Match Analysis: Vizela vs AVS Futebol SAD – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-01
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio do Futebol Clube de Vizela (Caldas de Vizela)
Game Overview
Vizela faces AVS Futebol SAD in a crucial Primeira Liga playoff fixture. AVS won the previous encounter 3-0, but Vizela has a strong home record, undefeated in their last 13 home matches. Vizela averages 1.56 goals per home match, while AVS averages just 0.81 goals away. Both teams are motivated to secure promotion, but Vizela’s recent form and home edge provide hope for a comeback.
Key Factors to Consider
- Vizela’s recent performance at home is outstanding (13 matches unbeaten), while AVS’s away performance is weaker (0.81 goals scored per match away). Vizela wins 33% of halftimes at home; AVS only 5%.
- Recent head-to-head favors AVS, who won the last meeting 3-0. However, Vizela is historically strong at home in this fixture.
- No significant injury reports available at this time.
- Match is a playoff with high stakes for promotion. Playing at home gives Vizela an important crowd advantage. The pressure is higher on AVS to protect their aggregate lead.
- Both teams are highly motivated for promotion. AVS wants to maintain their aggregate advantage; Vizela is focused on reversing the deficit at home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Vizela: 115, AVS Futebol SAD: 240, Draw: 225 | Vizela to win | Moderate-High (68%) |
| Spread | Vizela -0.25: -118, AVS +25: -102 | Vizela to cover -0.25 | Moderate (63%) |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 | Under 2.25 goals | Moderate (65%) |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Vizela -100% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.25 -100% |
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Vizela is expected to win at home, but AVS is likely to defend their aggregate advantage fiercely. The match will be tight and low-scoring, but Vizela’s home record and motivation for a comeback give them a slight edge for a single-game win, though overturning the aggregate deficit is unlikely.
Predicted Score: 1-0 (Vizela)