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Western Michigan Broncos vs. Ball State Cardinals Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Western Michigan Broncos vs Ball State Cardinals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 11, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Waldo Stadium, Kalamazoo, Michigan

Game Overview

Mid-American Conference matchup featuring the Western Michigan Broncos (3-3, 2-0 MAC) hosting the Ball State Cardinals (2-3, 1-0 MAC). Western Michigan is a strong favorite, but both teams enter with winning conference records and some defensive strength.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Western Michigan has a slightly better record and a stronger defensive profile, ranking 42nd in pass yards allowed and 45th in scoring defense. Their offense is below average (100th in scoring, 126th in passing), but has shown the ability to win low-scoring games. Ball State's recent win over Ohio shows resilience, but their overall metrics are less impressive, with no top-100 offensive categories reported[2]. Western Michigan is 4-1 ATS in their last 5, indicating they've been covering spreads even when not dominant[3].
  • Recent head-to-head (H2H) data not provided in results, but recent form suggests Western Michigan has performed better against the spread and in low-scoring contests[3].
  • No injury reports available for either team, suggesting both are near full strength[4].
  • No notable external factors reported; game is at home for Western Michigan, typically a slight advantage.
  • Both teams are in the hunt in the MAC, but Western Michigan has a perfect conference record and may have more momentum following a shutout-style win over UMass[1]. Ball State is coming off a close win but has less consistent form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Western Michigan -345, Ball State +275 Western Michigan ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Ball State +9.5 -110, Western Michigan -9.5 -110 Ball State +9.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 42.5 -115, Under 42.5 -105 Under 42.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Western Michigan Broncos -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 42.5 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 42.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Western Michigan is favored for good reason—defensive strength, recent ATS success, and home field—but Ball State is capable of keeping it close in what projects as a low-scoring, field-position battle.

Predicted Score: Western Michigan 20, Ball State 13


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UMass Minutemen vs. Western Michigan Broncos Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: UMass Minutemen vs Western Michigan Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 6:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, Amherst, Massachusetts

Game Overview

Western Michigan Broncos visit UMass Minutemen for this MAC conference matchup. Western Michigan enters at 2-3 (1-0 MAC) while winless UMass is 0-4 (0-0 MAC). Western Michigan is a strong favorite with solid defensive metrics and an offense averaging nearly 20 points per game, while UMass struggles offensively and defensively, conceding nearly 40 points per game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Western Michigan's defense ranks significantly better, allowing 24.2 PPG compared to UMass's 39.5 PPG allowed. Western Michigan averages 19.4 points scored per game, while UMass is limited to 12.3 PPG. UMass is on an 0-4 losing streak and has struggled against the spread (1-3 in last 5), while Western Michigan's form is better though still middling.
  • Data on direct recent H2H matches is limited, but Western Michigan holds a clear advantage in overall performance and conference standing, suggesting dominance in prior meetings.
  • No significant injury reports available from current data, indicating both teams likely have full rosters, preserving Western Michigan's advantage.
  • Game played in Amherst, giving UMass home field advantage, but public betting heavily favors Western Michigan (~89% bet share on UMass suggests sharp money on Western Michigan). Weather and other external conditions not reported but expected typical for early October.
  • UMass is motivated to avoid a winless season, while Western Michigan is seeking to strengthen their MAC position after moderate start; Western Michigan's early conference win adds further incentive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline UMass +410, Western Michigan -550 Western Michigan ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread UMass +13.5 -105, Western Michigan -13.5 -115 Western Michigan -13.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 46.5 -118, Under 46.5 -102 Under 46.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Western Michigan Broncos -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 39%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Western Michigan Broncos to win straight up, cover the 13.5-point spread, and the game to go under the total points line.

Predicted Score: Western Michigan 27 – 13 UMass


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Western Michigan Broncos vs. Rhode Island Rams Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Western Michigan Broncos vs Rhode Island Rams – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Waldo Stadium, Kalamazoo, MI

Game Overview

Western Michigan Broncos (1-3) host the unbeaten Rhode Island Rams (4-0) in a Mid-America showdown. WMU is a solid favorite despite a struggling offense this season, while Rhode Island boasts a strong 4-0 start with a top-10 FCS program and an explosive passing attack.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Western Michigan has covered the spread 3-1 with a struggling offense, particularly in the passing game with only one passing TD in 2025. Rhode Island is undefeated with a potent passing offense led by QB Devin Farrell and receiver Marquis Buchanan, averaging 18.5 yards per reception.
  • No recent or significant direct H2H data available suggesting either team has a definitive matchup advantage; Rhode Island hasn't been tested as an underdog previously this season.
  • No major injuries reported for either team that would significantly impact offensive or defensive capability.
  • Game played indoors at Waldo Stadium with mild weather (74°F), no rain, and minimal wind – conditions favor quality quarterback play and offense.
  • Western Michigan may face a letdown after a recent signature victory against a conference favorite. Rhode Island is motivated to prove dominance against a Group of 5 opponent to bolster their strong start.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -295, away: 235 Away (Rhode Island Rams) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread home: -7.5 -115, away: +7.5 -105 Away +7.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: 47.5 -110, under: 47.5 -110 Under 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Western Michigan Broncos 94%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Western Michigan Broncos at 94% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Take Rhode Island Rams moneyline for a high expected value contrarian play; despite odds favoring Western Michigan, Rhode Island’s unbeaten momentum and offensive strength against a struggling WMU offense suggest an upset.

Predicted Score: Rhode Island Rams 24 – Western Michigan Broncos 20


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Western Michigan Broncos vs. Toledo Rockets Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Western Michigan Broncos vs Toledo Rockets – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stafford-Smith Field at Waldo Stadium

Game Overview

Toledo Rockets (2-1) visit Western Michigan Broncos (0-3) in a Mid-American Conference matchup. Toledo shows strong recent form with an 8-1 record in September games over the last season, while Western Michigan struggles with no wins so far this season and has a strong tendency for games to go under the set total.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toledo is performing significantly better this season with a 2-1 record compared to Western Michigan's 0-3. Toledo's offense and defense efficiency markedly outpace Western Michigan's, contributing to a dominant expectation.
  • Recently Toledo has dominated Western Michigan, often winning by large margins, supporting the large spread favoring Toledo.
  • No significant injuries reported that would alter the expected dominant performance of Toledo or significantly bolster Western Michigan.
  • Home field advantage applies to Western Michigan but is unlikely to offset wide quality and form gap. Weather and other external conditions expected to be neutral.
  • Toledo is motivated to maintain strong standing early in the MAC, while Western Michigan fights to avoid a disastrous start, but motivation alone unlikely to bridge the quality gap.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline toledo: -650, western_michigan: +470 Toledo Rockets ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread toledo: -108, western_michigan: -112 Toledo Rockets -14.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Under 50.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toledo Rockets -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 50.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Betting on Toledo Rockets moneyline and the point spread (-14.5) represents high expected value. For total points, taking under 50.5 is preferred given Western Michigan's low scoring and strong tendency to keep games under the total line.

Predicted Score: Toledo Rockets 34 – Western Michigan Broncos 12


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Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Western Michigan Broncos Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Illinois Fighting Illini vs Western Michigan Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Memorial Stadium, Champaign, Illinois

Game Overview

The No. 9 Illinois Fighting Illini (2-0) host the struggling Western Michigan Broncos (0-2) with Illinois heavily favored both outright and by spread. Illinois has shown dominant offense and defense this season, while Western Michigan has struggled to secure a win and put up points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Illinois has convincingly beaten their first two opponents, including a 45-19 win over Duke, showcasing a high-powered offense led by QB L. Altmyer (513 yards, 6 TDs) and a strong running game by K. Feagin. Western Michigan is 0-2, narrowly losing games but struggling offensively and defensively.
  • Recent H2H history favors Illinois strongly, with dominant performances at home. No indications Western Michigan has matched up well in the last meetings.
  • No significant injuries reported impacting Illinois' starting lineup. Western Michigan's key offensive players remain questionable but no major confirmed absences affecting their depth.
  • Illinois benefits from home-field advantage at Memorial Stadium with confident crowd support. There are no weather concerns or extraneous factors reported.
  • Illinois, ranked 9th, is motivated to maintain an undefeated season and dominance over a weaker MAC opponent. Western Michigan, winless, faces uphill task to avoid a 0-3 start, possibly motivating riskier play but facing talent and form gap.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Illinois Fighting Illini: -6500, Western Michigan Broncos: +2000 Illinois Fighting Illini ★★★★★ 95%
Spread Illinois Fighting Illini -27.5: -112, Western Michigan Broncos +27.5: -108 Illinois Fighting Illini -27.5 ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 50.5: -112, Under 50.5: -108 Under 50.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Illinois Fighting Illini -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 50.5 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Illinois Fighting Illini to win by more than 27.5 points; Total score under 50.5 points

Predicted Score: Illinois Fighting Illini 31 – Western Michigan Broncos 14


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Western Michigan Broncos vs. North Texas Mean Green Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Western Michigan Broncos vs North Texas Mean Green – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stafford-Smith Field at Waldo Stadium

Game Overview

North Texas Mean Green (1-0) visits Western Michigan Broncos (0-1) for an early-season MAC vs C-USA matchup. North Texas demonstrated strong offensive output and defensive improvements, while Western Michigan is still adjusting after a season-opening loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • North Texas enters with a 1-0 record showcasing a high-powered offense led by QB D. Mestemaker (329 yards, 3 TD), balanced by defensive upgrades under coach Sawyer Cassity. Western Michigan reeling from an 0-1 start with inconsistent offense and coverage issues.
  • Limited recent head-to-head data; few notable meetings historically. Current form and seasonal context weigh more heavily.
  • No significant injury reports impacting either team ahead of kickoff, both squads expected at near full strength.
  • Game played at Western Michigan’s home stadium potentially adding home crowd advantage, but North Texas motivation and quality favors an aggressive performance.
  • North Texas aiming to continue strong season start and prove AAC/C-USA parity; Western Michigan attempts to bounce back from a loss and secure home victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline North Texas: -360, Western Michigan: 285 North Texas Mean Green ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread North Texas -10: -108, Western Michigan +10: -112 North Texas Mean Green -10 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 58.5: -115, Under 58.5: -105 Under 58.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Texas Mean Green 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 58.5 33%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 58.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

North Texas Mean Green to win straight up and cover the 10-point spread; expect total points to stay under 58.5 due to Western Michigan's offensive struggles and a strong North Texas defense.

Predicted Score: North Texas Mean Green 34 – Western Michigan Broncos 17


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Michigan State Spartans vs. Western Michigan Broncos Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Michigan State Spartans vs Western Michigan Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-29
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, Michigan

Game Overview

Michigan State Spartans host Western Michigan Broncos in a season opener where Michigan State is a heavy favorite with strong historical and situational advantages.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Michigan State had a 5-7 record last year, scoring 19.3 points per game and allowing 26.1, showing defensive solidity comparatively. Western Michigan went 6-7, scoring 28.9 points but surrendering 31.3 points per game, indicating weaker defense.
  • Recent matchups favor Michigan State with more consistent performance at home; no recent draws or surprises in H2H to suggest volatility.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team ahead of the matchup, so rosters should be near full strength.
  • Game at home in Spartan Stadium with typical late August weather (64°F, no rain), giving Michigan State environmental and home crowd advantage.
  • Michigan State motivated to rebound from a losing season; Western Michigan as underdogs likely motivated but expected to struggle against a Power 5 opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Michigan State -1600, Western Michigan +900 Michigan State ★★★★★ 90%
Spread Michigan State -20.5 (-112), Western Michigan +20.5 (-108) Michigan State -20.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 49.5 -112, Under 49.5 -108 Under 49.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michigan State Spartans -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michigan State moneyline win, cover the -20.5 spread, and game under 49.5 total points.

Predicted Score: Michigan State 28 – Western Michigan 17


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Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Western Michigan Broncos Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Kent State Golden Flashes vs Western Michigan Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: March 13, 2025
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: University Arena, Kalamazoo, Michigan

Game Overview

Kent State Golden Flashes face Western Michigan Broncos in a MAC matchup. Kent State is favored by 9.5 points, reflecting their stronger season performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kent State averages 73.9 points per game while allowing 68.0, showcasing a balanced offense and defense. Western Michigan averages 72.36 points scored but allows 76.79, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Kent State is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against Western Michigan, but they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings, suggesting inconsistency against the spread.
  • No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
  • The game is played at Western Michigan's home court, which could provide an advantage for the Broncos.
  • Both teams are motivated, but Kent State has more to gain in terms of conference standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -500 (Kent State), +400 (Western Michigan) Kent State ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread -9.5 -110 (Kent State), 9.5 -110 (Western Michigan) Kent State ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 143.5 -110, Under 143.5 -110 Over ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Kent State is likely to win but may struggle to cover the spread.

Predicted Score: Kent State 80, Western Michigan 71


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Bowling Green Falcons vs. Western Michigan Broncos Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Michigan Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: March 7, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Stroh Center, Bowling Green, OH

Game Overview

Bowling Green Falcons host Western Michigan Broncos in a MAC matchup. Both teams have similar conference records, but Bowling Green has a better overall performance this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bowling Green averages 78.2 points per game, while Western Michigan averages 72.6. Bowling Green also has a higher field goal percentage at 45.6% compared to Western Michigan's 43.2%.
  • In their last meeting, Bowling Green won 83-79 at Western Michigan. Historically, Bowling Green has had mixed results against Western Michigan.
  • No significant injury reports are available for either team.
  • Home-court advantage could favor Bowling Green, but both teams are coming off a loss, which may affect their motivation.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their standings, but Bowling Green might have an edge due to playing at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bowling Green -180, Western Michigan +150 Bowling Green ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Bowling Green -3 -110, Western Michigan +3 -110 Bowling Green ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over_under Over 146 -105, Under 146 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 52%

Predicted Outcome

Bowling Green Falcons are likely to win due to their stronger offense and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Bowling Green 80, Western Michigan 73


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Western Michigan Broncos vs. Kent State Golden Flashes Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Western Michigan Broncos vs Kent State Golden Flashes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: March 5, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: University Arena (Western Michigan)

Game Overview

Western Michigan Broncos host Kent State Golden Flashes in a crucial NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. Western Michigan seeks to improve their record, while Kent State aims to solidify their position in the conference standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Western Michigan has shown resilience in recent games, but Kent State's stronger overall record and performance suggest they have an edge. Kent State's Jalen Sullinger has been a key player, showcasing his scoring ability.
  • In their last meeting, Western Michigan won 94-83, but Kent State generally has a stronger head-to-head record. This historical advantage could influence their strategy and confidence.
  • No significant injury reports are available for either team, which could affect the outcome if any players are unexpectedly sidelined.
  • Home-court advantage might favor Western Michigan, but Kent State's experience and depth could counteract this.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but Kent State's need to maintain their conference standing might provide an additional push.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kent State: -240, Western Michigan: +200 Kent State ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Kent State: -6.5 -110, Western Michigan: 6.5 -110 Kent State ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over: 145 -110, Under: 145 -110 Over ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Kent State Golden Flashes are likely to win due to their stronger overall performance and experience.

Predicted Score: Kent State 78, Western Michigan 72


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