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Vitoria vs. Grêmio Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vitoria vs Grêmio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-27
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Manoel Barradas, Salvador, BRA

Game Overview

The upcoming Brazilian Serie A match features Vitória hosting Grêmio. Vitória currently sits 16th in the standings with 6 goals scored and 8 conceded, showing moderate offensive output but defensive weaknesses. Grêmio is struggling near the bottom at 19th place with 4 goals scored and 10 conceded, indicating offensive struggles and defensive vulnerability. Both teams have shown inconsistent form recently with Vitória earning draws and a narrow win, while Grêmio has struggled to secure points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitória has been slightly better at home with a recent win against Fortaleza and draws with Atlético Mineiro and Fluminense. Grêmio has generally struggled offensively and defensively, with few goals and multiple losses. Vitória’s scoring and defense metrics are somewhat superior in recent matches.
  • Historical head-to-head data is limited for this season, but both teams have been close in previous encounters with low scoring matches. Vitória's home advantage at Estadio Manoel Barradas is a notable factor.
  • No specific injury data is recorded in recent sources, but both teams likely have squad challenges given their recent lineups and performance inconsistencies.
  • Playing in Salvador gives Vitória home support and familiarity with conditions. Both clubs face pressure to improve their league standing to avoid relegation battles.
  • Vitória is motivated to capitalize on home advantage to climb the table, while Grêmio needs points desperately to escape from relegation zone, influencing a potentially aggressive but cautious game from both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Grêmio: 210, Vitória: 140, Draw: 225 Vitória win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Grêmio: 25 -125, Vitória: -0.25 105 Vitória -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2.25 105, Under: 2.25 -125 Under 2.25 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitoria 69%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vitoria at 69% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vitória to win by a narrow margin, leveraging home advantage and slightly better recent form. Expect a low scoring, competitive match potentially decided by set pieces or individual moments.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – April 27, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – April 27, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Vitoria vs. Grêmio Prediction Vitoria 140 69%
Moreirense FC vs. Nacional Prediction Moreirense FC 115 64%
VfL Bochum vs. Union Berlin Prediction VfL Bochum 125 58%

Combined Odds: +1061 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $232.2

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Fluminense vs. Vitoria Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Vitoria – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-20
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Maracanã

Game Overview

Fluminense is set to face Vitória in a Brazilian Serie A match. The match is expected to be competitive given the teams' positions in the league, with Fluminense seeking to improve their standing while Vitória aims to halt their string of losses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fluminense is currently ranked 15th in Serie A, with some recent wins but also several losses. Vitória is positioned lower at 18th with a mix of wins and losses but has had more difficulty scoring consistently.
  • In their past meetings, Fluminense has won fewer matches compared to Vitória. However, Fluminense often performs better at home.
  • No recent injury updates are provided for this match.
  • The home advantage might play a significant role for Fluminense, especially after recent losses.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points, but Fluminense's recent performance suggests they might have a slight edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fluminense -170, Vitoria 500, Draw 295 Fluminense ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Fluminense -1 105, Vitoria +1 -125 Fluminense -1 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.25 -118, Under 2.25 -102 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fluminense -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on recent form and home advantage, Fluminense is likely to win this match.

Predicted Score: Fluminense 1 : 0


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – April 20, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction Real Madrid Win -150 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
FC St. Pauli vs. Bayer Leverkusen Prediction Bayer Leverkusen -0.75 -112 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Fluminense vs. Vitoria Prediction Fluminense Win -170 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +401

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $100.21

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Vitoria vs. Fortaleza Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vitoria vs Fortaleza – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 17, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Manoel Barradas, Salvador, Brazil

Game Overview

The upcoming Brazilian Serie A match between Vitoria and Fortaleza pits two teams with differing current performances. Fortaleza is positioned better in the standings with 5 points, compared to Vitoria's 1 point. Recent head-to-head matches have shown mixed results, with Vitoria winning two of the last five encounters, and Fortaleza winning one. External factors such as weather and team motivation will also play a role.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fortaleza has a stronger standing but recent performances against top teams have been inconsistent. Vitoria is seeking to improve their dismal start to the season.
  • Recent head-to-head matches show that both teams have had successes against each other, making this a competitive fixture.
  • There is no detailed information available on specific injuries that could impact the match.
  • Weather conditions in Salvador are expected to be hot, which may affect team energy levels and strategies.
  • Vitoria is highly motivated to secure their first win after a poor start, while Fortaleza aims to maintain their mid-table position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fortaleza: +205, Vitoria: -145, Draw: +215 Draw or Fortaleza win as an underdog could offer surprising value given the odds. Not available
Spread Fortaleza: 25 (-132), Vitoria: -0.25 (+111) Vitoria might struggle to cover the spread due to Fortaleza's resilience. Not available
Over_under Over 2: -112, Under 2: -108 Under 2 goals, as recent matches between these teams have not produced many goals. Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitoria -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

This match is expected to be closely contested, but Fortaleza's recent form suggests a slight edge over Vitoria.

Predicted Score: 0-1 in favor of Fortaleza


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Atletico Mineiro vs. Vitoria Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atletico Mineiro vs Vitoria – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 13, 2025
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte

Game Overview

Atlético Mineiro hosts Vitória in the Brazilian Serie A. Atlético Mineiro has shown strong performance, recently winning 4-0 against Deportes Iquique in the Sudamericana. However, both teams have a tough start in Serie A, with Atlético Mineiro having one loss and Vitória two losses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Mineiro is performing better in competitions like the Sudamericana, while Vitória struggles with two consecutive losses.
  • Recent head-to-head matches show mixed results, with both teams experiencing victories against each other.
  • No specific injury reports available for this match.
  • The presence of a home crowd could be an advantage for Atlético Mineiro.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure their first win in Serie A.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Mineiro: -185, Vitória: 525, Draw: 310 Atlético Mineiro win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Atlético Mineiro -1: -105, Vitória +1: -115 Atlético Mineiro to win by more than 1 goal ★★★★☆ 70%
Over_under Over 2.25: -112, Under 2.25: -108 Over 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro 338%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Atletico Mineiro at 338% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 64.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Mineiro is likely to win given their recent performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 2-0 in favor of Atlético Mineiro


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Vitoria vs. Flamengo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vitoria vs Flamengo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-06
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil

Game Overview

This match pits Vitoria, a middle-of-the-pack team in Serie A, against Flamengo, one of the league's top contenders. Flamengo's superior form and recent performances make them favorites, but Vitoria's home advantage could play a significant role in the outcome.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo is currently third in the league with a strong performance record. Vitoria, while not as dominant, can capitalize on their home field advantage and recent draws against strong teams.
  • Historically, Flamengo has a slight edge in head-to-head matches, with more wins than Vitoria.
  • Vitoria has injuries to key players like Matheus Martins Fogaça de Paula and Renato Kayzer de Souza. Flamengo’s Danilo and Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos are also listed as injured.
  • Weather and fan support could impact the match, with Vitoria likely benefiting from their home crowd.
  • Flamengo's strong league position motivates them to secure three points, while Vitoria seeks to improve their standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence EV Pick

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo 15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo is predicted to win due to their stronger recent form and overall team strength.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Flamengo


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Juventude vs. Vitoria Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Juventude vs Vitoria – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: March 29, 2025
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Alfredo Jaconi Stadium, Caxias do Sul, Brazil

Game Overview

This match marks the beginning of the season for Juventude as they host Vitoria. The home team will aim to capitalize on their crowd support against a Vitoria side looking to build momentum early in the campaign.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Juventude and Vitoria come into this match with mixed recent performances. Juventude has shown resilience in past games, while Vitoria aims to leverage their strong attacking presence, particularly through top scorer Alerrandro.
  • Historically, Juventude and Vitoria have a contested record, with Vitoria slightly ahead in wins and draws. Recent head-to-heads indicate an evenly matched contest.
  • There is no detailed information on significant injuries that could affect the match outcome.
  • Weather conditions should be favorable in Caxias do Sul, allowing for optimal playing conditions.
  • Both teams will be highly motivated, as early-season wins can set the tone for their respective campaigns.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Juventude 110, Vitoria 275, Draw 230 Juventude ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Juventude -0.25 -125, Vitoria 25 105 Juventude ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 2.25 -110, Under 2.25 -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Given the historical data and current team dynamics, Juventude might edge this contest due to home advantage.

Predicted Score: Juventude 1, Vitoria 1


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