Match Analysis: Valentina Shevchenko vs Weili Zhang – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-16
• Time: 4:45 AM UTC
• Location: TBD

Game Overview

The UFC 322 main event features Valentina Shevchenko defending her status against challenger Weili Zhang in a high-stakes bantamweight MMA match. Both fighters have elite striking and grappling, with Shevchenko known for precision and tactical control, while Zhang brings explosive power and aggression.

Key Factors to Consider

• Shevchenko has consistently demonstrated dominance in recent fights with technical striking and effective fight IQ. Zhang’s recent bouts show resilience and a capability to finish fights quickly, adding an unpredictable element.
• This is a highly anticipated matchup with limited direct past competition between them; however, Shevchenko’s historical record against top-tier opponents edges her as the favorite.
• No reports of recent major injuries affecting either fighter, suggesting both will compete at full capacity.
• The fight location and conditions are standard UFC event settings; no notable external factors such as altitude, travel strain, or controversial judging are currently expected.
• As a reigning champion, Shevchenko is highly motivated to maintain her legacy, while Zhang aims to upset and claim the title, driving high stakes and intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Valentina Shevchenko: -135, Weili Zhang: 114	Valentina Shevchenko	★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread	Valentina Shevchenko: -5.5, Weili Zhang: 5.5	Valentina Shevchenko covers the spread (-5.5)	★★★☆☆ 54%
Over/under	Over: -270, Under: 200	Under 4.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Valentina Shevchenko -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 4.5 116%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 4.5 at 116% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 58% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Valentina Shevchenko is predicted to win by decision or a late stoppage, leveraging her strategic approach and adaptability over Zhang’s aggressive style.

Predicted Score: Valentina Shevchenko wins by decision at 5 rounds (3-2 rounds)

Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – November 15, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Angela Hill vs. Fatima Kline Prediction	Under 2.5	270	170%
Valentina Shevchenko vs. Weili Zhang Prediction	Under 4.5	200	116%
Tracy Cortez vs. Erin Blanchfield Prediction	Over 2.5	-445	72%

Combined Odds: +1259 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $271.89

Match Analysis: Valentina Shevchenko vs Manon Fiorot – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-11
• Time: 3:45 AM UTC
• Location: Bell Centre, Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Game Overview

The highly anticipated UFC 315 co-main event features Valentina Shevchenko defending her women's flyweight title against undefeated challenger Manon Fiorot. Shevchenko is making her first title defense in her second reign after regaining the belt from Alexa Grasso, while Fiorot returns from a year-long hiatus holding a perfect UFC record of 7-0. The fight is expected to be a five-round battle showcasing elite striking, grappling, and championship-level determination.

Key Factors to Consider

• Shevchenko brings extensive championship experience with a UFC record of 13-3-1 and recent success avenging her loss to Grasso. Fiorot, on the other hand, is an undefeated rising star known for her strong striking and tactical approach, coming off a unanimous decision win after her hiatus.
• They have not fought before, making this a fresh matchup with contrasting styles—Shevchenko’s seasoned, precise striking and grappling versus Fiorot’s aggressive, unbeaten momentum and power.
• No significant injuries reported for either fighter as of the latest information, indicating both are likely to compete at full strength.
• The fight takes place at the Bell Centre in Montreal, which is neutral ground with no clear home advantage. There is notable psychological tension, with Shevchenko feeling disrespected by Fiorot’s pre-fight comments, adding motivation for Shevchenko.
• Shevchenko is motivated to solidify her legacy with a successful title defense, while Fiorot aims to maintain her perfect UFC record and claim the flyweight crown, driving a high-stakes competitive atmosphere.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Manon Fiorot: -135, Valentina Shevchenko: 114	Manon Fiorot to win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Manon Fiorot: -5.5 150, Valentina Shevchenko: +5.5 -205	Manon Fiorot to win by more than 5.5 points (rounds equivalent)	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 4.5 -315, Under: 4.5 230	Under 4.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Manon Fiorot -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 4.5 82%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 4.5 at 82% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The prediction leans slightly towards Manon Fiorot securing a victory by decision if she can maintain control and pace, while Shevchenko could win by KO/TKO utilizing her precision striking and experience. The fight is expected to be closely contested but Fiorot’s momentum and odds favor her edging this matchup.

Predicted Score: Manon Fiorot wins by unanimous decision after 5 rounds

Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – May 10, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Salahdine Parnasse vs. Marian Ziolkowski Prediction	Salahdine Parnasse	-1800	580%
Bekzat Almakhan vs. Brad Katona Prediction	Under 2.5	250	166%
Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot Prediction	Over 4.5	-315	49%

Combined Odds: +387 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $97.35