some top teams. Performance-wise, both teams have had mixed results.
  • In recent encounters, Willem II and FC Zwolle have had varied outcomes. The last match saw Willem II win 1-0 against Zwolle, but historically, Zwolle has been competitive, including a win and a draw in previous encounters.
  • No detailed injury reports are mentioned for this specific matchup, but injuries could potentially affect team performances.
  • Weather and spectator support could also influence the game. Home advantage often benefits Willem II, but FC Zwolle has shown resilience in away matches.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their league standings. Willem II has been closer to the bottom half of the table and needs a win to avoid dropping further, while FC Zwolle is similarly driven to move up.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Willem II: 155, FC Zwolle: 147, Draw: 255 Willem II Not available
Spread Willem II: -107, FC Zwolle: -113 Willem II Not available
Over/under Over 2.5: -128, Under 2.5: 108 Under 2.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Willem II -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 21%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given their recent form and the close league positions, this match could see a competitive and possibly low-scoring outcome. However, Willem II's home advantage might give them a slight edge.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Willem II


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Willem II vs. Heracles Almelo Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Willem II vs Heracles Almelo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-09
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg, Netherlands

Game Overview

Willem II Tilburg hosts Heracles Almelo in an Eredivisie clash where the home team is struggling near the relegation zone (16th, 25 points), while the visitors (12th, 35 points) are comfortably mid-table. Willem II has lost five of their last six home matches, while Heracles has lost three of their last six away. The match is expected to feature attacking play, with the total score likely to exceed 2.5 goals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Willem II has only managed 3 wins in their last 23 Eredivisie matches and is on a run of 5 straight home defeats. Heracles, though inconsistent, has fared better, especially given their higher league position and recent results.
  • In 33 H2H matches, Willem II has lost 18 times to Heracles. In their most recent encounters this season, Heracles has generally had the upper hand.
  • No specific injury news reported for either team.
  • No significant external disruptions reported. The match will be played at Willem II's home stadium, but their recent poor home form diminishes the home advantage.
  • Willem II has strong motivation to avoid relegation, but poor form may impact confidence. Heracles, while safe from relegation, will aim for a higher finish and pride.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Heracles Almelo: 170, Willem II: 150, Draw: 230 Heracles Almelo β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Spread Heracles Almelo: 0 -102, Willem II: 0 -118 Heracles Almelo (Draw No Bet) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 50%
Over/under Over 2.5: -120, Under 2.5: 100 Over 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Heracles Almelo 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 19%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Heracles Almelo is the more consistent team, and given Willem II's dire home form and poor head-to-head record, Heracles is the safer bet to win or at least avoid defeat. Goals are likely, with both teams finding the net and the match finishing over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: Heracles Almelo 2 – 1 Willem II


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 9, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 9, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
AC Milan vs. Bologna Prediction Under 2.5 -116 30%
VfL Wolfsburg vs. TSG Hoffenheim Prediction VfL Wolfsburg 125 24%
Willem II vs. Heracles Almelo Prediction Over 2.5 -120 19%

Combined Odds: +668 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $153.62

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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – May 9, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
AC Milan vs. Bologna Prediction Under 2.5 -116 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70% (70%)
Las Palmas vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction Draw Win 230 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65% (65%)
Willem II vs. Heracles Almelo Prediction Over 2.5 -120 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +1027

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $225.31

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NEC Nijmegen vs. Willem II Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 3 May 2025
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen

Game Overview

NEC Nijmegen (13th) faces Willem II (16th) in an Eredivisie clash, with NEC dominating historical head-to-head records (17 wins vs. 3). Both teams are struggling for form, but NEC holds a significant edge in historical performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • NEC in poor form (2 away wins), Willem II winless in last 5 matches. NEC's home advantage could be pivotal given Willem II's away record.
  • NEC won 17 of 28 meetings (3 losses), with 41:24 aggregate goals. Recent H2H shows NEC as consistent favorites.
  • No specific injury data available from sources.
  • No weather/stadium concerns reported. Match played at NEC's home ground (Goffertstadion).
  • Both teams battling mid-lower table positions, potentially influencing defensive tactics.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline NEC -170 / Draw 295 / Willem II 440 NEC Nijmegen Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread NEC -1 (100) / Willem II +1 (-120) Willem II +1 Cover β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.75 (100) / Under 2.75 (-120) Under 2.75 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 10%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

NEC Nijmegen win (1-0 or 2-1) due to H2H dominance and home advantage, though low-scoring game likely given teams' recent forms.

Predicted Score: 2-1 (NEC Nijmegen)


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Fortuna Sittard vs. Willem II Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fortuna Sittard vs Willem II – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-27
  • Time: 10:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard-Geleen, Netherlands

Game Overview

Fortuna Sittard hosts Willem II in a tightly contested Eredivisie match, with historical head-to-head results showing near-parity. Both teams have shown inconsistent form recently, making this a balanced encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fortuna averages 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in their last 5 matches; Willem II averages 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded[4].
  • 16 total meetings: 5 Fortuna wins, 6 Willem II wins, 5 draws. Last 5 matches: 2 Fortuna wins, 1 draw, 2 Willem II wins[2][4].
  • No injury data available in provided sources.
  • Oddspedia's algorithm predicts a 1-1 draw[5], suggesting bookmakers may underestimate draw potential.
  • Both teams sit mid-table with limited relegation/promotion stakes, though late-season form could influence squad rotations.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fortuna -125, Willem II +350, Draw +250 Draw (Value Play) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread Fortuna -0.5 (-122), Willem II +50 (+102) Willem II +0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-122), Under 2.25 (+102) Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fortuna Sittard 103%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Fortuna Sittard at 103% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

High-value draw likely given historical parity and current defensive vulnerabilities.

Predicted Score: 1-1 (Draw)


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Willem II vs. Ajax Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Willem II vs Ajax – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-13
  • Time: 2:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg, Netherlands

Game Overview

Willem II Tilburg is facing a challenging match against AFC Ajax Amsterdam in the Eredivisie. Willem II has been struggling with a winless streak, while Ajax is dominating the league, seeking another victory to secure their title lead.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Willem II is currently on an 11-match winless streak and a six-game losing streak, while Ajax has won all but one of their last 13 league matches.
  • Ajax has won 79 out of 96 meetings with Willem II, including their last four encounters. Willem II has struggled to secure a clean sheet in this fixture.
  • Willem II is missing key players like Boris Lambert, MickaΓ«l Tirpan, and Cisse Sandra, while Ajax is dealing with injuries to Remko Pasveer, Youri Regeer, and Youri Baas.
  • The home advantage for Willem II may not be sufficient given Ajax's strong away record.
  • Ajax is highly motivated to win as they pursue the Eredivisie title.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ajax -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 27%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ajax is likely to win the match due to their superior form and past performance against Willem II.

Predicted Score: 0-2 in favor of Ajax


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Heerenveen vs. Willem II Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Heerenveen vs Willem II – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-04
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Abe Lenstra Stadion

Game Overview

This match features Heerenveen, who are currently in 11th place in the Eredivisie standings, hosting Willem II, who are in 16th place. Heerenveen has a mixed form, while Willem II is struggling, having not won a game since December 2024.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Heerenveen has been inconsistent lately, winning only one of their last five home games. Willem II's recent form is worse, with a ten-match winless streak and five consecutive losses.
  • Historically, Heerenveen has the edge with more wins against Willem II. In their last 56 meetings, Heerenveen won 23 times compared to Willem II's 17 wins, with 16 draws.
  • Heerenveen faces injuries with Pawel Bochniewicz, Luuk Brouwers, and Jacob Trenskow set to miss the game. Willem II has no reported major injuries.
  • Both teams are under pressure but for different reasons. Heerenveen aims to avoid relegation trouble, while Willem II fights to remain in the Eredivisie.
  • Motivation is high for both teams, but Willem II's desperation for a win might lead to an open game, increasing the likelihood of more goals being scored.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Predicted Outcome

Given Heerenveen's home advantage and historical edge, they are favored to win, but Willem II's desperation could lead to a competitive match.

Predicted Score: 2-1 to Heerenveen


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Willem II vs. Almere City Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Willem II vs Almere City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-29
  • Time: 5:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg, Netherlands

Game Overview

Willem II hosts Almere City in a Dutch Eredivisie match. Willem II ranks 13th, while Almere City is 18th. Willem II aims to secure points to improve their standing, while Almere City seeks to avoid relegation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Willem II has a better record with 6 wins and 6 draws compared to Almere City's 3 wins and 6 draws. Willem II's home advantage could be decisive.
  • Recent head-to-head matches show Willem II winning 1-0 against Almere City on October 4, 2024. However, Almere City won a previous meeting 1-0 on January 15, 2023.
  • No specific injury reports were available for this match.
  • Weather conditions are not expected to significantly impact the match. The home crowd might boost Willem II's morale.
  • Willem II is more motivated to secure points to avoid relegation worries, while Almere City is under pressure to survive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Almere City 230, Willem II 120, Draw 210 Willem II β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread Almere City +25 -110, Willem II -0.25 -110 Willem II -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over_under Over 2.25 -110, Under 2.25 -110 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Predicted Outcome

Willem II is likely to win due to their home advantage and superior league standing.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Willem II


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