Location: Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Game Overview
Cruzeiro currently sits 2nd in the Brazil Campeonato, showing strong form and an unbeaten record in recent meetings against Vasco da Gama. Vasco da Gama, positioned 16th, have shown resilience with a mix of draws and wins but tend to concede more goals. Both teams have relatively stable attacking output, each scoring around 1-1.2 goals per match recently.
Key Factors to Consider
Cruzeiro won 3, drew 1, lost 1 in their last 5 matches with average goals scored/conceded around 1.2. Vasco da Gama won 3, drew 2 and remain unbeaten in last 5 but with lower scoring and defense conceding often.
Cruzeiro has a superior H2H record with 12 wins to Vasco's 6 in recent meetings, and has not lost in the last 6 encounters (3 wins, 3 draws).
Vasco da Gama are missing multiple key players including Adson, Tche Tche, Jair, which weakens their midfield and defense. Cruzeiro has suspensions for Gabriel Barbosa and Lucas Villalba and some injuries which affect squad depth but less drastic.
Match at Vasco's home ground may give them slight crowd advantage but Cruzeiro's better league position and moral edge offset it.
Cruzeiro fights for top league honors and closer promotion ambitions, Vasco concentrates on avoiding relegation, which may pressure Vasco more defensively and favor Cruzeiro's proactive style.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Cruzeiro: 151, Vasco_da_Gama: 189, Draw: 225
Cruzeiro
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
Cruzeiro: -124, Vasco_da_Gama: -106
Cruzeiro -0
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over: -112, Under: -118
Under 2.25 goals
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Cruzeiro 13%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 5%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Cruzeiro at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.6% (Kelly Criterion)
This Brazilian Serie A fixture features home side Vasco da Gama facing Bahia in a crucial mid-table battle. Vasco da Gama currently hold a slight advantage in recent form and league position, while Bahia have struggled away from home and have a negative goal differential.
Key Factors to Consider
Vasco da Gama are 15th in the league with 23 points from 22 games, showing a mixed form (D-W-L-L-W-D). Bahia sit higher at 6th with 25 points, but their away form is weaker, having won fewer games and scored fewer goals on the road.
Past encounters show a competitive setup, but Vasco da Gama have slightly edged Bahia at home. Historical data suggests a tendency towards low-scoring matches with tight margins.
No major injuries reported for either side that would significantly affect starting lineups or tactical setups, maintaining balanced squads for this contest.
Playing at home in Estádio São Januário gives Vasco a familiar environment and fan support advantage. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be normal without external disruptions.
Vasco da Gama, currently nearer the relegation zone, have stronger motivation to secure points at home to improve their survival prospects. Bahia, comfortable mid-table, may be slightly less urgent.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Vasco da Gama: +126, Bahia: +215, Draw: +225
Vasco da Gama
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Vasco da Gama -0.25: -105, Bahia +25: -115
Vasco da Gama -0.25
★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under
Over 2.5: +100, Under 2.5: -120
Under 2.5 Goals
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Vasco da Gama 8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 14%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline – Vasco da Gama to win; Spread – Vasco da Gama -0.25; Over/Under – Under 2.5 Goals
Location: Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Game Overview
Flamengo, currently 1st in the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A, hosts Vasco da Gama, ranked 15th. Flamengo has a strong historical record and better recent form, with a home advantage at Maracanã.
Key Factors to Consider
Flamengo won 3, lost 2 in last 5; averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Vasco won 1, drew 2, lost 2; averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
In 82 matches since 2004, Flamengo holds the edge with 36 wins to Vasco's 18, and 28 draws. Recent H2H shows Flamengo with 3 wins and 3 draws in last 6 meetings, no Vasco wins.
No critical injuries reported for either side affecting starting XI availability or key players.
Game at Maracanã benefits Flamengo with home crowd support. No adverse external conditions currently impacting the match.
Flamengo motivated to maintain top spot and home dominance; Vasco under pressure near relegation zone aiming for points to improve standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
flamengo: -280, vasco_da_gama: 750, draw: 375
Flamengo
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
flamengo_-1.25: -122, vasco_+1.25: 102
Flamengo -1.25
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
over_2.5: -120, under_2.5: 100
Under 2.5 goals
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Flamengo -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 10%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Brazil Campeonato Serie A clash between Vasco da Gama (home) and Ceará. Vasco da Gama is slightly favored with home advantage but sitting 15th place with poor recent form, while Ceará holds 10th position with slightly better form and motivation to climb the table.
Key Factors to Consider
Vasco da Gama has a record of 4W-1D-8L with 14 goals scored and 18 conceded. Ceará stands at 5W-3D-5L, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Recent runs show both teams somewhat inconsistent, but Ceará demonstrates slightly better defensive stability and more points in last five games (18 vs 13 points overall).
Seven meetings: balanced history with 2 wins each and 3 draws. Recent matches show close contests, suggesting no distinct dominance.
No specific injury report found, so assume typical squad availability for both teams.
Home advantage for Vasco da Gama at Estádio São Januário, but they have underperformed at home this season. No notable external disruptions reported.
Ceará, sitting higher in the table, appear more motivated to maintain or improve standing. Vasco da Gama needs points but recent inconsistency may affect confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Vasco da Gama: -111, Draw: 225, Ceará: 330
Vasco da Gama
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Vasco da Gama -0.5: -110, Ceará +50: -110
Vasco da Gama -0.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 2: -128, Under 2: 108
Under 2
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Vasco da Gama 5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 25%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Vasco da Gama win; Spread: Vasco da Gama -0.5; Over/Under: Under 2 goals
A Campeonato Brasileiro clash where Sport Recife hosts Vasco da Gama. Vasco has a stronger recent head-to-head record but will play away. Both teams show balanced form with slight edge to Vasco historically, though Sport Recife has home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
Vasco da Gama has won 6 of the last 10 encounters versus Sport Recife's 1, with 3 draws. Recent form of both teams in the season is fairly even, but Vasco have demonstrated better consistency on the road.
In last 10 meetings, Vasco won 6, Sport Recife won 1, draws 3. Matches tend to be competitive but with Vasco edging out.
No significant reported injuries impacting key players for either side, allowing both teams to field near full-strength starting lineups.
Playing at home gives Sport Recife advantage in crowd support and familiarity. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be typical for season, no abnormalities.
Both teams are motivated to gain points as mid-table positioning is competitive. Vasco may have slightly higher motivation historically due to better recent results and desire to maintain momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
130
Sport Recife
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
100
Sport Recife -0.25
★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under
-115
Under 2.25
★★★☆☆ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Sport Recife 20%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 8%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Sport Recife at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Vasco da Gama hosts Corinthians in a key Brazil Campeonato encounter. Historically, Corinthians dominate the head-to-head record, but Vasco show decent home form. Both sides have mixed recent results shaping a tight matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
Corinthians have stronger recent form and higher league standing; Vasco da Gama have been inconsistent but leverage home advantage.
In last 10 matches, Corinthians have 7 wins, Vasco 1, 2 draws. Games average around 2+ goals but over 2.5 goals occurred in only 50% of meetings.
No major injuries reported for either side affecting starting lineups significantly.
Match played at Vasco's home ground Rio de Janeiro; potential weather and pitch conditions neutral without significant impact.
Corinthians appear more motivated chasing higher league standings; Vasco motivated to defend home turf and improve position in mid-table.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: +148, away: +213, draw: +205
Corinthians
★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread
Vasco da Gama -0.25: +110, Corinthians +25: -130
Corinthians +0.25
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
over 2 goals: -111, under 2 goals: -109
Over 2 goals
★★★☆☆ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Corinthians 41%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2 5%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Corinthians at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)