Match Analysis: Missouri State Bears vs UT Martin Skyhawks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 11:07 PM UTC
• Location: Robert W. Plaster Stadium, Springfield

Game Overview

Missouri State Bears (1-2) host UT Martin Skyhawks (0-3) in a matchup featuring two struggling teams early in the season. Missouri State is slight favorite at home with a strong public leaning, while UT Martin has struggled to find consistency.

Key Factors to Consider

• Missouri State is 1-2 overall but 2-1 against the spread recently, showing some ability to cover despite losses. UT Martin is 0-3, having been outscored heavily, with a 1-22 SU record in the last 23 games, indicating severe difficulties on both sides of the ball.
• Recent direct matchups data is sparse, but Missouri State has generally held an edge at home. The trends favor Missouri State winning outright and covering spreads in recent meetings.
• No significant injury reports publicly available that impact key positions for either team, implying relatively full rosters.
• Weather is expected to be mild at 78°F, with some rain and moderate wind, unlikely to drastically affect gameplay. Home crowd support and travel fatigue slightly favor Missouri State.
• Missouri State seeks to recover from a slow start and prove competitiveness in front of their home fans. UT Martin is looking to break a long losing skid and avoid an 0-4 hole early in the season, which could increase desperation but also impact execution.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Missouri State Bears: -580, UT Martin Skyhawks: +420	Missouri State Bears	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Missouri State Bears -13.5: -115, UT Martin Skyhawks +13.5: -105	Missouri State Bears -13.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 52.5: -110, Under 52.5: -110	Under 52.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Missouri State Bears -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 52.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Missouri State Bears to win on the moneyline and cover the -13.5 spread; game total to stay under 52.5 points

Predicted Score: Missouri State Bears 28 – UT Martin Skyhawks 12

Match Analysis: UTEP Miners vs UT Martin Skyhawks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-07
• Time: 1:05 AM UTC
• Location: Sun Bowl Stadium, El Paso, TX

Game Overview

UTEP Miners and UT Martin Skyhawks both enter Week 2 of the 2025 season with 0-1 records, meeting at the Sun Bowl. UTEP lost their opener on the road at Utah State 28-16, struggling offensively especially in the second half, while UT Martin also opened 0-1. The game is projected to be competitive, with UTEP slight favorites at home and a moderate spread set.

Key Factors to Consider

• UTEP's offense struggled in Week 1 after falling behind early; defense was moderate but allowed key plays. UT Martin’s form shows similar early season vulnerability. Both teams have 0-1 records, showing some rust and adjustments needed.
• Recent head-to-head data is limited but tends to favor UTEP slightly at home. No significant historical dominance by either; the 2025 meeting is expected to be close.
• No major injury reports are impacting starting lineups on either side, suggesting both teams will be near full strength.
• Weather at the Sun Bowl is expected to be clear and warm (78°F), with no rain and light winds, so conditions favor a standard game flow.
• UTEP plays at home looking to rebound strongly after a road loss, giving them a motivational edge. UT Martin aims to start their season with a win on the road, but historical pressure on the road and marginally less acclimatization put them at a disadvantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -196, away: +162	UTEP Miners	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	UTEP Miners: -5.5 -110, UT Martin Skyhawks: +5.5 -110	UTEP Miners -5.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	over 51.5: -110, under 51.5: -110	Under 51.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	UTEP Miners -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 51.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The highest expected value lies in backing the UTEP Miners to cover the 5.5-point spread at home, given their home field advantage, motivation to rebound, and marginal statistical edge.

Predicted Score: UTEP Miners 27 – 20 UT Martin Skyhawks

Match Analysis: Oklahoma State Cowboys vs UT Martin Skyhawks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-28
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK

Game Overview

The Oklahoma State Cowboys, a Power Five FBS team, host the UT Martin Skyhawks, a strong FCS side coming off a solid previous season. Oklahoma State enters as heavy favorites based on superior roster depth and overall talent, though UT Martin has a well-coordinated defense and stable coaching to stay competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

• Oklahoma State is undefeated in recent opening campaigns and is widely expected to dominate given its FBS status. UT Martin had a strong 9-win season last year with a solid rushing offense and top defensive units but lost considerable talent.
• No recent documented direct meetings given difference in division levels; UT Martin typically competes in FCS playoffs whereas Oklahoma State faces stronger Power Five FBS competition.
• No major injuries reported for Oklahoma State. UT Martin retains core defensive personnel but lost some offensive skill position players, relying on transfers at QB and WR.
• Game played at Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater giving Oklahoma State home-field advantage in familiar conditions with mild weather and low rain/wind expected.
• Oklahoma State aims to start the season strong against a lower-division opponent; UT Martin motivated to prove FCS strength against Power Five foe, but motivation differentials favor the home FBS team.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Oklahoma State Cowboys: -1200, UT Martin Skyhawks: +720	Oklahoma State Cowboys	★★★★★ 92%
Spread	Oklahoma State Cowboys -19.5: -105, UT Martin Skyhawks +19.5: -115	Oklahoma State Cowboys -19.5	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over 55.5: -110, Under 55.5: -110	Under 55.5	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Oklahoma State Cowboys -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 55.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 55.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oklahoma State Cowboys to win straight-up, cover the 19.5-point spread, with total points projected to stay under 55.5.

Predicted Score: Oklahoma State Cowboys 38 – UT Martin Skyhawks 14