Match Analysis: Missouri State Bears vs UT Martin Skyhawks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 11:07 PM UTC
• Location: Robert W. Plaster Stadium, Springfield, Missouri

Game Overview

Missouri State Bears host UT Martin Skyhawks in an NCAA FCS matchup as part of their 2025 football schedules. Missouri State enters with a 1-2 record, including a recent close win and losses to strong opponents. UT Martin is winless at 0-3 and seeking to avoid further setbacks.

Key Factors to Consider

• Missouri State has demonstrated better competitiveness with a 1-2 record, including narrow wins and losses by moderate margins. UT Martin has struggled significantly with a 0-3 record, indicating offensive and defensive challenges. Missouri State's ability to cover a heavy spread suggests stronger team dynamics.
• The matchup is relatively infrequent and limited recent direct competition data is available. Missouri State appears favored with home advantage and stronger season outlook.
• No specific injury reports available for either team prior to kickoff, suggesting both teams likely have full or near-full rosters.
• Game played at Missouri State's home stadium provides them a clear home-field advantage. Weather or other environmental factors have not been reported to impact the game.
• UT Martin is motivated to avoid an 0-4 start on the road, while Missouri State aims to bolster their records early in the season during their Family Weekend and special event promotions.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Missouri State Bears: -600, UT Martin Skyhawks: 430	Missouri State Bears to win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Missouri State Bears: -13.5 at -122, UT Martin Skyhawks: +13.5 at 100	Missouri State Bears to cover -13.5 spread	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over: 52.5 at -110, Under: 52.5 at -110	Over 52.5 total points	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Missouri State Bears -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 52.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 52.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Missouri State Bears are predicted to win comfortably by more than two touchdowns, leveraging home advantage and overall stronger season form.

Predicted Score: Missouri State Bears 35 – UT Martin Skyhawks 17

Match Analysis: UTEP Miners vs UT Martin Skyhawks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-06
• Time: 1:05 AM UTC
• Location: Sun Bowl, El Paso, Texas

Game Overview

The 2025 NCAA football matchup between the UTEP Miners and the UT Martin Skyhawks is the home opener for UTEP, held at the Sun Bowl in El Paso. Both teams enter with a 0-1 record. UTEP lost their season opener at Utah State 28-16, while UT Martin also looks to rebound from an early season loss. The game is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET on September 6, 2025, and will be broadcast on ESPN+.

Key Factors to Consider

• UTEP has run a competitive first game but fell short against Utah State, showing some defensive vulnerabilities and moderate offensive output. UT Martin, also starting 0-1, will look to exploit UTEP’s home-field pressure and adjust after their first matchup loss. Both teams are early in their seasons, so performance consistency is yet to be established.
• Recent direct head-to-head results are limited publicly for this exact matchup, but past seasons show a competitive balance with home-field advantage playing a role. There is no indication of a recent streak favoring either side decisively.
• No significant injury reports available that would impact the starting lineups substantially for either UTEP or UT Martin at kickoff.
• Playing at the Sun Bowl gives UTEP the advantage of familiar conditions and home crowd support. Weather conditions are expected to be typical early September in El Paso, favoring no team unusually. Betting markets show UTEP favored both on moneyline and spread, signaling public and bookmaker confidence in the home side.
• UTEP is highly motivated to bounce back at home after their opening loss, supported by their home opener event with a game sponsor. UT Martin will be seeking to notch their first win of the season, aiming to overcome the away challenge and build confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	UTEP Miners: -196, UT Martin Skyhawks: 162	UTEP Miners to win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	UTEP Miners: -5.5 -110, UT Martin Skyhawks: 5.5 -110	UTEP Miners to cover -5.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over: 51.5 -110, Under: 51.5 -110	Over 51.5 points	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	UTEP Miners -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 51.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UTEP Miners are favored to win the game by at least a touchdown margin, leveraging home advantage and perceived stronger roster depth. The final game score is likely to be moderately high, close to the set over/under line, but favoring UTEP within the spread.

Predicted Score: UTEP Miners 31 – 20 UT Martin Skyhawks

Match Analysis: Oklahoma State Cowboys vs UT Martin Skyhawks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-28
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK

Game Overview

The 2025 season opener features Oklahoma State Cowboys hosting the UT Martin Skyhawks at Boone Pickens Stadium. Oklahoma State aims to rebound after a disappointing 2024 season, looking to re-establish themselves as Big 12 contenders. UT Martin, a dominant FCS program with multiple consecutive conference championships and a formidable run defense, pose a credible challenge, making the game potentially competitive despite the disparity in division levels.

Key Factors to Consider

• Oklahoma State struggled in 2024 but brings a refreshed roster with key offensive and defensive players ready to perform. UT Martin enters with momentum from consistent conference success and a strong, stingy run defense, typical of their four straight conference championships and playoff appearances.
• Limited or no recent head-to-head history at the FBS level between Oklahoma State and UT Martin, as UT Martin is an FCS team. Historically, matchups between FBS and FCS opponents heavily favor the FBS team, especially one from a Power Five conference like Oklahoma State.
• No major injuries reported for either team as preseason progresses. Oklahoma State's key offensive and defensive players expected to be healthy. UT Martin also reports good health heading into the season opener.
• The game is played at Oklahoma State’s home stadium, Boone Pickens Stadium, providing a strong home-field advantage. Since it is season opener, weather conditions are typically favorable for football in Stillwater in late August. The psychological factor of Oklahoma State seeking redemption after 2024 adds motivational weight.
• Oklahoma State has high motivation to start positively and reverse last year's disappointing results. UT Martin is motivated to prove its competitiveness against a Power Five opponent, aiming to continue its winning legacy and push Oklahoma State aggressively.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Oklahoma State Cowboys: -1200, UT Martin Skyhawks: 720	Oklahoma State Cowboys	★★★★★ 90%
Spread	Oklahoma State Cowboys: -19.5 -105, UT Martin Skyhawks: 19.5 -115	Oklahoma State Cowboys to cover -19.5	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over: 55.5 -110, Under: 55.5 -110	Over 55.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Oklahoma State Cowboys -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 55.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 55.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oklahoma State Cowboys are heavily favored to win given their FBS status, home advantage, and motivation to redeem the previous season. However, UT Martin’s strong defensive capabilities and program consistency may keep the score respectable. Expected outcome is a dominant Oklahoma State victory with a likely score range reflecting comfortable margin against strong resistance.

Predicted Score: Oklahoma State Cowboys 42 – 17 UT Martin Skyhawks

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Duke Blue Devils vs. Elon Phoenix Prediction	Under 47.5	-110	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. UT Martin Skyhawks Prediction	Over 55.5	-110	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
South Florida Bulls vs. Boise State Broncos Prediction	Boise State Broncos -6.5	-108	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +602

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $140.39