Location: Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul, Brazil
Game Overview
Juventude hosts Vasco da Gama in a Serie A matchup where both teams struggle near the relegation zone. Vasco is slightly favored given better recent form and home/away trends.
Key Factors to Consider
Vasco da Gama (14th place, 13 points) has a slightly better recent form (WLLWL) than Juventude (17th place, 11 points, LDLLW). Both teams are defensively weak, with Juventude conceding 24 goals in 12 games and Vasco 18 in 13 games.
Historically, Juventude has an edge at home, winning 3 of last 6 home H2H matches with Vasco, who won only once. Most common recent result is 1-1 draw. Goal difference favors Juventude 10-4 at home in recent meetings.
No specific injury reports available from recent data; assume full squads or minor absences for both.
Match is played at Juventude's home ground, Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, which typically gives them moderate home advantage.
Both clubs are fighting relegation; slightly higher motivation expected from Juventude at home to secure vital points.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Juventude: +205, Vasco da Gama: +137, Draw: +215
Vasco da Gama
★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread
Juventude +25: -125, Vasco da Gama -0.25: +105
Vasco da Gama -0.25
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
Over 2.25: -102, Under 2.25: -118
Under 2.25
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Vasco da Gama 14%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 15%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Vasco da Gama to win on the moneyline, with an expectation of a low-scoring competitive match
Santos and Vasco da Gama are closely matched in the Brazil Campeonato with Santos slightly favored as the home team. Both teams have struggled in recent form but Santos hold a minor edge in recent head-to-head and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
Santos currently ranks 15th with 5 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, showing inconsistency, while Vasco da Gama is 17th with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses. Santos has a slightly better goal difference (-4 vs -5). Recent matches show both teams underperforming, but Santos have home advantage.
In their last 10 meetings, Santos has won 5 times, Vasco 3, and 2 ended in draws. Historically, 70% of their encounters see over 1.5 goals, with 50% going over 2.5 goals, indicating moderate scoring tendencies.
No significant injury reports available indicating major absences for either side, suggesting lineups will be close to full strength.
No notable external factors such as weather or travel issues affecting the match; venue is Santos's home ground which benefits them.
Both teams are entrenched in the bottom half of the table, fighting to avoid relegation. Santos may have slightly more motivation playing at home and aiming for points to improve standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Santos -107, Draw 245, Vasco 290
Santos
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Santos -0.5 -105, Vasco +50 -115
Santos -0.5
★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under
Over 2.25 -108, Under 2.25 -112
Over 2.25
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Santos 6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.25 8%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Santos to win; Spread: Santos -0.5; Over/Under: Over 2.25 goals
A tightly contested Brazil Campeonato Serie A match between Vasco da Gama and Atletico Mineiro, two historically balanced rivals with nearly equal head-to-head wins and draws. Vasco is playing at home with slightly better recent offensive stats, while Atletico shows stronger defensive solidity and efficiency.
Key Factors to Consider
Vasco da Gama have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches but also conceded around 1.6 per game. Atletico Mineiro scored 3 goals in their last 5 but concede 1.2 per match and show a higher Asian handicap win % recently (60% vs Vasco's 20%).
In their last 23 encounters, Vasco and Atletico are nearly even with 9 wins each and 5 draws. Over multiple sources and more recent stats, Vasco has a slight edge at home with 10 wins to Atletico’s 8, showing very balanced rivalry dynamics.
No major injury updates provided; expected lineups to be available closer to match start. Impact of absences likely minimal or unknown currently.
Match played at Vasco’s home ground, Estádio São Januário, providing nominal home advantage. No other significant external disruptions noted.
Both teams are mid-table in Serie A (Vasco 11th, Atletico 12th) and motivated to gain points in the 19th round. Atletico’s slight recent form advantage and higher Asian handicap win % imply better momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Vasco da Gama 1.50, Atletico Mineiro 2.05, Draw 2.10
Draw
★★★☆☆ 52%
Spread
Atletico Mineiro +25 (-134), Vasco da Gama -0.25 (112)
Atletico Mineiro +0.25
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
Over 2 (-120), Under 2 (100)
Under 2 goals
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Draw 21%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 24%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)
Mirassol hosts Vasco da Gama in a Brazilian Serie A matchup where Mirassol enters as slight favorites based on recent form and home advantage. Vasco da Gama has struggled lately with no wins in their last five games, contrasting with Mirassol's unbeaten streak over the same period.
Key Factors to Consider
Mirassol has a strong recent run: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses in last 5 games. Vasco da Gama has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in last 5 games, showing clear form gap favoring Mirassol.
Historical data indicates a slight advantage to Mirassol, with a tendency for over 2.5 goals and goals scored by both teams in these encounters.
No notable injury reports affecting the starting line-ups for either team, implying both squads should be near full strength.
Mirassol plays at home with strong local support. The match is televised on multiple channels, indicating normal playing conditions without scheduling conflicts or extreme external pressures.
Mirassol is motivated to maintain strong league position and capitalize on current form, while Vasco da Gama is motivated to end their winless run but are under pressure with recent performance concerns.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Mirassol 100, Vasco da Gama 320, Draw 225
Mirassol
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Mirassol -0.5 100, Vasco da Gama +50 -120
Mirassol -0.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 2.25 -105, Under 2.25 -115
Under 2.25 goals
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Mirassol 20%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 12%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Mirassol at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mirassol to win the match on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, with a moderately low scoring game under 2.25 goals.
Internacional and Vasco da Gama clash in a Serie A matchup, with Internacional favored to win due to their strong home form and Vasco's struggles away from home.
Key Factors to Consider
Internacional has a strong record at home, while Vasco da Gama has been inconsistent and weak defensively away from home.
Historical head-to-heads do not significantly favor either team in recent matches but Internacional's current form gives them an edge.
No significant injury updates are available, but Internacional's squad depth is better.
Momentum and home advantage are key factors benefiting Internacional.
Both teams are motivated, but Internacional's desire to maintain home dominance is higher.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Internacional: -160, Vasco da Gama: 460, Draw: 285
Internacional Win
★★★★☆ 74%
Spread
Internacional: -0.75 -122, Vasco da Gama: 75 102
Internacional -0.75
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 2.25: -108, Under 2.25: -112
Under 2.25
★★★☆☆ 56%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Internacional 6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Internacional is likely to win given their strong home form and Vasco's away struggles.
This matchup between Vasco da Gama and Grêmio presents interesting dynamics given their head-to-head history and recent form. Vasco da Gama has home advantage, while Grêmio's stronger overall record in past meetings may influence the outcome.
Key Factors to Consider
Grêmio tends to perform better historically against Vasco da Gama, with more wins and a slightly higher average score in their matches. However, Vasco da Gama has shown competitive form in recent outings.
Grêmio has won 16 times, Vasco da Gama 12, with 8 draws. The home team's recent form might not fully reflect their historical disadvantage.
Currently, there is no significant injury news for either team that would drastically impact the match.
The match is part of the Serie A, which may see both teams motivated to secure points for different reasons.
Both teams will be motivated to win, but Grêmio might have an edge due to their historical dominance.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Vasco da Gama: 105, Grêmio: 290, Draw: 225
Vasco da Gama
★★★☆☆ 64%
Spread
Vasco da Gama: -0.5 108, Grêmio: 50 -128
Vasco da Gama -0.5
★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under
Over: 2 -125, Under: 2 105
Over 2
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Vasco da Gama 13%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2 8%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Vasco da Gama at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on recent form and historical data, Vasco da Gama might have an advantage playing at home, but Grêmio's historical performance is significant. The match could see a competitive outcome with a potential for over 2 goals, given the teams' scoring averages.