Match Analysis: FC St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 17 May 2025
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg – St. Pauli, Germany
Game Overview
FC St. Pauli, currently 14th in the standings with 32 points, will face off against 18th-placed VfL Bochum, who have 22 points. Both teams are looking to improve their league standing, with St. Pauli seeking a win to secure a better position and Bochum aiming to avoid relegation.
Key Factors to Consider
- St. Pauli has struggled recently, winning only 2 of their last 14 matches in the Bundesliga. However, they have been undefeated in 6 of their last 7 home encounters with Bochum. Bochum, on the other hand, has a high loss rate this season and is desperate for points.
- The recent head-to-head matchups between St. Pauli and Bochum have shown a tendency towards draws, with a 50% draw rate in their last 6 meetings.
- No specific injury reports are available for this match.
- The home advantage for St. Pauli could be a significant factor, as they often perform better at Millerntor-Stadion.
- Both teams are highly motivated, with St. Pauli looking to secure a safer position and Bochum fighting to avoid relegation.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -155 (St. Pauli), 380 (Bochum), 330 (Draw) | St. Pauli to win | β β βββ 41% |
| Spread | -0.75 -122 (St. Pauli), 75 102 (Bochum) | St. Pauli to cover the spread | β β βββ 35% |
| Over/under | Over 3 -105, Under 3 -115 | Under 3 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC St. Pauli 106% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: FC St. Pauli at 106% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the recent form and home advantage, St. Pauli is slightly favored to win this match.
Predicted Score: St. Pauli 1, VfL Bochum 0