Match Analysis: Katsuma Akitsugi vs Vincent Astrolabio – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: RP Funding Center, Lakeland

Game Overview

Katsuma Akitsugi faces Vincent Astrolabio in a 10-round bantamweight bout. Akitsugi is heavily favored, but Astrolabio is a dangerous puncher with a history of upsets.

Key Factors to Consider

• Akitsugi is undefeated and has shown consistent technical dominance. Astrolabio has power but has struggled against elite competition, with a record including losses and draws against top-level fighters.
• No prior meetings between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Fight takes place in the US, neutral venue. Both fighters are in peak condition. The bout is streamed on ProBox TV, indicating standard professional setup.
• Akitsugi is motivated to maintain his undefeated record and climb rankings. Astrolabio is seeking a career-defining upset to reestablish himself after recent setbacks.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -600, away: 391	Vincent Astrolabio	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	home: -1.5, away: 1.5	Vincent Astrolabio	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	over: -225, under: 175	Under	★★★★☆ 74%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Katsuma Akitsugi 121%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 104%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Katsuma Akitsugi at 121% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vincent Astrolabio wins by knockout in the first round.

Predicted Score: Vincent Astrolabio wins by KO in Round 1