Match Analysis: Weber State Wildcats vs UT-Arlington Mavericks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Dee Events Center, Ogden, UT
Game Overview
The Weber State Wildcats (2-3) host the UT-Arlington Mavericks (4-2) in the Junction City Jam tournament. Weber State is averaging 90.6 points per game, scoring 15.2 points more than opponents, and is known for its strong offensive output but middling defense (allowing 75.4 PPG). UT Arlington is defensively stronger, allowing only 61.8 points per game but scoring an average of 80.3 points. Both teams have recent tournament experience, with UT Arlington narrowly losing to Campbell 71-67 and Weber State beating Campbell 91-85 recently. The game tips off at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN+ at Weber State's home arena.
Key Factors to Consider
- Weber State is averaging 90.6 points while allowing 75.4, showing good offense but vulnerable defense. UT Arlington ranks high defensively (19th nationally, allowing 61.8 PPG) but scores less (80.3 PPG). UT Arlington's senior Raysean Seamster leads their offense. Weber State's offense is more prolific overall, reflected in their +76 scoring differential, while UT Arlington's +111 differential is boosted by a solid defense.
- No direct head-to-head matchup results available this season. Both teams met recently in the same tournament setting with Weber State beating Campbell, who defeated UT Arlington, indicating Weber State's slight edge.
- No significant injury reports found for either team ahead of the game.
- The game is part of the Junction City Jam hosted by Weber State, their first multi-team home tournament since 1991, likely giving the Wildcats a home crowd advantage. The game is streamed live on ESPN+ with experienced commentators.
- Weber State aims to capitalize on home court and recent momentum after a win over Campbell. UT Arlington seeks to rebound after a close loss and maintain their positive record early in the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | UT-Arlington Mavericks: +118, Weber State Wildcats: -142 | Weber State Wildcats to win | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Spread | UT-Arlington Mavericks: +1.5 -102, Weber State Wildcats: -1.5 -120 | Weber State Wildcats to cover -1.5 spread | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Over/under | Over: 153.5 -110, Under: 153.5 -110 | Under 153.5 points | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Weber State Wildcats 6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 153.5 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Weber State Wildcats at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Weber State's home advantage, stronger offensive output, and recent form, they are favored to win a close, moderately high-scoring game. UT Arlington's defense will keep the game competitive but might not fully contain Weber State's scoring.
Predicted Score: Weber State Wildcats 79 – UT Arlington Mavericks 72