Match Analysis: Weslley Maia vs Aidan Stephen – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-12
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Cage Warriors Event (exact venue not specified)

Game Overview

This is a bantamweight MMA bout between Weslley Maia and Aidan Stephen scheduled for July 12, 2025. Maia is the clear favorite on the moneyline, reflecting his stronger recent form and experience compared to Stephen.

Key Factors to Consider

• Weslley Maia has demonstrated more consistent success in recent Cage Warriors bouts with superior finishing ability and resilience. Aidan Stephen has shown promise but lacks the same level of high-profile wins.
• No previous recorded head-to-head matchup is available between Maia and Stephen, making this fight an important benchmark for their rivalry.
• No publicly known injuries reported for either fighter, both appear fully fit and prepared for this bout.
• The fight takes place in a neutral Cage Warriors event environment with no significant factors such as altitude or travel disadvantage noted for either fighter.
• Maia is seeking to solidify his standing and leverage momentum for bigger promotion opportunities. Stephen, as an underdog, has motivation to prove himself against a favored opponent but faces pressure in a potentially career-defining fight.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Weslley Maia -350, Aidan Stephen +225	Weslley Maia	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Lines not specified; assumed standard MMA over/under at approximately 2.5 rounds	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Weslley Maia -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Weslley Maia at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Weslley Maia to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Weslley Maia wins by TKO in round 2

Match Analysis: Weslley Maia vs Reece McEwan – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-20
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Cage Warriors 187

Game Overview

The upcoming Bantamweight division fight between Weslley Maia and Reece McEwan is part of the Cage Warriors 187 event. Maia, a Brazilian fighter with a 10-7 pro record, faces Scotland's Reece McEwan, who holds an 8-3 record. Both fighters are similarly matched in height (170 cm) and reach (1.7 m), making this an evenly poised contest. The fight is scheduled to start on April 19, 2025, at 6:00 PM UTC, corresponding to the listed commence time of April 20, 01:00 UTC for betting purposes. This is a main card fight and is highly anticipated given their competitive records and fighting styles.

Key Factors to Consider

• Weslley Maia has demonstrated versatile finishing abilities with wins via submission and decisions in recent bouts, including a rear-naked choke submission in his last fight at Cage Warriors 180. He has a balanced mix of striking and grappling skills. Reece McEwan, with a strong 8-3 record, also shows good striking and grappling but is the underdog according to current odds. Both fighters have shown resilience and solid performances in their recent fights.
• There is no recorded previous match between Weslley Maia and Reece McEwan, making this their first direct encounter. This adds an element of unpredictability and places emphasis on preparation and adaptability during the fight.
• No explicit injury reports or issues have been indicated for either fighter leading up to the bout, suggesting both are at full strength going into the fight.
• The fight being part of Cage Warriors, a reputable MMA promotion, adds competitive pressure and visibility. Both fighters come from different continents (Brazil and Scotland), which might impact factors like acclimatization and crowd support. However, no significant external factors such as last-minute changes or conditions have been reported.
• Weslley Maia’s recent win via submission and steady fight history suggest high motivation to continue his upward trajectory in the Bantamweight division. Reece McEwan, as the underdog, is likely highly motivated to upset the favored Maia and improve his standing. Both fighters appear committed and motivated.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Weslley Maia: -200, Reece McEwan: 160	Weslley Maia	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Weslley Maia: -1.5, Reece McEwan: +1.5	Weslley Maia -1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Weslley Maia -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Weslley Maia at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Weslley Maia is predicted to win due to his slight edge in recent finishing ability, experience in Cage Warriors, and current favored betting odds. However, Reece McEwan’s resilience and skill level make this a competitive matchup that could go either way.

Predicted Score: Weslley Maia wins by Submission Round 2