Match Analysis: Utah Utes vs Arizona State Sun Devils – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-11
- Time: 2:15 AM UTC
- Location: Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, Utah
Game Overview
The Utah Utes (4-1) will host the Arizona State Sun Devils (4-1) in a Big 12 matchup featuring two teams with evenly matched records but contrasting styles: a top-10 rushing attack from Utah against a top-10 run defense from Arizona State.
Key Factors to Consider
- Utah boasts the 9th-ranked rushing attack averaging 242.6 yards/game and a strong defense allowing just 14.6 points/game. Arizona State has a stout 8th-ranked run defense (78.2 yards allowed/game) and is 2-0 in conference play with recent success covering spreads as underdogs.
- Arizona State has won 10 of its last 11 conference games and has covered the spread in its last four games as an underdog. Utah has struggled to cover the spread at home, losing its last five conference home games and failing to cover in six of seven recent October games as a favorite.
- No major injury news reported impacting key players on either side, suggesting both teams will be near full strength.
- The game is played in Salt Lake City's Rice-Eccles Stadium benefiting Utah with home field advantage and the altitude factor. Weather and other external conditions are expected to be neutral.
- Utah aims to stabilize after a recent tough loss and improve conference standing at home. Arizona State enters confident with strong conference momentum, aiming to extend its road success and maintain dominance in the Big 12.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Utah Utes -225, Arizona State Sun Devils +185 | Utah Utes | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Utah Utes -6 (-110), Arizona State Sun Devils +6 (-110) | Utah Utes -6 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 48.5 (-108), Under 48.5 (-112) | Under 48.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Utah Utes -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 48.5 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Utah Utes to win moneyline and cover the spread; total points to go under 48.5
Predicted Score: Utah Utes 24 – Arizona State Sun Devils 17