Match Analysis: Shay Ingram vs Wellington Lopes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: BEC Arena, Manchester
Game Overview
The lightweight bout between Shay Ingram and Wellington Lopes is set for November 22, 2025 at Cage Warriors 198 in Manchester. Both fighters bring solid records with Lopes having more experience and a higher number of wins. Ingram is undefeated but with fewer fights, while Lopes shows a more well-rounded finishing ability, especially by KO/TKO.
Key Factors to Consider
- Shay Ingram stands undefeated with 3 wins (1 submission, 2 decisions) and no losses, indicating consistent performance but limited professional exposure. Wellington Lopes has 7 wins with 4 losses, featuring 3 KOs and 3 decisions, showing effective striking and finishing power.
- This is the first recorded matchup between Shay Ingram and Wellington Lopes; no direct head-to-head data is available.
- No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the match; both made or expected to make weight at lightweight (155 lbs).
- The event is hosted at the BEC Arena in Manchester, which could be considered a neutral location or slightly favorable to Ingram depending on fan distribution. No other notable externalities reported.
- Ingram is motivated to defend his undefeated record and prove himself against a seasoned opponent. Lopes aims to leverage his experience to break Ingram's winning streak and regain momentum after recent losses.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Shay Ingram: -460, Wellington Lopes: 305 | Shay Ingram to win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Shay Ingram -1.5 rounds: -150, Wellington Lopes +1.5 rounds: +130 | Shay Ingram to cover the spread | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: +110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Shay Ingram -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Shay Ingram at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Wellington Lopes' experience, knockout power, and higher total number of fights, he is favored to win despite longer odds. Shay Ingram's undefeated status and solid ground game present a strong challenge, but Lopes' finishing ability is likely to be decisive.
Predicted Score: Shay Ingram wins by decision (3 rounds)