Viacheslav Borshchev vs. Terrance Mckinney Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Viacheslav Borshchev vs Terrance Mckinney – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas

Game Overview

This UFC 317 lightweight bout features Terrance McKinney, a highly aggressive and athletic fighter known for early finishes, versus Viacheslav Borshchev, a crafty striker with defensive wrestling weaknesses. McKinney's style revolves around quick and violent starts aiming for a fast finish, while Borshchev tends to rely on striking counterattacks but struggles defensively against pressure. The match is expected to be action-packed and could end quickly if McKinney achieves an early submission or knockout.

Key Factors to Consider

  • McKinney holds a UFC record of 6-4 with notable fast finishes early in fights, whereas Borshchev has a UFC record of 3-4-1 and tends to have difficulties maintaining defense against aggressive opponents. McKinney lands slightly more significant strikes per minute (5.91 vs. 5.25) with higher accuracy (56% vs. 54%) and absorbs fewer strikes per minute (2.59 vs. 4.77). Borshchev has better strike defense (57% vs. 47%), but overall McKinney's offense and durability metrics favor him.
  • They have no previous direct encounters in UFC or other major MMA promotions, making this a first-time matchup. The striking and wrestling styles suggest a McKinney advantage in pace and finishing ability.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both will enter in typical physical condition.
  • The fight takes place at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, a neutral venue but one where McKinney has fought multiple times. The atmosphere and event magnitude could motivate both fighters. McKinney's recent social media activity shows strong confidence and readiness.
  • McKinney aims to reassert himself with an emphatic win and maintain momentum in UFC lightweight rankings. Borshchev looks to prove his striking skills and overcome defensive vulnerabilities to gain UFC credibility.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Terrance McKinney: -170, Viacheslav Borshchev: 142 Terrance McKinney ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Terrance McKinney -3.5: -165, Viacheslav Borshchev +3.5: 120 Terrance McKinney -3.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: 170, Under 1.5 rounds: -220 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Viacheslav Borshchev -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Viacheslav Borshchev at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Terrance McKinney is predicted to win, likely by first-round submission or TKO, due to his athleticism, aggressive early fight style, and superior striking stats. However, if the fight extends past the first round, Borshchev could exploit defensive lapses. Overall, McKinney's probability of an early finish is the key deciding factor.

Predicted Score: Fight ends in Round 1 via submission or TKO in favor of Terrance McKinney


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