Match Analysis: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Utah State Aggies – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 4:45 PM UTC
• Location: FirstBank Stadium

Game Overview

The Vanderbilt Commodores (4-0) host the Utah State Aggies (3-1) at FirstBank Stadium in a non-conference NCAA football matchup. Vanderbilt is currently undefeated and regarded as the SEC's hottest team, with high offensive efficiency. Utah State has shown resilience with a solid record, but faces a tough test against SEC competition.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vanderbilt boasts a slightly better record at 4-0 with strong defensive metrics, allowing about 10.78 points on average while scoring 23.7 points per game. Utah State holds a 3-1 record and averages 10.94 points allowed with 14.26 points scored, showing room for offensive improvement but a solid defense. Vanderbilt's superior offensive production and experience against tougher competition in the SEC favor them.
• Recent direct matches between these teams indicate Vanderbilt's dominance, with odds heavily favoring them. The spread lines suggest Vanderbilt typically wins comfortably by large margins, supported by historical margin trends in betting and scoring.
• No major injury reports are currently indicated for either team that would significantly impact the game's outcome. Both teams are expected to field their primary starters at full strength.
• Playing at FirstBank Stadium gives Vanderbilt home-field advantage, contributing positively to their performance chances. Weather conditions or other external disruptions are not noted as influential factors.
• Vanderbilt aims to maintain its undefeated streak and prove its strength before facing a major SEC opponent Alabama next week, providing strong motivation. Utah State looks to upset a ranked SEC team on the road to boost its national standing and confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Utah State Aggies: 1100, Vanderbilt Commodores: -2100	Vanderbilt Commodores	★★★★★ 90%
Spread	Utah State Aggies: 22.5 -110, Vanderbilt Commodores: -22.5 -110	Vanderbilt Commodores cover -22.5	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over: 59.5 -112, Under: 59.5 -108	Under 59.5 points	★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Vanderbilt Commodores -29%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 59.5 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 59.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vanderbilt Commodores win comfortably, covering the large spread due to stronger offense, defense, home advantage, and current form. Utah State may struggle to keep pace, particularly scoring against Vanderbilt's defense.

Predicted Score: Vanderbilt Commodores 31 – Utah State Aggies 9

Match Analysis: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Georgia State Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee

Game Overview

The No. 20 ranked Vanderbilt Commodores enter this home game with a 3-0 record and are heavy favorites against the Georgia State Panthers, who hold a 1-2 record. Vanderbilt's strong defense and high-scoring offense contrast with Georgia State's inconsistent offensive performance. The matchup features a large spread and a moderately high total points line, suggesting expectations for a dominant Vanderbilt win but also potential scoring from Georgia State.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vanderbilt has won all their games this season, averaging approximately 40 points scored and 10 points conceded per game, with even stronger home averages of 45 points scored and 3 conceded. Georgia State has struggled with a 1-2 record, showing less consistent performance.
• Though specific recent head-to-head data is limited, Vanderbilt's overall superior team statistics and undefeated start in this season position them strongly over Georgia State.
• No major injury reports affecting the starting lineups for Vanderbilt or Georgia State are available at this time, indicating full-strength squads.
• The game is played at Vanderbilt's home stadium, FirstBank Stadium, giving them home-field advantage. Weather and venue conditions are assumed to be standard with no adverse factors reported.
• Vanderbilt, ranked No. 20 and undefeated, has strong motivation to maintain their perfect record early in the season. Georgia State seeks to upset and improve their losing record, but motivation differences heavily favor Vanderbilt.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Georgia State Panthers: 1700, Vanderbilt Commodores: -4500	Vanderbilt Commodores	★★★★★ 98%
Spread	Georgia State Panthers: 27.5 -102, Vanderbilt Commodores: -27.5 -118	Vanderbilt Commodores -27.5	★★★★☆ 88%
Over/under	Over: 53.5 -110, Under: 53.5 -110	Over 53.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Vanderbilt Commodores 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 53.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vanderbilt is heavily favored to win, expected to cover the large spread due to their dominant performance and home advantage. The over/under is close, but given Vanderbilt's high scoring and Georgia State's moderate offense, the over is more likely, though confidence is moderate due to Georgia State's offensive inconsistency.

Predicted Score: Vanderbilt Commodores 34 – Georgia State Panthers 23

Match Analysis: South Carolina Gamecocks vs Vanderbilt Commodores – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Williams-Brice Stadium, Columbia, SC

Game Overview

The matchup features the No. 11/10 South Carolina Gamecocks (2-0, 0-0 SEC) hosting the ranked RV/RV Vanderbilt Commodores (2-0, 0-0 SEC) at Williams-Brice Stadium. Both teams start the season undefeated, with Vanderbilt coming off a dominant 44-20 road victory against Virginia Tech and South Carolina yet to face a conference opponent. The game serves as an early SEC conference test for both teams.

Key Factors to Consider

• South Carolina holds a strong home advantage and is highly ranked with a 2-0 start. Vanderbilt has also started 2-0, including a significant comeback win at Virginia Tech, outgaining them massively in the second half by 321 to 21 yards. Vanderbilt's offense appears explosive and resilient, while South Carolina's defense will be tested at home.
• No recent head-to-head detailed data is provided, but the teams are both in SEC with competitive matches expected. Historically, South Carolina holds a home-field edge, but Vanderbilt's recent performance signals a potential upset.
• No specific injury reports were provided in the search results, indicating both teams likely field near full-strength squads.
• The game is played at Williams-Brice Stadium with strong fan presence and home crowd energy favoring South Carolina. TV coverage on SEC Network ensures strong visibility. Weather or other external disruptions weren't reported.
• Both teams are undefeated and eager to establish SEC dominance early in the season. Vanderbilt's recent comeback win adds momentum and confidence, while South Carolina aims to leverage home advantage and maintain their top-10 ranking.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	South Carolina Gamecocks: -180, Vanderbilt Commodores: 150	South Carolina Gamecocks	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	South Carolina Gamecocks: -4 -112, Vanderbilt Commodores: 4 -108	South Carolina Gamecocks -4	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 48.5: -110, Under 48.5: -110	Over 48.5 points	★★★☆☆ 60%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	South Carolina Gamecocks -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 48.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

South Carolina is favored to win due to home advantage and higher ranking, but Vanderbilt's strong recent form and offensive explosion make this a competitive game. Expect a close match with South Carolina prevailing by a touchdown margin.

Predicted Score: South Carolina Gamecocks 27 – Vanderbilt Commodores 20

Match Analysis: Virginia Tech Hokies vs Vanderbilt Commodores – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-06
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Lane Stadium/Worsham Field

Game Overview

The upcoming NCAAF matchup features the Virginia Tech Hokies hosting the Vanderbilt Commodores. Vanderbilt enters the game 1-0 after a strong opening performance, while Virginia Tech comes in with a 0-1 record. The Hokies are slight favorites based on odds and expert analysis, with expectations of a competitive game but a Virginia Tech edge.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vanderbilt showcased a solid offense with QB D. Pavia completing 20/25 passes for 275 yards and 3 touchdowns, alongside a balanced rushing attack led by S. Alexander (83 yards). Virginia Tech's K. Drones had a less efficient performance with 2 interceptions and 221 yards passing, while M. Hawkins led the ground game with 58 rushing yards. Vanderbilt's positive start and offensive efficiency contrast with Virginia Tech's need to improve after a loss.
• Recent direct matchups have been competitive, but no definitive dominance by either side. Home field at Lane Stadium slightly favors Virginia Tech historically. The teams have comparable talent levels, heightening the importance of coaching strategies and in-game adjustments.
• No significant injury reports available that impact starting quarterbacks or key skill players for either team at this time.
• The game will be played at Virginia Tech’s home stadium under typical early September weather conditions. Crowd support could boost Virginia Tech. No unusual external factors such as travel concerns or adverse weather are expected.
• Virginia Tech aims to rebound from their opening loss and protect home turf. Vanderbilt seeks to maintain momentum from their season-opening win and prove they can win on the road against an ACC opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Vanderbilt Commodores: -102, Virginia Tech Hokies: -118	Virginia Tech Hokies to win	★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread	Vanderbilt Commodores: +1.5 -112, Virginia Tech Hokies: -1.5 -108	Virginia Tech -1.5	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	Over: 47.5 -108, Under: 47.5 -112	Under 47.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Virginia Tech Hokies -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 47.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Virginia Tech is the predicted winner by a narrow margin, leveraging home field advantage and motivation to improve. The game is expected to be close with a lower-scoring outcome near the totals line.

Predicted Score: Virginia Tech Hokies 21 – Vanderbilt Commodores 16

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Match Analysis: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-30
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, TN

Game Overview

The Vanderbilt Commodores host the Charleston Southern Buccaneers in a 2025 NCAAF matchup at FirstBank Stadium. Both teams enter the game with 0-0 records. Vanderbilt is heavily favored given their SEC affiliation and stronger program history, while Charleston Southern is considered the underdog from a smaller conference.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vanderbilt, as an SEC team, is expected to demonstrate superior talent and depth compared to Charleston Southern, which competes at a lower level. Both teams are starting fresh with no prior games this season; thus, performance projections rely on historical program strength and recruiting.
• Limited or no recent head-to-head history between Vanderbilt and Charleston Southern, given disparities in conference and division levels.
• No significant injury reports currently available for either team leading into this opening match; both teams are assumed to start at full strength.
• The game is played at Vanderbilt’s home stadium, FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, on a warm day (~81°F), with calm weather and no rain expected, conditions favoring Vanderbilt’s usual home advantage.
• Vanderbilt aims to start the season strong at home with a statement win, whereas Charleston Southern looks to prove themselves against a Power Five opponent, providing motivational incentives for both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Vanderbilt Commodores: -20000, Charleston Southern Buccaneers: +3000, draw: N/A	Vanderbilt Commodores to win	★★★★★ 95%
Spread	Charleston Southern Buccaneers: +38.5 -110, Vanderbilt Commodores: -38.5 -110	Vanderbilt covers the spread (-38.5)	★★★★★ 90%
Over/under	over: 48.5 -110, under: 48.5 -110	Under 48.5 total points	★★★★☆ 75%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 48.5 -99%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vanderbilt is heavily favored to win comfortably given their conference strength, home advantage, and larger talent pool. The predicted final score heavily favors Vanderbilt with a large margin, consistent with the current spread and betting market expectations.

Predicted Score: Vanderbilt Commodores 42 – Charleston Southern Buccaneers 7

Match Analysis: Wright St Raiders vs Vanderbilt Commodores – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-01
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Hawkins Field

Game Overview

This matchup in the NCAA Tournament Nashville Regional features Vanderbilt Commodores, who recently beat Wright State 4-3, taking on the Raiders again. Vanderbilt's resilience and strong pitching, combined with Wright State's power hitting, make this a competitive game.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vanderbilt has shown strong pitching, with JD Thompson striking out 12 in their last meeting. Wright State has power hitters who can change the game with home runs.
• Vanderbilt leads the head-to-head series with a recent win over Wright State.
• No reported injuries for either team.
• Playing at Hawkins Field gives Vanderbilt a home advantage, which can boost their morale and performance.
• Both teams are highly motivated, but Vanderbilt's recent comeback win may give them an edge in confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Vanderbilt: -620, Wright State: 400	Vanderbilt Commodores	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Vanderbilt: -4.5 -130, Wright State: 4.5 100	Vanderbilt Commodores	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over: 13 -115, Under: 13 -115	Over	★★★☆☆ 50%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Vanderbilt Commodores -25%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 13 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 13 at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vanderbilt is likely to win given their recent performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Vanderbilt 7, Wright State 3

Match Analysis: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Louisville Cardinals – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-01
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Not Specified

Game Overview

The Vanderbilt Commodores host the Louisville Cardinals in a highly anticipated NCAA baseball match. Vanderbilt, with a strong record, faces Louisville, which recently won a close game against them. The Commodores are favored, but both teams have shown strong performances this season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vanderbilt has been consistent in their performance, while Louisville has shown resilience in key games. Vanderbilt's error-prone defense could be a concern, as seen in their last encounter.
• Louisville leads the Battle of the Barrel series 7-6. However, Vanderbilt has a strong home record and seeks to improve it.
• No significant injuries reported for either team.
• The venue advantage could play a role in favoring Vanderbilt.
• Both teams are motivated, with Vanderbilt seeking to improve their home record and Louisville looking to build on their recent win.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Louisville: 170, Vanderbilt: -220	Vanderbilt	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Louisville: +1.5 110, Vanderbilt: -1.5 -140	Vanderbilt covers	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 12 -115, Under: 12 -115	Under	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Vanderbilt Commodores -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 12 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Vanderbilt is likely to win, given their home advantage and strong overall performance.

Predicted Score: Vanderbilt 8, Louisville 5

Match Analysis: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Wright St Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: May 30, 2025
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Nashville, Tennessee

Game Overview

The Vanderbilt Commodores host the Wright State Raiders in a highly anticipated matchup. Vanderbilt, known for their strong performance in the NCAA, will face off against Wright State, who has shown potential in their recent games.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vanderbilt has a strong lineup and pitching staff, having played against tough opponents throughout the season. Wright State, though less experienced, has gained momentum in their recent games.
• There is limited recent head-to-head data available for these teams, but Vanderbilt generally performs well against less experienced opponents.
• No significant injuries reported for either team as of now.
• The game is at home for Vanderbilt, which could give them an advantage due to fan support and familiarity with the field.
• Vanderbilt is highly motivated to win, given their strong ambitions in the NCAA tournament, while Wright State seeks to upset a top-ranked team.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-620 Vanderbilt Commodores, 400 Wright St Raiders	Vanderbilt Commodores	★★★★☆ 80%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Vanderbilt Commodores -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vanderbilt Commodores at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vanderbilt Commodores are favored to win due to their strong performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Vanderbilt Commodores: 8-3 Wright St Raiders

Match Analysis: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Ole Miss Rebels – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-25
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Hoover, Alabama (SEC Tournament)

Game Overview

The Vanderbilt Commodores face the Ole Miss Rebels in a key SEC Tournament matchup. Both teams have shown strong form in the 2025 season, with Vanderbilt demonstrating dominant performances in nonconference and SEC play, and Ole Miss entering with competitive momentum. The game is expected to be closely contested, given the recent matchup history and the high stakes of the tournament.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vanderbilt has displayed consistent dominance, including a 10-0 shutout win over Tennessee in the SEC Tournament, showing potent offense and strong pitching. Ole Miss recently faced Vanderbilt on April 27, 2025, with a competitive game. Vanderbilt's schedule shows multiple wins over strong NCAA Tournament teams. Ole Miss has also shown resilience and capability but trails behind Vanderbilt in recent head-to-head outcomes and form.
• The recent April 27, 2025 matchup saw a hard-fought game between these teams, with Vanderbilt holding a slight edge historically in SEC play and recent tournament settings. Vanderbilt’s overall winning record versus Ole Miss positions them as favorites in this encounter.
• No specific injury reports for either team were found, suggesting both squads are likely at full strength heading into this game.
• The game is part of the SEC Tournament at Hoover, Alabama, a neutral site that negates home-field advantage but favors teams with strong mental resilience and tournament experience. Weather and field conditions are expected to be neutral and conducive to typical collegiate baseball play.
• Both teams are highly motivated due to the SEC Tournament stakes, with Vanderbilt aiming to capitalize on recent commanding wins and Ole Miss seeking an upset to advance further. Vanderbilt’s recent tournament success gives them a psychological edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ole Miss Rebels: 105, Vanderbilt Commodores: -135	Vanderbilt Commodores	★★★★☆ 78%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Vanderbilt Commodores -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 10.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vanderbilt Commodores are predicted to win a competitive game, relying on superior pitching and consistent offensive output to overcome Ole Miss Rebels.

Predicted Score: Vanderbilt Commodores 6 – Ole Miss Rebels 4

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Ole Miss Rebels Prediction	Vanderbilt Commodores Win	-135	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction	Boston Red Sox Win	-134	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres Prediction	Atlanta Braves Win	-134	★★★★☆ 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +431

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $106.17