Match Analysis: Joseph Hicks vs Wendy Toussaint – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-06
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Turning Stone Resort and Casino, Verona, New York
Game Overview
Joseph Hicks Jr. (12-0, 8 KOs), the undefeated rising star from Grand Rapids, MI, faces Wendy Toussaint (16-3), a tested contender from Haiti, for the IBF USBA Super Welterweight Title. Hicks offers size and reach advantage (185 cm vs 179 cm), while Toussaint brings more ring experience and robust competition history. This title bout is a milestone for both, promising a high-stakes, high-action match to launch the Boxing Hall of Fame Induction Weekend[1][3][4].
Key Factors to Consider
- Hicks is undefeated in 12 fights, with a 66% KO rate, showing both technical skill and finishing power. Toussaint holds a solid 16-3 record, having faced tougher competition and proven resilient against various styles[1][5].
- No prior head-to-head fights. This is their first meeting.
- No known injuries reported for either fighter.
- The event is part of the high-profile 'Hall of Fame Fight Night,' with significant promotion and media attention[3].
- Both fighters are highly motivated: Hicks aims to maintain his undefeated record and claim his first significant title, while Toussaint seeks to rebound from past losses and elevate his status with a win over a rising star[1][4][5].
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Joseph Hicks: -415, Wendy Toussaint: 315 | Joseph Hicks by decision or late KO | High (75%) |
| Over/under | over: -420 (8.5), under: 320 (8.5) | Over 8.5 rounds (fight reaches late rounds or ends in latter half) | High (80%) |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Joseph Hicks -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 8.5 -1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Joseph Hicks Jr. is favored due to his undefeated record, physical advantages, and momentum. However, Wendy Toussaint's experience and proven resilience make this a highly competitive bout. Hicks is expected to win a close, hard-fought decision, but Toussaint could cause an upset if he imposes his experience and toughness on the younger fighter.
Predicted Score: Joseph Hicks by unanimous decision (97-93, 96-94, 96-94) or late technical stoppage