Leo Brichta vs. Werlleson Martins Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Leo Brichta vs Werlleson Martins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Werk Arena

Game Overview

This is a highly anticipated featherweight MMA bout between Leo Brichta of the Czech Republic and Werlleson Martins of Brazil, part of the main card at KSW 111: De Fries vs. Vojฤรกk. The fight is scheduled for 3 rounds and features contrasting styles: Brichta is known for unpredictable striking and agility, while Martins specializes in grappling and submissions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leo Brichta holds a record of 13-6 with a fast, adaptive striking style designed to control distance and pace. Werlleson Martins has a 19-7 record and excels in grappling, aiming to bring the fight to the ground and use submission skills. Recent form and fighting styles suggest Brichta will try to keep the fight standing, while Martins will push for takedowns.
  • There is no recorded prior match between Leo Brichta and Werlleson Martins, making this their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries or recent setbacks have been identified for either fighter ahead of this matchup.
  • The fight takes place at Werk Arena under KSW promotion, which provides a significant stage. No weather or travel issues are reported to affect either fighter. Betting markets indicate strong favoritism towards Brichta.
  • Both fighters have strong stakes: Brichta aims to solidify his place as a top featherweight in KSW with striking dominance, while Martins seeks to use his grappling to upset the favored opponent and improve his ranking.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Leo Brichta: -350, Werrorson Martins: 225 Leo Brichta to win โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜† 75%
Spread Leo Brichta: -1.5 at -110, Werrorson Martins: +1.5 at -110 Leo Brichta to win by more than 1.5 rounds โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100 Under 2.5 rounds โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Leo Brichta 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

๐Ÿ”ฅ Best Value Pick: Leo Brichta at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Leo Brichta is favored to win by decision or TKO via striking, given his superior odds and style advantage. However, Werlleson Martins has a credible chance to secure a submission if he can implement ground control. The fight likely hinges on Brichta's ability to maintain distance and pace.

Predicted Score: Leo Brichta wins by unanimous decision or TKO in round 2 or 3


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