Top EV Parlay for Soccer – April 27, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Vitoria vs. Grêmio Prediction	Vitoria	140	69%
Moreirense FC vs. Nacional Prediction	Moreirense FC	115	64%
VfL Bochum vs. Union Berlin Prediction	VfL Bochum	125	58%

Combined Odds: +1061 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $232.2

Match Analysis: Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-06
• Time: 3:30 PM UTC
• Location: An der alten Försterei

Game Overview

Union Berlin hosts VfL Wolfsburg in a Bundesliga match, where both teams are positioned differently in the league table. Union Berlin is currently 13th, while Wolfsburg is 9th. Recent performances show Union Berlin secured a win over SC Freiburg, while Wolfsburg suffered a home defeat to Heidenheim. The match promises to be competitive given their differing league positions and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

• Union Berlin's recent win over Freiburg is a boost, but Wolfsburg's stronger offensive capabilities might pose a challenge. Union Berlin has allowed an average of 1.4 goals per match, while Wolfsburg averages 1.8 goals scored.
• In their last meeting in November 2024, Wolfsburg won 1-0 against Union Berlin. Historically, matches between these teams have been closely contested.
• No specific injury reports are provided, but team lineups may influence the game dynamics.
• Home advantage might play a role for Union Berlin, but Wolfsburg's overall league position indicates better consistency.
• Both teams have motivation: Union Berlin to improve their league standing and Wolfsburg to consolidate in the top half.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Union Berlin: 145, VfL Wolfsburg: 190, Draw: 240	Draw or Underdog Win (Wolfsburg)	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Union Berlin: 0 -130, VfL Wolfsburg: 0 110	Union Berlin pick given the draw line	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under	Over 2.5 100, Under 2.5 -120	Under 2.5 Goals	★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Given Wolfsburg's offensive prowess and recent head-to-head, they have a slight edge, but the match is expected to be tight with a possibility of few goals.

Predicted Score: 1-1

Match Analysis: SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-30
• Time: 1:30 PM UTC
• Location: Europa-Park-Stadion

Game Overview

SC Freiburg currently holds 6th place in the Bundesliga, while Union Berlin is in 13th. Freiburg aims to solidify their position in European competition, while Union Berlin seeks to escape the relegation zone.

Key Factors to Consider

• SC Freiburg has a record of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, scoring 36 goals and conceding 38, resulting in a -2 goal differential. Union Berlin has struggled with a 7-6-13 record, scoring only 24 goals and allowing 39, giving them a -15 goal differential.
• In the last 18 meetings, Union Berlin has won 8 times, SC Freiburg has won 5 times, and there have been 5 draws. The goal difference in these encounters is slightly in favor of Union Berlin at 27-26.
• SC Freiburg is missing Marco Röhl and Bruno Ogbus due to injuries. Union Berlin has similar concerns with Robert Skov, Aljoscha Kemlein, and Daniel-Kofi Kyereh unavailable.
• Freiburg plays at home, where they have a better record (8 wins at home) compared to Union Berlin's away performance (4 wins). The home environment could positively influence Freiburg's performance.
• Freiburg is motivated to maintain their European competition spot, while Union Berlin needs points to avoid relegation. This disparity in motivation could impact the match outcome.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence

Predicted Outcome

SC Freiburg to win.

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-15
• Time: 2:30 PM UTC
• Location: An der alten Försterei, Berlin, Germany

Game Overview

This match pits Union Berlin, currently ranked 13th in the Bundesliga, against league leaders Bayern Munich. Bayern Munich's strong form and Union Berlin's struggles against top-tier teams make Bayern the clear favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bayern Munich has consistently performed well this season, maintaining their position at the top of the Bundesliga. Union Berlin, while capable of upsets, generally struggles against stronger opponents.
• Historically, Bayern Munich has dominated matches against Union Berlin, with recent encounters favoring the Bavarians.
• No significant injury reports have been noted for either team that would drastically impact the match outcome.
• The home advantage might slightly benefit Union Berlin, but Bayern's experience and depth are expected to mitigate this factor.
• Bayern Munich is highly motivated to maintain their league lead, while Union Berlin seeks to pull off an upset to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bayern Munich: -275, Union Berlin: 650, Draw: 440	Bayern Munich	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	Bayern Munich: -1.5 102, Union Berlin: 1.5 -122	Bayern Munich	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under	Over: 3 -102, Under: 3 -118	Over	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Bayern Munich is likely to win due to their superior form and historical dominance over Union Berlin.

Predicted Score: Bayern Munich 2, Union Berlin 0

Match Analysis: Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-02
• Time: 2:30 PM UTC
• Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Game Overview

Union Berlin hosts Holstein Kiel in a Bundesliga match. Union Berlin is favored to win, given their historical dominance over Holstein Kiel and their current form.

Key Factors to Consider

• Union Berlin has shown stronger performance in head-to-head matches, winning 6 out of 10 recent encounters. However, Holstein Kiel has been scoring more goals per game in their away fixtures.
• In the past 10 meetings, Union Berlin has won 6 times, while Holstein Kiel has won 3 times. Union Berlin has scored 22 goals to Holstein Kiel's 12.
• No specific injury reports are available for this match.
• Weather and crowd support could influence the match, but specific data is not available.
• Both teams are motivated to improve their league standings, but Union Berlin's historical advantage might give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-170 (Union Berlin), 430 (Holstein Kiel), 300 (Draw)	Union Berlin	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	-1 (Union Berlin) 100, 1 (Holstein Kiel) -120	Union Berlin -1	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 2.75 -115, Under 2.75 -105	Over 2.75	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Union Berlin is likely to win due to their historical dominance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Union Berlin

Match Analysis: Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-22
• Time: 5:30 PM UTC
• Location: Signal Iduna Park

Game Overview

Borussia Dortmund and Union Berlin face off in a crucial Bundesliga match. Dortmund seeks revenge after a recent 2-1 loss to Union Berlin, while Union Berlin aims to improve their away record.

Key Factors to Consider

• Borussia Dortmund has struggled at home, winning only once in their last six Bundesliga matches. Union Berlin has lost five of their last seven away games, scoring less than 0.5 goals in most of them.
• Borussia Dortmund holds a strong head-to-head record against Union Berlin with a 7-0-3 win-draw-loss record. Recent matches have been high-scoring, with over 2.5 goals in seven of the last ten encounters.
• Union Berlin will be without Kevin Volland due to a suspension.
• The match is crucial for both teams as they aim to improve their mid-table positions in the Bundesliga.
• Borussia Dortmund is highly motivated to avenge their recent loss and improve their home record, while Union Berlin seeks to break their away losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Borussia Dortmund: -195, Union Berlin: 470, Draw: 340	Borussia Dortmund	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread	Borussia Dortmund: -1 -112, Union Berlin: 1 -108	Borussia Dortmund -1	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Over_under	Over 2.5: -182, Under 2.5: 140	Over 2.5	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

Borussia Dortmund is likely to win due to their strong head-to-head record and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Borussia Dortmund 2, Union Berlin 1