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Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Memorial Gymnasium, Nashville, TN

Game Overview

Vanderbilt Commodores host Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions in a matchup featuring a dominant Vanderbilt team undefeated this season against a struggling Arkansas-Pine Bluff squad seeking their first win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vanderbilt is 3-0, averaging 100.7 points per game with elite shooting efficiency (54.6% FG) and solid defense allowing 72.0 PPG. Arkansas-Pine Bluff is 0-4, scoring just 66.3 PPG on 36.1% shooting while allowing 91.5 PPG and struggling on offense and defense.
  • No recent head-to-head history available; however, Vanderbilt's strong form and level of competition in SEC far surpass Arkansas-Pine Bluff's performance in SWAC.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team affecting key players.
  • Vanderbilt plays at home with strong crowd support and motivation to maintain undefeated start; Arkansas-Pine Bluff faces travel and morale challenges.
  • Vanderbilt is motivated to stay undefeated and secure a statement win early in the season; Arkansas-Pine Bluff is motivated to avoid an 0-5 start but lacks offensive firepower.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -100000, away: +7500 Vanderbilt ★★★★★ 99%
Spread home: -108, away: -112 Vanderbilt -41.5 ★★★★★ 95%
Over/under over: -115, under: -105 Over 175.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 175.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 175.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vanderbilt to win moneyline and cover the large spread; the total points will go over the set 175.5 line given Vanderbilt’s high-scoring offense.

Predicted Score: Vanderbilt 99 – Arkansas-Pine Bluff 66


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Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-12
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Memorial Gymnasium, Nashville, TN

Game Overview

The Vanderbilt Commodores (2-0) host the Eastern Kentucky Colonels (1-1) in an early-season NCAA basketball matchup. Vanderbilt has shown strong offensive efficiency and solid defense, while Eastern Kentucky has been inconsistent and struggled against quality opponents.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vanderbilt leads with 2-0 record averaging 105 points per game on 55.9% shooting and allowing 77 points. Eastern Kentucky is 1-1 averaging 100.5 points scored and 73.5 allowed, shooting 48.8% overall but just 29.6% on threes last game.
  • Limited recent H2H data available, but Vanderbilt has a strong home winning history against similar caliber non-ranked opponents, winning 12 of last 13 at Memorial Gymnasium.
  • No significant injury reports affecting starters or key rotation players for either team at this time.
  • Game played at Vanderbilt's home court, Memorial Gymnasium, where Vanderbilt historically performs strongly. No travel fatigue concerns as both teams are playing in relatively nearby regions.
  • Vanderbilt aims to maintain an undefeated start and continue strong showings at home. Eastern Kentucky needs to rebound after a recent loss and prove competitiveness against a Power Five opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -115 Vanderbilt Commodores ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread -115 Vanderbilt Commodores -28.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under -110 Under 170.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 53%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 170.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 53% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vanderbilt to win outright comfortably, cover the large spread, and the total score to go under the posted total due to defensive adjustments and tempo control.

Predicted Score: Vanderbilt Commodores 95 – Eastern Kentucky Colonels 64


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Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Auburn Tigers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Auburn Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 8, 2025
  • Time: 9:01 PM UTC
  • Location: FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, TN

Game Overview

The No. 9 ranked Vanderbilt Commodores (7-2, 3-2 SEC) host the Auburn Tigers (4-5, 1-5 SEC) in a conference showdown at critical junctures for both programs. Vanderbilt aims to keep its College Football Playoff hopes alive and finish strong, while Auburn, coming off a coaching change and a recent loss to Vandy, faces an uphill battle for bowl eligibility and ending the season with a winning record[2][3].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vanderbilt has outclassed Auburn on both sides of the ball this season, with a balanced offense and a defense allowing just over 20 points per game. Auburn’s offense, led by QB Jackson Arnold and RB Jeremiah Cobb, has potential but struggles in the SEC, dropping five of their last six[1]. Auburn’s defense has shown some pressure with 25 sacks and 9 INTs, but consistency remains an issue[1].
  • Vanderbilt beat Auburn 10-3 earlier this season, underscoring a matchup edge[1].
  • No significant injuries reported for either team in the latest available data.
  • Auburn is in turmoil following the firing of head coach Hugh Freeze, leading to additional instability. Vanderbilt is riding the momentum of a strong season and home-field advantage[2].
  • Vanderbilt is highly motivated to boost its Playoff resume and finish as a top-15 team. Auburn must win to avoid a second straight losing season, but Vandy’s strong home crowd and recent form create a psychological advantage[2].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vanderbilt -238, Auburn +195 Vanderbilt Commodores ★★★★☆ 83%
Spread Vanderbilt -6 (-112), Auburn +6 (-108) Vanderbilt Commodores -6 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under O/U 45.5, Over -110, Under -110 Under 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vanderbilt Commodores 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 45.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vanderbilt Commodores at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vanderbilt is the clear favorite, both statistically and situationally, to win and cover, though the total is a toss-up given Auburn’s defensive flashes.

Predicted Score: Vanderbilt Commodores 27 – Auburn Tigers 16


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UCF Knights vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: UCF Knights vs Vanderbilt Commodores – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UCF Knights Home Court

Game Overview

The Vanderbilt Commodores enter as strong favorites based on recent dominant performance and stronger stats relative to the UCF Knights. Both teams are 1-0 this season, but Vanderbilt showed a high-scoring, efficient offense and solid defense in their opener, while UCF posted a narrower win in a lower-scoring contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vanderbilt won their season opener 105-61, displaying strong offense/defense balance, while UCF narrowly beat Hofstra 82-78, suggesting less offensive firepower and more defensive focus.
  • Recent direct matchups data are limited, but Vanderbilt holds the edge in recent form and has better historical strength in SEC vs Big 12 duels.
  • No significant injury reports affecting key starters or rotations for either team.
  • Game played at UCF's home venue, but Vanderbilt's experienced coaching and momentum likely neutralize home advantage.
  • Vanderbilt aims to extend a strong early season statement showing they can dominate, while UCF looks to prove resilience against a superior opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline UCF Knights: +275, Vanderbilt Commodores: -350 Vanderbilt Commodores ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread UCF Knights +7.5: -114, Vanderbilt Commodores -7.5: -106 Vanderbilt Commodores -7.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 166.5: -110, Under 166.5: -110 Under 166.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vanderbilt Commodores 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 166.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 166.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vanderbilt Commodores to win outright on moneyline, cover the -7.5 spread, and the game to go under 166.5 total points.

Predicted Score: Vanderbilt 82 – UCF 74


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Texas Longhorns vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Texas Longhorns vs Vanderbilt Commodores – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Texas Longhorns Home Stadium

Game Overview

Texas Longhorns face Vanderbilt Commodores in a matchup where both teams have shown offensive struggles, particularly Texas with subpar rushing and passing success rates, and Vanderbilt relying heavily on dual-threat QB Diego Pavia. Defensive strengths suggest a low-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Texas is ranked 77th in rushing success and 111th in passing success, with solid defense ranked top 25 in key defensive metrics. Vanderbilt’s offense is led by Pavia, a dual-threat QB but unbalanced, scoring inconsistently.
  • Recent direct matchups have not been dominant for Vanderbilt; Texas defenses typically restrict Vanderbilt’s offense effectively.
  • Uncertainty surrounds Texas QB Arch Manning's participation due to concussion protocol, likely limiting Texas' offensive effectiveness.
  • Home-field advantage for Texas and a motivated defense; Vanderbilt’s offensive line is strong but may struggle against Texas' defensive pressure.
  • Texas aims to maintain bowl eligibility and conference positioning; Vanderbilt seeks another upset but inconsistent offense and injury concerns lower their chances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Texas Longhorns: -154, Vanderbilt Commodores: +128 Texas Longhorns ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Texas Longhorns -2.5: -124, Vanderbilt Commodores +2.5: +102 Texas Longhorns -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 46.5: -110, Under 46.5: -110 Under 46.5 ★★★★☆ 74%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Texas Longhorns 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Texas Longhorns moneyline win, covering the -2.5 spread, with total points expected under 46.5

Predicted Score: Texas Longhorns 20, Vanderbilt Commodores 14


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Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Missouri Tigers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Missouri Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-25
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: FirstBank Stadium, Vanderbilt

Game Overview

A key SEC showdown between two 6-1 teams, Vanderbilt as home favorite against Missouri, presenting a highly competitive match-up with both teams featuring strong recent form and balanced offenses and defenses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both Vanderbilt and Missouri hold 6-1 records with strong conference performances. Vanderbilt is 10-0 as a home favorite and has a slight edge defensively, while Missouri boasts a powerful ground game and efficient passing with key offensive weapons.
  • Missouri has struggled historically against top-10 AP teams while Vanderbilt has thrived as home favorite recently. The matchup is tight with no clear dominance in recent meetings between these top-15 SEC rivals.
  • Current injury reports do not indicate major absences for either team that would significantly alter team strength or depth at key positions.
  • The game is played at Vanderbilt’s home stadium, giving the Commodores a favorable environment. Weather data is not indicated but presumed neutral.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, each 6-1 in the SEC with playoff implications. Vanderbilt aims to maintain dominance at home, Missouri to continue strong road performance and rebound after a recent conference loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vanderbilt -142, Missouri +120 Vanderbilt ★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread Vanderbilt -2.5 (-115), Missouri +2.5 (-105) Vanderbilt -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 51.5 (-112), Under 51.5 (-108) Over 51.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vanderbilt Commodores 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vanderbilt to win on the moneyline, cover the -2.5 spread, and game total to go over 51.5 points

Predicted Score: Vanderbilt 28 – Missouri 24


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Vanderbilt Commodores vs. LSU Tigers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Vanderbilt Commodores vs LSU Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee

Game Overview

No. 17 Vanderbilt (5-1) faces No. 10 LSU (5-1) in a key SEC matchup. Vanderbilt's strong run game (23rd nationally) clashes with LSU's vulnerable rush defense (114th), but LSU's superior talent and coaching could offset this edge. Vanderbilt is coming off a loss to Alabama, while LSU has momentum from a defensive win against South Carolina.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vanderbilt boasts a 23rd-ranked run game and a defense ranked 9th in the SEC in total defense (313.3 ypg) and 10th in scoring (19.3 ppg). LSU is balanced but has struggled vs. the run (114th rush defense). Both teams are 5-1, but LSU's resume is stronger, with a higher ranking and tougher previous opponents.
  • Recent head-to-head data not provided, but SEC matchups are typically high variance and LSU has historically held the upper hand in talent and recruiting.
  • No major injuries reported, but always check for game-day updates as SEC lineups can change rapidly.
  • Home-field advantage for Vanderbilt, but LSU's national pedigree and roster depth may neutralize this. Game televised on ABC, indicating high stakes.
  • High for both: Vanderbilt wants to prove top-20 legitimacy, LSU aims to stay in playoff contention and avenge last year's loss. LSU's defensive woes vs. the run could be exploited, but their offensive firepower is a constant threat.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline LSU +120, VANDY -142 LSU moneyline ★★★☆☆ 63%
Spread LSU +3 (-115), VANDY -3 (-105) LSU +3 ★★★☆☆ 67%
Over/under Over 49.5 (-105), Under 49.5 (-115) Under 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline LSU Tigers 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: LSU Tigers at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Expect a tight, physical SEC game with momentum swings. Vanderbilt's run game will find success, but LSU's superior athletes and coaching adjustments will keep them in control late. The total is set with expectation of moderate scoring, but both defenses have shown the ability to clamp down.

Predicted Score: LSU 24, Vanderbilt 20


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Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Vanderbilt Commodores – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 4, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Bryant–Denny Stadium

Game Overview

The Alabama Crimson Tide hosts the Vanderbilt Commodores in a matchup where Alabama is favored to win convincingly. Alabama is a dominant force in the SEC, while Vanderbilt struggles to compete against top-tier teams.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alabama has shown consistent strength in offense and defense, while Vanderbilt has struggled to match elite teams.
  • Historically, Alabama has a significant advantage over Vanderbilt, though recent games have been closer.
  • No significant injury reports for both teams that would impact the game's outcome.
  • Playing at home gives Alabama an additional advantage.
  • Alabama seeks to build on its season momentum, while Vanderbilt aims to pull off a major upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -430 +340 Alabama Crimson Tide ★★★★★ 92%
Spread -10.5 -115, 10.5 -105 Vanderbilt Commodores +10.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 55.5 -110, Under 55.5 -110 Over 55.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alabama Crimson Tide 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 55.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 55.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alabama Crimson Tide is expected to dominate the game but may face challenges in covering the spread.

Predicted Score: Alabama Crimson Tide 31, Vanderbilt Commodores 20


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Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Utah State Aggies Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Utah State Aggies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 4:45 PM UTC
  • Location: FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee

Game Overview

The undefeated Vanderbilt Commodores (4-0) host the Utah State Aggies (3-1) in a matchup where Vanderbilt is a heavy favorite with a large spread and strong moneyline odds, reflecting their dominant performance and SEC strength.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vanderbilt is 4-0 with a dominant defense allowing only 2.6 yards per carry and a top-10 early down offensive success rate, coming off a 70-21 win. Utah State is 3-1 but ranks poorly in offensive pass play success (128th nationally) and struggles to generate pass rush.
  • Limited recent H2H data available, but Vanderbilt’s SEC pedigree and undefeated record significantly outweigh Utah State’s Mountain West profile and recent results.
  • No significant reported injuries for Vanderbilt or Utah State that materially affect the game's outcome.
  • Game is at Vanderbilt’s home stadium with favorable weather conditions (76°F, no rain, light wind), boosting Vanderbilt’s home-field advantage.
  • Vanderbilt aims to maintain their perfect start and momentum securing a statement win at home; Utah State seeks to upset but faces tough odds and talent gap.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vanderbilt -2100, Utah State +1100 Vanderbilt Moneyline ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Vanderbilt -22.5 -110, Utah State +22.5 -110 Vanderbilt -22.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 59.5 -112, Under 59.5 -108 Over 59.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vanderbilt Commodores 920%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 59.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vanderbilt Commodores at 920% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 83.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vanderbilt to win convincingly, covering the large spread, with a moderately high-scoring game leaning slightly over the total line.

Predicted Score: Vanderbilt 41, Utah State 18


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Top EV Parlay for American Football – September 27, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for American Football – September 27, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Utah State Aggies Prediction Vanderbilt Commodores -2100 920%
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Lindenwood Lions Prediction Miami (OH) RedHawks -1400 683%
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Tennessee Volunteers Prediction Tennessee Volunteers -310 135%

Combined Odds: -206 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $29.69

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