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Real Madrid vs. Villarreal Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Real Madrid vs Villarreal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Game Overview

La Liga heavyweights Real Madrid host in-form Villarreal at the Bernabéu. Madrid looks to defend its home fortress, while Villarreal brings a hot streak after winning 11 of their last 13 league matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Madrid are undefeated in 22 of their last 24 home league matches vs Villarreal, and remain a nearly invincible force at home. However, Villarreal's recent league form (11 wins in 13) is the best in La Liga, suggesting they are in peak competitive shape[7].
  • Madrid’s home dominance is clear, but Villarreal’s current momentum adds intrigue. Most recent meetings have been tightly contested, but Madrid rarely drops points at home in this fixture[7].
  • No new major injuries reported for either side at this time (based on available data).
  • Stadium factor: Bernabéu is a fortress. Neutral conditions expected; no significant travel or weather issues.
  • Madrid aims to maintain pressure at the top, while Villarreal seeks to prove their title credentials by taking points from the elite.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Real Madrid -215, Villarreal +460, Draw +420 Real Madrid ML ★★★★☆ 79%
Spread Real Madrid -1.25 -110, Villarreal +1.25 -110 Real Madrid -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 3.25 -120, Under 3.25 +100 Over 3.25 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Madrid -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Madrid’s home record and Villarreal’s current form set up a high-stakes, high-scoring clash, but Madrid’s elite squad and home edge remain decisive.

Predicted Score: 3-1 Real Madrid


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Villarreal vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal, Spain

Game Overview

Villarreal hosts Athletic Bilbao in a La Liga clash with Villarreal unbeaten at home this season (3-0-0) and Athletic Bilbao showing mixed form away. Villarreal is stronger overall in recent matches and holds a slight points advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal has a 4-1-1 overall record with 13 points, showing good momentum and consistency at home. Athletic Bilbao holds a 3-1-2 record with 10 points and has been somewhat inconsistent, especially away (1-0-1). Villarreal is also 2-0-1 against the spread at home whereas Athletic Bilbao struggles ATS on the road.
  • Recent meetings have been fairly balanced, with two of the last three league games ending in draws. Villarreal tends to have a slight edge at home historically, but Athletic Bilbao remains competitive.
  • No critical injuries reported for either side that would significantly affect starting lineups or tactical setup.
  • No major external disruptions or unusual conditions. The match is played at Villarreal's home stadium under normal circumstances.
  • Villarreal aims to consolidate their strong home form to stay in the upper half of the table, while Athletic Bilbao seeks to improve inconsistency and gain points on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -110 Villarreal ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread -125 Villarreal -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under -122 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal 22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Villarreal at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal moneyline (win)

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Sevilla vs. Villarreal Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sevilla vs Villarreal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-23
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Game Overview

Sevilla hosts Villarreal in this key La Liga clash, with both teams having mixed recent results but contrasting home and away forms. Villarreal enters as the narrow favorite according to odds, but Sevilla's strong home record makes this a tight matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sevilla shows stronger form at home (2-0-0) but weaker away results; Villarreal is unbeaten away recently but has some inconsistency. Overall records are close: Sevilla 1-1-2 and Villarreal 2-1-1 in the season so far.
  • Historically competitive with balanced results; recent seasons show tight contests with neither side dominating decisively.
  • No significant injury information available to suggest major player absences impacting squad strength for either side.
  • Match is played at Sevilla's home ground, giving them a notable home advantage in terms of familiarity and crowd support.
  • Sevilla motivated to capitalize on home advantage and improve their La Liga standing; Villarreal aims to maintain momentum and exploit away streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sevilla: +200, Villarreal: +135, Draw: +235 Villarreal ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Sevilla: -122, Villarreal: +102 Villarreal -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.5: -112, Under 2.5: -108 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Villarreal at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Villarreal win

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Villarreal vs. CA Osasuna Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Villarreal vs CA Osasuna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Cerámica

Game Overview

Villarreal hosts CA Osasuna in a La Liga clash with Villarreal currently ranked 6th and Osasuna 9th. Villarreal has a strong historic advantage and home form, but recent goal-scoring struggles reduce their edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal has not scored in their last two matches but scored 8 goals in their last 5 overall. Osasuna remains unbeaten in the last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws) and shows defensive solidity with only 0.6 goals conceded per match recently.
  • In their last 6 meetings, Villarreal has not lost to Osasuna (4 wins, 2 draws) and leads the overall H2H record with 16 wins vs Osasuna's 12 in 35 games since 2003.
  • Key Villarreal players Gerard Moreno, Logan Costa, Pau Cabanes, and Willy Kambwala are injured, potentially weakening their attacking options. Osasuna miss Moi Gomez due to injury but have fewer absences impacting starting lineup.
  • The match at Villarreal's Estadio de la Cerámica provides a home advantage. Villarreal's recent Champions League and La Liga fixtures might contribute to fatigue, impacting performance.
  • Villarreal aims to maintain their top-6 standing and bounce back after recent losses, while Osasuna looks to continue their unbeaten streak and close the points gap in the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Villarreal -181, CA Osasuna +460, Draw +330 Villarreal ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Villarreal -1 (-108), CA Osasuna +1 (-112) Villarreal -1 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-120), Under 2.5 (+100) Over 2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal moneyline win

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Atlético Madrid vs. Villarreal Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Wanda Metropolitano

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid hosts Villarreal in a La Liga match. Atlético is the favorite with slightly better recent form and home advantage, while Villarreal is considered a potential upset threat but with some recent struggles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has shown solid but inconsistent form, slightly better defensively and offensively than Villarreal, who have struggled in away games recently.
  • Recent encounters favor Atlético Madrid slightly, especially at home, but Villarreal has been competitive, occasionally causing early pressure.
  • No major injuries reported for Atlético Madrid; Villarreal's squad is largely intact with no critical absences, indicating close strength on both sides.
  • No significant external factors such as weather or travel disadvantage; match at Atlético Madrid's home ground provides them usual strong home support.
  • Atlético Madrid is motivated to secure three points early in the season to climb the table, while Villarreal aims to prove their resilience and avoid an early setback.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -118 Atlético Madrid ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread -118 Atlético Madrid -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under -108 Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Celta Vigo vs. Villarreal Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Celta Vigo vs Villarreal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Balaídos Stadium, Vigo, Spain

Game Overview

The 2025/26 La Liga matchup features Celta Vigo hosting league leaders Villarreal. Celta Vigo currently sits 13th in the standings with a modest points tally, while Villarreal leads the league, demonstrating strong form and consistency early in the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal is in excellent early-season form sitting 1st in La Liga with 6 points from 2 matches, showing offensive prowess and defensive solidity. Celta Vigo is mid-table (13th) with 3 points, struggling to consistently score or maintain defensive stability at home.
  • Recent H2H meetings favor Villarreal slightly, reflecting their superior form and squad depth. Villarreal have been more consistent in securing points against Celta Vigo in recent seasons.
  • No significant injury reports for either side affecting key starters have been noted, suggesting both teams field strong lineups.
  • The match is at Balaídos Stadium, providing home advantage to Celta Vigo, but Villarreal's momentum and depth mitigate this to some extent. No indicated weather or travel issues impacting the game.
  • Villarreal aims to maintain their top league position, while Celta Vigo seeks points to climb out of the mid-table zone; Villarreal's motivation to lead early in the campaign appears higher.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 171, away: 148, draw: 255 Villarreal ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread home: 100, away: -120 Celta Vigo +0 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: -112, under: -108 Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal 24%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Villarreal at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal to win on the moneyline, Celta Vigo +0 spread, and under 2.75 goals total

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Villarreal vs. Girona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Girona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Cerámica, Vila-Real, Spain

Game Overview

Villarreal enters the match as a clear favorite against Girona, reflecting their superior league position and recent positive form. Villarreal began the 2025/26 La Liga season strongly with a 2-0 away win, while Girona struggles as a mid-low table team.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal shows consistent strength with a 61.9% win rate as favorite and solid squad additions this season. Girona has struggled as an underdog, winning only about 6.7% of such matches.
  • Historically Villarreal has had better results against Girona and are significantly favored by bookmakers, indicating a probable trending advantage.
  • Villarreal is missing key players like Logan Costa, Willy Kambwala, Denis Suárez, Gerard Moreno, Diego Conde, and Ayoze Pérez. Despite absences, their depth appears sufficient. Girona injury status is less detailed, implying fewer notable absences.
  • The match venue favors Villarreal at home (Estadio de la Cerámica), and no negative external circumstances appear to impact either team notably.
  • Villarreal aims to maintain upward momentum in the league with a good start, while Girona seeks to improve poor away form. Villarreal’s ambition and squad quality suggest higher motivation to secure all three points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Villarreal: -192, Girona: 460, Draw: 360 Villarreal ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Villarreal -1: -112, Girona +1: -108 Villarreal -1 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.75: -118, Under 2.75: -102 Under 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal to win (moneyline), Villarreal -1 spread, Under 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Villarreal vs. Oviedo Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Oviedo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Cerámica

Game Overview

Opening week La Liga clash between Villarreal, favorites with stronger squad and better recent form, against Oviedo, a newly promoted team with limited pre-season preparation and offensive struggles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal has demonstrated superior quality and consistency, backed by a 65.2% win probability from advanced simulations. Oviedo has had a short pre-season and scored just three goals in four friendlies, indicating offensive shortcomings.
  • Limited recent encounters as Oviedo is newly promoted; historical advantage decisively on Villarreal side.
  • No major Villarreal injuries reported; Oviedo likely cautious as they seek offensive reinforcements before window closes.
  • Match played at Villarreal's home, Estadio de la Cerámica, enhances home advantage; Oviedo's late pre-season may impair match fitness.
  • Villarreal motivated to start season strongly with home crowd, while Oviedo aims to avoid early deficits but may adopt conservative tactics.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Villarreal -275, Oviedo +750, Draw +390 Villarreal ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Villarreal -1.25 at -120, Oviedo +1.25 at +100 Villarreal -1.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 at -115, Under 2.5 at -105 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal to win outright on the moneyline, cover -1.25 spread, and under 2.5 goals for total match goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – August 15, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Liverpool vs. Bournemouth Prediction Liverpool Win -350 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Villarreal vs. Oviedo Prediction Villarreal Win -275 ★★★★☆ 74% (74%)
Girona vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction Girona Win 131 ★★★★☆ 74% (74%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +305

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $81

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Villarreal vs. Sevilla Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Sevilla – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal, Spain

Game Overview

The La Liga match between Villarreal and Sevilla at Estadio de la Ceramica is the final round fixture of the 2024-2025 season. Villarreal, currently 5th in the league with 67 points, hosts Sevilla, struggling in 16th place with 41 points. Villarreal has been in strong form at home this season, while Sevilla has been inconsistent, losing half of their last six matches. Both teams tend to score in their head-to-head meetings, making this an intriguing matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal has won 20 out of 39 matches this season and remains unbeaten in their last 6 home matches against Sevilla across all competitions. In contrast, Sevilla has lost 50% of their recent 6 games and is fighting relegation pressure.
  • In the last 6 encounters, Villarreal and Sevilla have drawn 3 times, with all last 6 meetings featuring goals from both sides. Villarreal has never lost to Sevilla at home in the last 6 matches.
  • No specific injury details were available from the data, but lineups remain key to monitor closer to kickoff.
  • The venue favors Villarreal significantly as they are playing at home. Sevilla's lower league standing and recent form add pressure.
  • Villarreal likely aims to secure European qualification with a win and improve on their 5th place standing, while Sevilla fights to climb out of the relegation zone, increasing the stakes for both teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sevilla: 475, Villarreal: -210, Draw: 390 Villarreal Win ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Sevilla: 1.25 -120, Villarreal: -1.25 +100 Villarreal -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 3 -122, Under: 3 +102 Over 3 Goals ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal is favored to win given their home dominance, consistent recent form, and higher league standing, with an expected competitive scoreline due to Sevilla's tendency to score in head-to-head games.

Predicted Score: 3-1 Villarreal


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