Match Analysis: Valencia Basket vs Virtus Segafredo Bologna – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-03
• Time: 6:30 PM UTC
• Location: Roig Arena, Valencia

Game Overview

The Euroleague clash features Valencia Basket hosting Virtus Segafredo Bologna, two evenly matched teams with close recent results and history, meeting at Valencia’s home court.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both teams come into the game with strong recent form, each winning 4 of their last 7 games. Valencia Basket’s recent home performances are solid and they have scored an average of 85.3 points recently, slightly higher than Virtus Bologna's 81.8. Virtus Bologna won the last head-to-head 87-74 but Valencia holds a slight edge 4-3 overall in last seven meetings.
• Recent 7 H2H games are tightly contested: Valencia Basket leads 4-3. Last encounter was a Virtus win by 13 points (87-74). This rivalry suggests a competitive match with minor edge to Valencia at home.
• No significant injury reports available that severely impact starting lineups or key contributors for either team, suggesting both squads will field near full-strength rosters.
• The game is played at Valencia’s Roig Arena with a 15,600 capacity, providing home-court advantage. Scheduling and travel are standard with no unusual distractions reported.
• Both teams are early in the Euroleague season and highly motivated to secure a win to establish position. Valencia's motivation may be slightly higher playing at home and looking to avenge the previous loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Valencia +164, Virtus +221	Valencia Basket	★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread	Valencia -3.5 at -110	Valencia Basket -3.5	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	Over 167 points at -110, Under 167 points at -110	Under 167 points	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Valencia Basket to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Valencia Basket 83 – 77 Virtus Segafredo Bologna

Match Analysis: Virtus Segafredo Bologna vs Real Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-30
• Time: 6:45 PM UTC
• Location: Virtus Segafredo Arena, Bologna, Italy

Game Overview

This Euroleague matchup features Virtus Segafredo Bologna hosting Real Madrid, two top teams with strong histories. Real Madrid are favorites based on historical dominance and current form.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both teams have good recent form, each having won 4 of their last 5 games. Real Madrid maintain a slightly higher winning consistency in this period.
• In the last 6 head-to-head fixtures, Real Madrid won 5 times, including a recent 80-67 victory, demonstrating clear dominance historically.
• No major injury news reported for either side, suggesting both teams will field strong lineups.
• Match played at home for Virtus Bologna, providing some home crowd support, but Real Madrid’s experience in Euroleague away matches offsets this advantage.
• Early season game with importance to set momentum; Real Madrid motivated to assert dominance early, Virtus eager to exploit home advantage and improve head-to-head record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Real Madrid -229, Virtus Bologna +191	Real Madrid	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Real Madrid -5.5 -110, Virtus Bologna +5.5 -110	Real Madrid -5.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 166.5 -110, Under 166.5 -110	Over 166.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Real Madrid -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 166.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 166.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Real Madrid moneyline, spread -5.5, and Over 166.5 total points

Predicted Score: Real Madrid 85 – Virtus Segafredo Bologna 78

Top EV Parlay for Basketball – September 30, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Anadolu Efes vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv Prediction	Over 171.5	-110	18%
Virtus Segafredo Bologna vs. Real Madrid Prediction	Over 166.5	-110	15%
Saski Baskonia vs. Olympiacos Prediction	Over 167.5	-110	15%

Combined Odds: +596 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $139.16

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Panathinaikos vs. FC Bayern München Prediction	Panathinaikos -10.5	-115	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Anadolu Efes vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv Prediction	Anadolu Efes Win	-320	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Virtus Segafredo Bologna vs. Real Madrid Prediction	Real Madrid Win	-229	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +253

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $70.51

Match Analysis: Virtus Segafredo Bologna vs Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-04
• Time: 6:30 PM UTC
• Location: Virtus Segafredo Arena

Game Overview

Virtus Segafredo Bologna is hosting Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano in a crucial Euroleague match. Both teams have shown different levels of performance throughout the season, with Milano being one of the stronger contenders.

Key Factors to Consider

• Virtus Segafredo Bologna has shown mixed results, struggling in the Euroleague with a high number of losses, but they have been competitive in Serie A. Milano, on the other hand, is generally more consistent across all competitions.
• Historically, the head-to-head between these teams can be quite balanced, but Milano's recent form may give them an edge. However, specific head-to-head statistics for this season are not detailed.
• No specific injury reports are provided for this match, but any major injuries could significantly impact the outcome.
• Home advantage could play a crucial role for Virtus Segafredo Bologna, as they often perform well in front of their crowd. However, Milano's experience in big games may counteract this.
• Both teams will be highly motivated, especially if this match affects their playoff chances or standing in the Euroleague table.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Virtus Segafredo Bologna: -120; Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano: 100	Virtus Segafredo Bologna	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Virtus Segafredo Bologna: -1 -110; Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano: 1 -110	Virtus Segafredo Bologna	★★★☆☆ 50%
Over_under	Over: 165.5 -110; Under: 165.5 -110	Over	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano is likely to be favored due to recent form, but Virtus Segafredo Bologna's home advantage makes them a strong contender.

Predicted Score: Virtus Segafredo Bologna 85 – Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano 81

Match Analysis: ALBA Berlin vs Virtus Segafredo Bologna – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-28
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Uber Arena, Berlin, Germany

Game Overview

This EuroLeague matchup features two teams struggling in the standings, with Alba Berlin and Virtus Segafredo Bologna both vying to improve their positions. The game is crucial for both as they aim to avoid finishing at the bottom of the table. Recent performances indicate Alba faces a tough challenge, having lost eight of their last nine home EuroLeague games, while Virtus seeks a much-needed win after several setbacks.

Key Factors to Consider

• Alba Berlin has been inconsistent, with a low average score but strong two-point shooting and assists. They have suffered significantly at home. Virtus Segafredo Bologna has had more success in head-to-head matches and recently outperformed Alba in several key stats, despite struggling overall.
• Virtus Segafredo Bologna leads the head-to-head with five wins out of six, including a recent victory over Alba Berlin. However, Alba did win their most recent matchup 90-88.
• There are no reported injuries for Alba Berlin ahead of this match.
• Both teams are under pressure to improve their standings, which could impact performance. The home advantage might help Alba Berlin, but Virtus Segafredo Bologna's recent form suggests they could capitalize on Alba's home struggles.
• Both teams are highly motivated as they seek to escape the bottom of the standings. The outcome of this game could significantly affect their season trajectory.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	ALBA Berlin -125, Virtus Segafredo Bologna 105	Virtus Segafredo Bologna	★★★☆☆ 52%
Spread	ALBA Berlin -2 -105, Virtus Segafredo Bologna +2 -115	Virtus Segafredo Bologna +2	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 165.5 -112, Under 165.5 -108	Under 165.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Given the head-to-head dominance and slightly better recent performance of Virtus Segafredo Bologna, but considering Alba Berlin's home advantage, this is likely a closely contested game.

Predicted Score: ALBA Berlin 82, Virtus Segafredo Bologna 83

Match Analysis: KK Crvena zvezda vs Virtus Segafredo Bologna – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-26
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Beogradska Arena, Belgrade, Serbia

Game Overview

Crvena Zvezda, with a strong home advantage and recent form, faces Virtus Bologna who are struggling to break a losing streak. The home team aims to secure a playoff spot, while Virtus seeks to end their slump.

Key Factors to Consider

• Crvena Zvezda has a better win-loss record (17-13) compared to Virtus Bologna (7-23). Recently, Crvena Zvezda beat Olympiacos, enhancing their confidence
• Crvena Zvezda has won 3 out of the last 5 encounters against Virtus Bologna, with a significant margin in their most recent matches
• Virtus Bologna's Mouhamet Diouf is out due to a knee injury, potentially affecting their defensive capabilities
• The home crowd in Belgrade could provide Crvena Zvezda with an additional boost, while Virtus might struggle psychologically due to their losing streak
• Crvena Zvezda is highly motivated to maintain their playoff position, while Virtus Bologna is desperate to halt their losing streak

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-535 for Crvena Zvezda, +400 for Virtus Bologna	Crvena Zvezda	★★★★☆ 81%
Spread	-9.5 for Crvena Zvezda at -112	Crvena Zvezda -9.5	★★☆☆☆ 49%
Over_under	Over 161.5 at -108, Under 161.5 at -112	Under 161.5	★★★☆☆ 53%

Predicted Outcome

Crvena Zvezda is expected to dominate this match due to recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Crvena Zvezda 85.5, Virtus Bologna 76

Match Analysis: Anadolu Efes vs Virtus Segafredo Bologna – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-07
• Time: 5:30 PM UTC
• Location: Basketball Development Centre

Game Overview

Anadolu Efes, currently ranked 12th with a 13-14 record, faces Virtus Segafredo Bologna, ranked 16th with a 7-20 record, in Round 28 of the EuroLeague.

Key Factors to Consider

• Anadolu Efes has shown stronger overall performance this season compared to Virtus Segafredo Bologna, with higher points per game and better defensive statistics.
• Historically, Anadolu Efes and Virtus Segafredo Bologna have a balanced head-to-head record, but recent form suggests Anadolu Efes might have an edge.
• No significant injury reports are available for this match.
• Home advantage could play a significant role for Anadolu Efes, potentially boosting their performance.
• Anadolu Efes has more to gain in terms of standings and playoff positioning, which could increase their motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Anadolu Efes: -360, Virtus Segafredo Bologna: 285	Anadolu Efes	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	Anadolu Efes: -8 -110, Virtus Segafredo Bologna: 8 -110	Anadolu Efes	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over_under	Over: 169.5 -108, Under: 169.5 -112	Over	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Anadolu Efes is likely to win due to their stronger team performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Anadolu Efes 88 – Virtus Segafredo Bologna 78