Match Analysis: Muslim Salikhov vs Uros Medic – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-09
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Vegas 111

Game Overview

Muslim Salikhov faces Uros Medic in a welterweight UFC matchup. Salikhov is a seasoned striker known for dynamic stand-up, while Medic is a powerful knockout artist with recent momentum, having defeated Gilbert Urbina via first-round KO in August 2025.

Key Factors to Consider

• Salikhov has a versatile striking style but recent performances show less finishing power, whereas Medic has demonstrated significant knockout capability recently, boosting his confidence and form.
• No prior head-to-head matchup exists between Salikhov and Medic, making this a first encounter with limited direct comparative data.
• No reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into this bout.
• Fight takes place at UFC Vegas 111, a neutral venue with no significant travel disadvantages for either fighter. Both competitors have shown robustness in similar environments.
• Medic's recent KO victory and rising momentum provide high motivation; Salikhov seeks to re-establish himself against a younger contender, adding personal stakes for redemption.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-148 for Uros Medic, +124 for Muslim Salikhov	Uros Medic	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Muslim Salikhov +3.5 at 105, Uros Medic -3.5 at -140	Uros Medic -3.5	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds at 140, Under 1.5 rounds at -180	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Uros Medic -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 44%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Uros Medic to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Uros Medic wins by KO/TKO late in round 2 or early round 3

Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – November 8, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Tecia Torres vs. Denise Gomes Prediction	Under 2.5	280	158%
Muslim Salikhov vs. Uros Medic Prediction	Over 1.5	140	44%
Josh Hokit vs. Max Gimenis Prediction	Over 1.5	120	32%

Combined Odds: +1906 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $401.28

Match Analysis: Uros Medic vs Gilbert Urbina – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-09
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Uros Medic and Gilbert Urbina face off at UFC Vegas 109 in a welterweight bout. Medic is the strong favorite based on recent form, statistical combat metrics, and defensive ability.

Key Factors to Consider

• Medic has a 10-3 career record with a high significant strike accuracy (60%) and better strike defense (56%) compared to Urbina's 57% accuracy and 44% defense. Medic absorbs fewer strikes per minute (3.46) than Urbina (4.61), indicating a better defensive profile.
• No direct head-to-head matchups recorded between Medic and Urbina.
• No recent injury reports for either fighter, suggesting both are in good health coming into the fight.
• Fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue with no clear home advantage. Both fighters have equal weight class conditions.
• Medic, as the favorite, is likely motivated to solidify his status with a decisive win. Urbina is considered an underdog, potentially increasing his motivation to upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Uros Medic -450 / Gilbert Urbina +350	Uros Medic	★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds +120 / Under 1.5 rounds -150	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Uros Medic -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Uros Medic to win on the moneyline with a fight likely finishing under 1.5 rounds due to his striking accuracy and defensive skills limiting exchanges.

Predicted Score: Uros Medic wins by TKO in Round 2

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Sanon Sadeck vs. Yabna N'Tchalá Prediction	Sanon Sadeck Win	-290	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Eryk Anders Prediction	Christian Leroy Duncan -3.5	-205	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Uros Medic vs. Gilbert Urbina Prediction	Uros Medic Win	-450	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +145

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $48.91