Top EV Parlay for Soccer – April 23, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
C.D. San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs. Velez Sarsfield Prediction	Velez Sarsfield	-140	167%
Getafe vs. Real Madrid Prediction	Real Madrid	-125	44%
Estudiantes La Plata vs. Botafogo Prediction	Estudiantes La Plata	120	28%

Combined Odds: +579 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $135.77

Match Analysis: Olimpia Asunción vs Velez Sarsfield – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-09
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Estadio Osvaldo Domínguez Dibb, Asunción, Paraguay

Game Overview

Olimpia Asunción hosts Vélez Sarsfield in a crucial Copa Libertadores matchup. Both teams aim to secure vital points in their group stage campaign. Olimpia has shown resilience at home, while Vélez Sarsfield seeks to improve its away form.

Key Factors to Consider

• Olimpia Asunción has struggled with consistency, while Vélez Sarsfield has shown strength in certain matches but lacks stability away from home.
• Historically, Vélez Sarsfield has had better results against Olimpia in recent encounters.
• No significant injuries reported, but squad depth might impact team strategies.
• The home advantage could play a significant role for Olimpia, while Vélez Sarsfield needs to adapt to the away conditions.
• Both teams are highly motivated to win, given the importance of the match in the group standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence	EV Pick

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Olimpia Asunción -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Olimpia Asunción is likely to secure a narrow victory due to home advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Olimpia Asunción

Match Analysis: Velez Sarsfield vs Peñarol Montevideo – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 2, 2025
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires

Game Overview

Vélez Sarsfield faces off against Peñarol in a high-stakes Copa Libertadores matchup, with both teams aiming to secure crucial points in the group stage. This match is part of Group H, which also includes Olimpia and San Antonio Bulo Bulo. Both teams have a rich history in South American football but are currently facing challenges in their domestic leagues.

Key Factors to Consider

• Peñarol had a strong run in the 2024 Copa Libertadores, reaching the semifinals. However, they have struggled domestically. Vélez Sarsfield, with one Libertadores title, also faces domestic challenges but has shown resilience in recent performances.
• Historically, these teams have had competitive matches, but recent head-to-head data is limited. Both teams will rely on their experience and strategic preparation to gain an advantage.
• There is no detailed information on significant injuries affecting either team ahead of this match. Both sides will likely field their strongest available lineups.
• The match will be played at Vélez Sarsfield's home stadium, providing a potential advantage in terms of fan support. Weather conditions are not expected to play a significant role.
• Both teams are highly motivated to secure a win, given the competitive nature of Group H and their desire to improve on domestic performances.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Vélez: -150, Peñarol: +320, Draw: +200	Vélez Sarsfield	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Vélez: -0.5 -102, Peñarol: 50 -128	Vélez Sarsfield	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 1.75: -128, Under 1.75: -102	Under 1.75	★★★☆☆ 52%

Predicted Outcome

Vélez Sarsfield is favored to win, given home advantage and recent form.

Predicted Score: 1-0 Vélez Sarsfield