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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: 4 Pines Park, Sydney

Game Overview

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles host the Wests Tigers in Round 17 of the 2025 NRL season at 4 Pines Park. The Sea Eagles are positioned 10th on the ladder while the Tigers sit 14th. Manly have made some key lineup changes with Lehi Hopoate returning at fullback, causing shifts in the backline, and some injury-enforced replacements in the forwards. The Tigers are coming off a narrow 16-12 loss to the Raiders and will be motivated to improve their standing. The match is expected to be competitive but the Sea Eagles enter as favorites given their stronger recent form and squad strength.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly Warringah Sea Eagles have shown better recent form and squad depth, especially with key players like Tom Trbojevic shifting to the centres and Reuben Garrick on the wing. Wests Tigers have struggled this season and recently lost narrowly to the Raiders, though they remain competitive.
  • Historically, the Sea Eagles have the upper hand over the Tigers, with recent head-to-head simulations giving Manly a 75% chance to win this match out of 10,000 simulations.
  • Lehi Hopoate returns for Manly from HIA protocol, while Lachlan Croker is out for Wests Tigers due to HIA protocol. Other minor injury replacements include Corey Waddell for Manly and Jake Simpkin comes off the bench for Wests Tigers.
  • The game is played at Manly's home ground 4 Pines Park, which provides a home advantage. Weather or other external factors were not highlighted in source data, so presumably neutral.
  • Wests Tigers are motivated to improve after a close loss last round, whereas Manly seeks to consolidate their top 10 position and build momentum in the second half of the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: -213, Wests Tigers: 183, Draw: 2200 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -7.5: -115, Wests Tigers +7.5: -115 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -7.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 47.5: -115, Under 47.5: -115 Over 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles are predicted to win by a comfortable margin, leveraging their home advantage, stronger squad, and better recent form. Expect a moderately high scoring game with Manly covering the -7.5 spread and total points going over 47.5.

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 28 – Wests Tigers 18


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Wests Tigers vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Friday, June 20, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Campbelltown Sports Stadium

Game Overview

The Wests Tigers, currently 13th in the standings, face off against the Canberra Raiders in Round 16 of the NRL. This match presents a significant challenge for the Tigers, given their lower position and the Raiders' stronger performance in recent games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Raiders have shown superior statistics in most categories, including run metres and line breaks. The Wests Tigers, however, have a higher number of offloads.
  • Recent head-to-head matches have favored the Raiders, but specific details on past performances are not available.
  • No specific injury updates are provided for this match.
  • The home advantage for the Wests Tigers might play a role, but the Raiders' overall performance this season suggests they might overcome it.
  • Both teams are motivated, but the Raiders have more to gain from a win to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders: -275, Wests Tigers: 225, Draw: 2500 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Canberra Raiders: -8.5 -115, Wests Tigers: 8.5 -115 Wests Tigers +8.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -115, Under: 47.5 -115 Over 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Raiders are likely to win due to their superior performance metrics and recent form.

Predicted Score: Wests Tigers 20, Canberra Raiders 28


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Wests Tigers vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 8, 2025
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Wests Tigers face a tough challenge against the Penrith Panthers in Round 14 of the NRL. The Panthers are historically strong, having won recent matches against the Tigers, while the Tigers seek to improve their performance against a top-tier opponent.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith Panthers have shown superior form in previous seasons, with consistent strong performances across their team. Wests Tigers have struggled to match the Panthers' pace and consistency.
  • The Panthers have a favorable head-to-head record, recently defeating the Tigers in their last few encounters.
  • No significant injury updates have been reported for either team, but check for last-minute changes.
  • Weather conditions could impact the game, but no specific weather updates are available. Home advantage might slightly favor the Tigers, but the Panthers' strength often transcends venue.
  • The Panthers are motivated to maintain their position in the league standings, while the Tigers aim to pull off an upset and gain momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Penrith Panthers: -290, Wests Tigers: 230, Draw: 2400 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Penrith Panthers: -9.5 -115, Wests Tigers: 9.5 -115 Penrith Panthers -9.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -115, Under: 47.5 -115 Under 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Penrith Panthers are likely to win based on their historical dominance and recent form.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 24, Wests Tigers 16


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North Queensland Cowboys vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium

Game Overview

North Queensland Cowboys host Wests Tigers in Round 13 of the 2025 NRL Premiership. The Cowboys are favorites at home, where they have historically performed strongly, while Wests Tigers have struggled for consistency and away results. Both teams have crucial motivation: the Cowboys to maintain playoff contention, the Tigers to avoid bottom-table finishes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cowboys have shown improved form with solid wins and narrow losses, while the Tigers' results have been inconsistent with a string of defeats interspersed with occasional upsets. The Cowboys' home record adds further weight to their favor.
  • Cowboys have a positive recent head-to-head record against the Tigers, especially at home. Tigers have pulled off occasional upsets, but Cowboys are dominant more often than not in these matchups[2][3].
  • No major injury crises reported for either team at the time of writing. Minor injuries or late withdrawals may influence bench strength but not the overall outlook.
  • Home crowd, travel for the Tigers (long trip from Sydney to Townsville), and good weather forecasted, all favor the Cowboys.
  • Cowboys are driven to maintain a finals push; Tigers must fight to avoid the wooden spoon, which can sometimes inspire strong performances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cowboys: -280, Tigers: 220, Draw: 2200 Cowboys win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Cowboys -8.5 (-115), Tigers +8.5 (-115) Cowboys cover -8.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 49.5 (-115), Under 49.5 (-115) Over 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Queensland Cowboys 1510%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: North Queensland Cowboys at 1510% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 68.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

North Queensland Cowboys are expected to win, likely covering the spread, with a high probability of a high-scoring game. However, Tigers can be unpredictable and may keep it closer than expected if their defense holds.

Predicted Score: Cowboys 32 – Tigers 18


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Wests Tigers vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 8:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Campbelltown Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Wests Tigers and South Sydney Rabbitohs are evenly matched, with both teams having five wins and five losses. The Tigers have a strong halves combination with Lachlan Galvin and Jarome Luai, while the Rabbitohs are missing key players like Cody Walker. Historically, Souths have the upper hand in head-to-head matches, especially on Sundays.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have similar recent form, but the Tigers have an advantage in their halves combination. The Rabbitohs are missing key players.
  • Souths have won eight of the last ten games against the Tigers, including six in a row on Sundays.
  • The Rabbitohs are missing Cody Walker and Jack Wighton, which could impact their performance.
  • The match is at Campbelltown Stadium, where the Tigers have struggled in recent years, particularly on Sundays.
  • A win would be crucial for both teams, especially with a bye in the next round.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline South Sydney Rabbitohs: -108, Wests Tigers: -109, Draw: 1800 South Sydney Rabbitohs have a slight historical edge, but the odds are very close. ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread South Sydney Rabbitohs: -1.5 105, Wests Tigers: 1.5 -135 Wests Tigers +1.5 due to their strong recent form and the historical struggle of Souths without key players. ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over: 45.5 -115, Under: 45.5 -115 Over 45.5 points, considering the attacking potential of both teams. ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline South Sydney Rabbitohs 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 45.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: South Sydney Rabbitohs at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the historical head-to-head dominance of Souths, particularly on Sundays, they might have a slight edge despite missing key players.

Predicted Score: Wests Tigers 22, South Sydney Rabbitohs 25


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Melbourne Storm vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Melbourne Rectangular Stadium, Melbourne, Australia

Game Overview

The Melbourne Storm are set to host the Wests Tigers in Round 10 of the 2025 NRL season. The Storm enter as heavy favorites, both according to recent form and predictive models, which give them an 83% chance of winning. The Tigers, while capable of upsets, have struggled against Melbourne historically and in recent fixtures.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have been dominant in recent seasons and are currently performing well above league average, particularly at home. The Wests Tigers have been inconsistent, with notable roster and performance issues.
  • Melbourne Storm have a strong recent head-to-head record against the Wests Tigers, winning most of their recent encounters. Last five meetings show Storm favored in both home and away fixtures.
  • No major injuries reported for either side as of now, but always check team lineups on game day for last-minute changes.
  • The match is played at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium, where the Storm have a formidable home record. Weather is not expected to be a factor.
  • Melbourne are motivated to maintain their top-four push, while the Tigers are seeking to upset the odds and gain some momentum in their campaign.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline {Melbourne Storm: -575, Wests Tigers: 395, Draw: 2800} Melbourne Storm High (83%)
Spread {Melbourne Storm: -14.5 -115, Wests Tigers: +14.5 -115} Melbourne Storm covers -14.5 Moderate-High (70%)
Over/under {Over 50.5: -115, Under 50.5: -115} Under 50.5 Moderate (55%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 50.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm are predicted to win by a comfortable margin, likely covering the -14.5 spread. The total is expected to be close to the set line, with a slight lean towards the under due to Melbourne’s strong defense.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 26 – Wests Tigers 10


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Wests Tigers vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 9:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Game Overview

The Wests Tigers (9th) face the St George Illawarra Dragons (10th) in a tightly contested Round 9 NRL clash at Magic Round, with both teams fielding lineup changes. The Dragons debut Corey Allan and promote Lyhkan King-Togia to halfback, while the Tigers deal with off-field distractions surrounding Lachlan Galvin.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Tigers are marginally favored (60% win probability per Stats Insider's model[5]), but face instability due to Galvin's contract dispute[3]. The Dragons' reshaped halves pairing (King-Togia/Ilias) introduces unpredictability[2][4].
  • Recent historical data unavailable in sources, but current rankings (9th vs 10th) suggest parity.
  • Dragons: Hamish Stewart returns from concussion[4]. Corey Allan debuts after 2024 ACL recovery[4]. Tigers: No explicit injury reports, but Galvin's legal issues may affect focus[3].
  • Magic Round atmosphere at Suncorp Stadium could intensify pressure on inexperienced players like King-Togia[4][5].
  • Dragons seek to capitalize on Tigers' off-field turmoil[3], while Wests aim to leverage home crowd momentum (designated home team per NRL draw[1][5]).

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tigers -121 / Dragons +102 / Draw +1900 Wests Tigers ML (-121) ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Tigers -1.5 (-115) / Dragons +1.5 (-115) Tigers -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over 46.5 (-115) / Under 46.5 (-115) Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 54%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Wests Tigers 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Wests Tigers at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Wests Tigers by ≤4 points in high-variance contest. Stats Insider's 60% probability aligns with slight edge, but Dragons' revamped lineup introduces hedging risk[5].

Predicted Score: Wests Tigers 24-20 Dragons


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Wests Tigers vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-27
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Initially listed as Leichhardt, corrected to Campbelltown Stadium, Campbelltown, Australia

Game Overview

This matchup between the Wests Tigers and Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks is anticipated to be a competitive fixture in Round 8 of the 2025 NRL season, with Cronulla favored based on recent form and historical head-to-head records.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla has shown stronger recent performances compared to Wests Tigers, leading to their favoritism in this match.
  • Historically, Cronulla has had an edge over Wests Tigers, which supports their current position as favorites.
  • No specific injury reports are available as of now. However, any notable injuries could impact team performance.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence team morale and performance.
  • Both teams will be highly motivated to secure a win for their respective team standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla -230, Wests Tigers 190 Cronulla ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Cronulla -7.5 -120, Wests Tigers 7.5 -110 Wests Tigers +7.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 47.5 -115, Under 47.5 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on current odds and historical data, Cronulla is likely to win this matchup.

Predicted Score: Cronulla 25, Wests Tigers 22


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Wests Tigers vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-21
  • Time: 6:00 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Wests Tigers will host the Parramatta Eels in Round 7 of the 2025 NRL season. The Tigers are currently positioned 8th on the ladder, coming off a strong 20-6 win over Newcastle, whereas the Eels are struggling at 17th place, recently suffering a heavy 50-12 defeat to the Raiders. The match is expected to be highly competitive despite Parramatta's poor form, largely due to the return of key players, especially skipper Mitchell Moses, who provides a massive boost for the Eels. The Tigers have won their last three games against the Eels at this venue, which gives them a psychological edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Wests Tigers have shown promising form with recent wins and strong individual performances such as Sunia Turuva's seven tries in the last five games. Meanwhile, the Eels have been inconsistent, marked by a significant loss recently, but the return of experienced players like Moses and Williams could improve their performance.
  • Wests Tigers have won their last three encounters against Parramatta Eels at CommBank Stadium. The Eels have only managed two wins in their last eight matches at this venue, indicating a historical advantage for the Tigers at home.
  • Wests Tigers made some lineup changes with Lachlan Galvin dropped and the return of Brent Naden from a knee injury. Parramatta Eels have significant returning players: Mitchell Moses, Jack Williams, and Kelma Tuilagi are back in the squad, while some key Eels players like Joe Ofahengaue and Shaun Lane are out.
  • The match will be played at CommBank Stadium, Sydney, giving Wests Tigers home ground advantage. Match officials include referee Liam Kennedy. The weather and pitch conditions are expected to be standard with no notable external disruptions reported.
  • The Tigers are motivated to consolidate their position by building on recent wins, while the Eels are desperate to recover from poor form and a heavy recent loss. The return of captain Moses is expected to lift Parramatta’s morale and fighting spirit.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Wests Tigers: -138, Parramatta Eels: 117, Draw: 1900 Wests Tigers win ★★★☆☆ 61%
Spread Wests Tigers -1.5: -125, Parramatta Eels +1.5: -105 Wests Tigers to cover -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 47.5: -115, Under 47.5: -115 Under 47.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Wests Tigers 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Wests Tigers at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on current form, home advantage, player availability and historical outcomes, Wests Tigers are favored to win this encounter. However, the Eels could pose a challenge if their key players fire and team structure improves with recent inclusions.

Predicted Score: Wests Tigers 24 – Parramatta Eels 18


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Newcastle Knights vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-13
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle

Game Overview

The Newcastle Knights, currently ninth in the NRL standings, host the eleventh-placed Wests Tigers in a crucial match for both teams. The Knights are looking to capitalize on their home advantage, while the Wests Tigers aim to secure their third away win this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Newcastle Knights are the second-best defensive side in the NRL but are struggling with their offense, ranking 17th. Wests Tigers have shown resilience but need to find consistency.
  • The Knights have won their past seven matches against the Wests Tigers. However, the Tigers are bolstered by the return of Jarome Luai, Jeral Skelton, and Samuela Fainu.
  • Newcastle Knights are hit by injuries, with notable absences including Adam Elliott, Jack Cogger, Jacob Saifiti, Jack Hetherington, and James Schiller. Wests Tigers are boosted by key returns while Latu Fainu is out due to injury.
  • Home advantage is significant, but both teams are under pressure after recent losses. The motivation for both teams is high, especially the Wests Tigers, who are underrated by bookmakers.
  • Both teams are highly motivated after their recent losses. The Knights need to prove their defense at home, while the Tigers aim to capitalize on their underrated status in the market.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline N/A
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Despite historical dominance by the Knights, the Wests Tigers are predicted to have a good chance due to their underrated market position and key player returns.

Predicted Score: Newcastle Knights 20, Wests Tigers 22


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