Match Analysis: Minnesota Wild vs Vegas Golden Knights – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 11:10 PM UTC
- Location: Grand Casino Arena, Saint Paul, Minnesota
Game Overview
The Vegas Golden Knights (8-4-5) face the Minnesota Wild (8-7-4) in a pivotal matchup as both teams look to stabilize their seasons. The Golden Knights are favored on the road, but the Wild have shown resilience at home. Recent trends suggest a tight, low-scoring game with both teams struggling defensively and offensively over their last 10 games.
Key Factors to Consider
- Vegas is 8-4-5, but only 3-7-0 in their last 10 games. Minnesota is 8-7-4, 4-6-0 in their last 10. Both teams have allowed over 3 goals per game recently, but the Wild average only 2.78 goals per game. Vegas has a slight edge in power play percentage (21.3% vs 26.0%), but Minnesotaβs penalty kill is weaker (73.8% vs 78.7%).
- No direct H2H data for this season, but Vegas has historically performed well against Minnesota, especially on the road. The last few meetings have been close, with most decided by one goal.
- No major injuries reported for either team, but both have had depth issues in the defensive corps. Shea Theodore and Brayden McNabb are key for Vegas, while Minnesota relies heavily on Kirill Kaprizov and Matt Boldy.
- The game is in Minnesota, but Vegas is favored. The venue is neutral in terms of crowd impact, but the Wild have a slight home advantage. Weather and travel are not significant factors.
- Both teams are fighting for playoff positioning. Vegas is trying to regain form after a rough stretch, while Minnesota is looking to build momentum at home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 105, away: -125 | Vegas Golden Knights | Not available |
| Spread | home: -238, away: 195 | Minnesota Wild +1.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | over: 110, under: -130 | Under 6.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Vegas Golden Knights -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 6.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 6.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Vegas Golden Knights win a close, low-scoring game.
Predicted Score: Vegas Golden Knights 3 – Minnesota Wild 2