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Palmeiras vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-01
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Palmeiras Home Stadium

Game Overview

This Campeonato Brazil match features Palmeiras as clear favorites facing Vasco da Gama. Palmeiras have been in excellent recent form with multiple strong wins in Serie A and Copa Libertadores, while Vasco da Gama have been more inconsistent but possess capable attacking players.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras won 4 of their last 5 matches including high scoring results like 4-1 vs Fortaleza and 3-1 vs River Plate, showing strong attack and defense. Vasco da Gama have 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches but also 2 losses, scoring regularly but conceding often, indicating defensive weaknesses.
  • Palmeiras dominate the H2H with Vasco in recent years: Palmeiras unbeaten in last 13 meetings (9W, 4D) and generally more wins overall (18 to Vasco's 6 since 2004). At Vasco's home, Palmeiras have historically edged slightly with more wins and goal difference in their favor.
  • Palmeiras are missing key players Figueiredo, Joaquin Piquerez, Lucas Evangelista and Paulinho due to injuries. Vasco da Gama have a longer injury and suspension list including Cauan Barros (suspension), Adson, Tche Tche, GB, Jair, Lucas Piton, and Thiago Mendes all unavailable.
  • The match is played at Palmeiras' venue, increasing home advantage. Palmeiras also show momentum from recent continental and domestic victories. Vasco may struggle with squad depth due to many injured/suspended players.
  • Palmeiras, currently 2nd in Serie A, will aim to secure points to maintain a top position. Vasco, 11th, need points to climb the table and avoid relegation worries, providing some incentive but less consistency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Palmeiras: -260, Vasco da Gama: 765, Draw: 373 Palmeiras Win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Palmeiras: -1.25 -111, Vasco da Gama: 1.25 -109 Palmeiras to cover -1.25 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 2.5: -111, Under 2.5: -109 Over 2.5 Goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras are favored to win comfortably with Vasco likely to score but struggle to contain Palmeiras' attack. A home win by a two-goal margin is the most probable outcome.

Predicted Score: Palmeiras 3 – 1 Vasco da Gama


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Vasco da Gama vs. Cruzeiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

The upcoming Campeonato Brasileiro match between Vasco da Gama and Cruzeiro features two historic Brazilian clubs with Cruzeiro currently holding a stronger position in the league. Cruzeiro is placed 2nd in the standings while Vasco da Gama ranks 16th. Both teams have shown competitive recent form that will impact this encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

  • In recent matches, Vasco da Gama has scored 10 goals in their last 5 games but has not kept a clean sheet in 8 matches, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Cruzeiro also scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches and remains unbeaten by Vasco in the last 6 meetings (3 wins, 3 draws). Cruzeiro's top scorer Kaio Jorge (15 goals) is a key threat. Vasco has multiple key injuries while Cruzeiro faces suspensions and injuries to some important players.
  • Historically, Cruzeiro leads the head-to-head record against Vasco da Gama with 12 wins to Vasco's 6, and 9 draws (FotMob). In the broader historical context since 2004, Cruzeiro won 17 times with 64 goals scored compared to Vasco's 8 wins and 41 goals (AiScore). Cruzeiro has not lost to Vasco in the last 6 matches, making them the dominant side in recent encounters.
  • Vasco da Gama’s unavailable players due to injury include Adson, Tche Tche, GB, Jair, Robert Renan, Lucas Piton, and Thiago Mendes. Cruzeiro is missing Gabriel Barbosa and Lucas Villalba due to suspension, and has injuries to Fagner, Joao Marcelo, and Luis Sinisterra.
  • The game will be played at Vasco’s home ground Estádio São Januário, which can provide a home advantage despite Vasco’s lower league ranking. Recent form and player absences on both sides, along with home crowd support, are significant external factors.
  • Cruzeiro, currently 2nd in the league, have strong motivation to maintain form for promotion or championship contention. Vasco, fighting relegation or mid-table obscurity, will be motivated to capitalize on home advantage and improve form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cruzeiro: 1.51, Vasco da Gama: 1.89, Draw: 2.25 Cruzeiro to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Cruzeiro: -124, Vasco da Gama: -106 Cruzeiro 0 spread (draw no bet) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -112, Under 2.25: -118 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cruzeiro 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 -4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cruzeiro at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on current form, head-to-head dominance, and team strength, Cruzeiro is favored to either win or draw the match, with a moderate chance of a Vasco win. The game could be competitive given Vasco’s home advantage but Cruzeiro’s consistent unbeaten streak over Vasco and superior league position tip the balance in favor of an away win or draw.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Vasco da Gama vs. Bahia Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Bahia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-24
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Vasco da Gama and Bahia face off in a Brasileirão Série A match with Vasco da Gama currently 15th in the standings and Bahia 6th. Vasco da Gama has mixed recent results including draws and losses, while Bahia holds a slightly stronger form but has also drawn their last match. This is a crucial mid-table clash with Bahia aiming to solidify their top half standing and Vasco fighting to climb away from relegation zone.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vasco da Gama has struggled at home with inconsistent form, including recent draws and losses. Bahia has held a more stable league position with stronger away performances, currently 6th, giving them a slight edge in confidence and momentum.
  • Historically, Bahia leads the head-to-head with 10 wins against Vasco's 8 wins and 6 draws. The teams have played closely contested matches in recent seasons with no clear dominant team, making this matchup unpredictable.
  • No specific injury data is available from the searched sources for this match. Both teams appear to have their key squads available.
  • The match is at Vasco da Gama’s home ground, Estádio São Januário, which may provide some home advantage despite Vasco’s recent form struggles. Weather and pitch conditions are assumed normal given no adverse reports.
  • Vasco da Gama is motivated to secure points to move away from the relegation threat while Bahia aims to maintain or improve its position in the top half for potential continental qualification, increasing competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia: 215, Vasco da Gama: 126, Draw: 225 Vasco da Gama to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Bahia: 25 -115, Vasco da Gama: -0.25 -105 Vasco da Gama -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2.5 100, Under: 2.5 -120 Under 2.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vasco da Gama 24%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vasco da Gama at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A closely fought match with a slight advantage to Vasco da Gama at home. A low-scoring draw or narrow home win is most probable given recent forms and head-to-head data.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 24, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 24, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Real Betis vs. Nottingham Forest Prediction Real Betis 116 47%
SC Braga vs. Feyenoord Prediction SC Braga 127 32%
Vasco da Gama vs. Bahia Prediction Vasco da Gama 126 24%

Combined Odds: +1008 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $221.62

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Flamengo vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

This Brazil Campeonato match features Flamengo hosting Vasco da Gama at the iconic Maracanã stadium. Flamengo currently lead the league and are known for strong home performances with a confident attack and solid defense, while Vasco da Gama are positioned near the relegation zone struggling for consistent away results. Historically, Flamengo dominates the head-to-head record with more than double the wins against Vasco, reinforcing their favoritism in this encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo have been strong at home with a recent Asian handicap win rate of 60% and averaging about 1.4 goals scored per match while conceding 1.2. Vasco da Gama have a weaker away record with only around 20% Asian handicap win rate and conceding more goals (1.8 per match). Both teams have moderate BTTS occurrence, influenced by Flamengo's tighter defense and Vasco's defensive vulnerabilities on the road.
  • Out of 65 meetings, Flamengo lead with 33 wins, Vasco da Gama have 13 wins and there have been 23 draws. Recent head-to-head encounters favor Flamengo, including a 2-1 home win in their last match against Vasco. Both teams have scored in roughly half of their meetings, but Flamengo's home advantage limits Vasco's scoring frequency.
  • No current injury data explicitly provided. Assumption is no major absences since bookmakers heavily favor Flamengo at home and no injury warnings noted in recent previews.
  • Match is played at Flamengo's home ground, Maracanã, aiding Flamengo's momentum. Vasco's travel and current league pressure near relegation can affect morale. No weather or other external conditions indicated to impact gameplay.
  • Flamengo, as league leaders, are motivated to consolidate their position with a comprehensive home win. Vasco da Gama face relegation pressure, pushing them to fight for points but their weaker away form and recent mixed results reduce their realistic optimism.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Flamengo: -280, Vasco da Gama: 750, Draw: 375 Flamengo Win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Flamengo: -1.25 -122, Vasco da Gama: +1.25 102 Flamengo -1.25 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -120, Under: 2.5 100 Under 2.5 Goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo is predicted to win comfortably with a -1 handicap given their superior form, home advantage, and historical dominance over Vasco da Gama.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – September 21, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Bristol City vs. Oxford United Prediction Bristol City -0.75 -128 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Flamengo vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Flamengo -1.25 -122 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
AS Monaco vs. Metz Prediction AS Monaco -1.75 -110 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +519

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $123.76

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Vasco da Gama vs. Ceará Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Ceará – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

The Brasileirão match features Vasco da Gama hosting Ceará. Vasco currently ranks 15th in the league while Ceará is 11th. Vasco da Gama has been strong recently with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 games, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Ceará, in contrast, has a mixed form with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5, but has struggled offensively recently, scoring only 2 goals in those 5 games and not scoring in last 3 matches. Historically, Vasco da Gama dominates the head-to-head with 8-3 wins over Ceará with 4 draws in 15 matches, though Ceará won the previous 2 encounters. The match is expected to be competitive with Vasco as slight favorites at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vasco da Gama is in better recent form, undefeated in last 5 matches with strong offensive stats. Ceará shows inconsistency and offensive struggles, especially in last 3 matches where they failed to score. Both teams concede 1.6 goals per match on average in recent games, making defensively balanced but with Vasco having the attacking edge.
  • From 15 meetings, Vasco leads with 8 wins, Ceará 3 wins, and 4 draws. Vasco has scored 23 goals to Ceará's 13. However, Ceará has won the last two matches against Vasco, hinting at some recent reversal. Overall, historical data favors Vasco.
  • No specific injury information available from current sources, suggesting no major known absences for either side.
  • The match is played in Vasco da Gama's home ground, Estádio São Januário, which provides a home advantage. No notable weather or external disruptions reported.
  • Vasco da Gama is motivated to improve their league standing, facing a mid-table Ceará side that had recent wins over them, adding a psychological edge to the host to respond. Ceará will look to continue their recent success and break Vasco's home resistance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vasco da Gama: -111, Ceará: 330, Draw: 225 Vasco da Gama ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Vasco da Gama: -0.5 -110, Ceará: +50 -110 Vasco da Gama -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2: -128, Under 2: +108 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vasco da Gama 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vasco da Gama is favored to win due to superior recent form, home advantage, and historical dominance, though Ceará's recent wins over Vasco may ensure a competitive match. Expect a close contest with Vasco narrowly prevailing.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – September 14, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Vasco da Gama vs. Ceará Prediction Vasco da Gama Win -111 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Paris Saint Germain vs. RC Lens Prediction Paris Saint Germain -1.5 -115 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Juventude vs. Flamengo Prediction Flamengo -1.25 -105 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +594

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $138.77

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Sport Recife vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Ilha do Retiro, Recife, Brazil

Game Overview

The match features Sport Recife hosting Vasco da Gama in the Brazilian Campeonato on August 31, 2025. Vasco da Gama currently has the upper hand in the head-to-head record and recent form, having not lost in their last five meetings against Sport Recife (4 wins, 1 draw). Both teams have shown moderate scoring capability with an average of around 2.5 goals per match in their encounters. Sport Recife is struggling in the league standing at 20th, while Vasco da Gama is slightly better positioned at 16th.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sport Recife has scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches and shows some creative threats, led by Lucas Lima and Chrystian Barletta. Vasco da Gama has scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches and remains unbeaten against Sport Recife in recent meetings, indicating better form and morale.
  • Out of 18 matches between them, Vasco da Gama has won 10 times, Sport Recife 4 times, and 4 matches ended in draws. The recent trend strongly favors Vasco da Gama with 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses against Sport Recife, including no losses in their last five games.
  • No explicit injury information was found in the provided data for either team ahead of this fixture.
  • The match will be played at Sport Recife's home ground, Ilha do Retiro, which provides a home advantage, though recent performance does not strongly favor them. No additional external factors such as weather or significant off-field issues were noted.
  • Given Sport Recife's low league position (20th), they have strong motivation to gain points at home to avoid relegation pressures. Vasco da Gama, sitting 16th, will aim to extend their unbeaten run against this opponent and consolidate their mid-table position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sport Recife: 130, Vasco da Gama: 212, Draw: 225 Sport Recife ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Sport Recife -0.25: 100, Vasco da Gama +25: -120 Sport Recife -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over 2.25: -105, Under 2.25: -115 Over 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 53%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sport Recife -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering head-to-head dominance, recent form, and current odds, Vasco da Gama is favored to avoid defeat, but the match could be closely contested with potential for a draw or a narrow win for either side.

Predicted Score: Sport Recife 1 – 1 Vasco da Gama


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Vasco da Gama vs. Corinthians Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: São Januário, Rio de Janeiro, RJ

Game Overview

The match between Vasco da Gama and Corinthians is a Brazilian Campeonato Serie A fixture scheduled for August 24, 2025, at 16:00 local time in São Januário stadium. The venue has a 27,000 capacity and is Vasco da Gama's home ground. Corinthians won the previous meeting in April 2025 by 3-0 at their home stadium, Neo Química Arena, signaling a strong away performance ahead of this encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Corinthians currently show a strong form having defeated Vasco 3-0 in the last encounter this season, demonstrating attacking potency and defensive solidity. Vasco da Gama, while playing at home, have struggled recently against Corinthians but maintain competitive results in the league. Neither team has shown debilitating form fluctuations recently in the Campeonato Brasileiro.
  • The most recent match between these two sides ended with Corinthians winning 3-0 on April 5, 2025, indicating clear dominance. Historically, the teams have had competitive matches, but Corinthians has had the upper hand in recent clashes.
  • No specific injury reports or suspensions for either team are mentioned in the available data, suggesting both sides are likely to field near full-strength squads.
  • The match is played under typical Brazilian Serie A conditions at São Januário with no noted adverse weather or significant external disruptions. Crowd presence may favor Vasco as the home team.
  • Corinthians might seek to assert dominance again, continuing their winning run against Vasco. Vasco, playing at home, will be motivated to avenge their previous heavy defeat and secure points to improve their league standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline corinthians: 213, vasco_da_gama: 148, draw: 205 Vasco da Gama to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread corinthians: 25 -130, vasco_da_gama: -0.25 110 Vasco da Gama -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under over: 2 -111, under: 2 -109 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vasco da Gama 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vasco da Gama at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the previous 3-0 away win by Corinthians and current odds favoring Vasco narrowly, this match is expected to be closely contested but leans towards an away win or tight draw due to Corinthians' strong away performance and Vasco's home advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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