Match Analysis: Wilkens Mathieu vs Shakeel Phinn – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-31
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Montreal Casino, Montreal, Canada
Game Overview
Wilkens Mathieu, an undefeated young fighter with a 14-0 record, faces the more experienced Shakeel Phinn (27-3-2) in a 10-round Super Middleweight bout. Mathieu is favored heavily due to his youth, height, KO power, and recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mathieu is undefeated with 14 wins, 10 by KO, showing 71% knockout power and faster recent rise. Phinn, with 27 wins, 3 losses, and 2 draws, has a 63% KO rate but is 14 years older and less favored.
- No prior head-to-head matchups exist between the fighters.
- No reported injuries for either fighter; both are expected to be at full health.
- The fight is at home for Mathieu at Montreal Casino, providing a home crowd advantage. The bout is scheduled for 10 rounds in the Super Middleweight division with a 168-pound limit.
- Mathieu aims to maintain his perfect record and continue rising quickly, while Phinn looks for a notable upset late in his career. The younger fighter's motivation and upward trajectory are stronger.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wilkens Mathieu -475, Shakeel Phinn +330 | Wilkens Mathieu | ★★★★☆ 79% |
| Spread | Mathieu -2 rounds (-145), Phinn +2 rounds (+125) | Mathieu -2 rounds | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Over/under | Over 7 rounds (-110), Under 7 rounds (-110) | Under 7 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wilkens Mathieu -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Wilkens Mathieu at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Wilkens Mathieu wins by moneyline, covering the spread by at least 2 rounds, and the fight goes under the projected total rounds due to Mathieu's power advantage and aggressive style.
Predicted Score: Mathieu wins by TKO in round 6