Match Analysis: Valentina Shevchenko vs Weili Zhang – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 4:45 AM UTC
- Location: TBD
Game Overview
The UFC 322 main event features Valentina Shevchenko defending her status against challenger Weili Zhang in a high-stakes bantamweight MMA match. Both fighters have elite striking and grappling, with Shevchenko known for precision and tactical control, while Zhang brings explosive power and aggression.
Key Factors to Consider
- Shevchenko has consistently demonstrated dominance in recent fights with technical striking and effective fight IQ. Zhang’s recent bouts show resilience and a capability to finish fights quickly, adding an unpredictable element.
- This is a highly anticipated matchup with limited direct past competition between them; however, Shevchenko’s historical record against top-tier opponents edges her as the favorite.
- No reports of recent major injuries affecting either fighter, suggesting both will compete at full capacity.
- The fight location and conditions are standard UFC event settings; no notable external factors such as altitude, travel strain, or controversial judging are currently expected.
- As a reigning champion, Shevchenko is highly motivated to maintain her legacy, while Zhang aims to upset and claim the title, driving high stakes and intensity.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Valentina Shevchenko: -135, Weili Zhang: 114 | Valentina Shevchenko | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Spread | Valentina Shevchenko: -5.5, Weili Zhang: 5.5 | Valentina Shevchenko covers the spread (-5.5) | ★★★☆☆ 54% |
| Over/under | Over: -270, Under: 200 | Under 4.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Valentina Shevchenko -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 4.5 116% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 4.5 at 116% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 58% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Valentina Shevchenko is predicted to win by decision or a late stoppage, leveraging her strategic approach and adaptability over Zhang’s aggressive style.
Predicted Score: Valentina Shevchenko wins by decision at 5 rounds (3-2 rounds)