Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin, Germany
Game Overview
Union Berlin hosts TSG Hoffenheim in a Bundesliga Round 3 clash at their home ground. Union Berlin is coming off a solid home win and looks to capitalize on Hoffenheim's inconsistent form. Hoffenheim recently lost at home but pulled off an away win, showing unpredictability in performance. Both teams have competitive strengths, with Union expected to leverage home advantage and defensive stability, while Hoffenheim relies on attacking flair primarily led by Kramaric.
Key Factors to Consider
Union Berlin has shown stronger recent home form, securing a solid win against VfB Stuttgart and only losing away to Borussia Dortmund. Hoffenheim's performances have been variable with a home defeat followed by a notable away victory, signaling inconsistent form.
Historically, Union Berlin and Hoffenheim have met 12 times with Union Berlin winning 6 matches, Hoffenheim 4, and 2 ending in draws, giving a slight edge to Union Berlin overall.
No specific injury updates are provided in the current data; thus, the squads are assumed near full strength for this fixture.
Playing at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Union Berlin benefits from home crowd support and familiar conditions, which typically enhances their defensive discipline and counter-attacking capabilities.
Union Berlin aims to maintain strong home form and recover confidence after an away loss. Hoffenheim seeks to stabilize their campaign after inconsistent early results and will be motivated to exploit any defensive lapses from Union.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
TSG Hoffenheim: 1.64, Union Berlin: 1.6, Draw: 2.45
Union Berlin to win
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
TSG Hoffenheim: -108 on 0 spread, Union Berlin: -112 on 0 spread
Union Berlin to cover the spread
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 2.5: -115, Under 2.5: -105
Over 2.5 goals
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Union Berlin 14%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 -3%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Union Berlin at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Union Berlin is predicted to win a tightly contested match with a final score of 2-1, leveraging their home advantage and defensive organization against Hoffenheim's irregular defensive performances and attacking threats.
The Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Union Berlin takes place at Signal Iduna Park with Dortmund hosting. Dortmund is seeking to improve after an opening match resulting in a draw, while Union Berlin arrives with a winning momentum from their season start.
Key Factors to Consider
Borussia Dortmund currently stands 8th in the Bundesliga after a 0-0 draw in their opener; their recent scoring form includes 16 goals over their last 5 matches in various competitions, highlighting attacking strength. Union Berlin leads with 3 points after a 1-0 win, bolstered by star striker I. Ansah contributing 2 goals recently. Dortmund has conceded the most penalties this season, indicating some defensive vulnerabilities. Union Berlin goalkeeper Frederik Rønnow leads the league in saves per match (5), indicating strong defensive capabilities.
In their last five Bundesliga meetings, Borussia Dortmund has won 4 matches, Union Berlin won 1, and none ended in draws. Historically, Dortmund leads the overall head to head with 10 wins versus Union Berlin's 4 wins and 1 draw.
No specific injury reports are currently available for either team close to match day; predicted lineups remain tentative until closer to kickoff.
Home advantage favors Borussia Dortmund playing at Signal Iduna Park, known for its high-energy atmosphere. Weather and other extraneous factors have no reported impact for this match day.
Dortmund aims to capitalize on home support to recover points after a slow start, while Union Berlin seeks to consolidate their early season form by exploiting Dortmund's defensive lapses and continue their winning momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Borussia Dortmund: -255, Union Berlin: 600, Draw: 420
Borussia Dortmund win
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Borussia Dortmund -1.25: -118, Union Berlin +1.25: -102
Borussia Dortmund to cover -1.25 spread
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 3 goals: -120, Under 3 goals: 100
Under 3 goals
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Borussia Dortmund -11%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 3 10%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Borussia Dortmund is favored to win given their historical dominance at home, attacking prowess, and home support. However, Union Berlin's strong defense and recent form suggest the match will be tightly contested, likely resulting in a narrow win or a draw.
This Bundesliga clash features Union Berlin hosting VfB Stuttgart in a tightly contested matchup. Both teams have shown mixed form this season, with Union Berlin playing strongly at home and Stuttgart aiming to capitalize on their more experienced squad. The game is expected to be tactically intense with moderate scoring opportunities.
Key Factors to Consider
Union Berlin has been solid defensively at home, conceding fewer goals than many rivals, while VfB Stuttgart has struggled for consistent scoring but is improving in away fixtures. Recent form moderately favors Stuttgart due to their higher intensity and tactical discipline.
In the last five Bundesliga meetings, Union Berlin and Stuttgart have exchanged home wins and draws, with Stuttgart slightly edging the recent encounters. Matches between these two tend to be close and low scoring.
Union Berlin is missing one key midfielder due to injury, which may affect their midfield control. Stuttgart has no major injury concerns reported, maintaining a full-strength squad.
Weather conditions are forecasted to be mild and clear, not significantly affecting gameplay. Fan attendance is expected to be high, potentially boosting Union Berlin’s home advantage.
Union Berlin is motivated to establish early season momentum at home, while Stuttgart looks to recover from a sluggish start by taking points on the road. Both teams have strong incentives to win for confidence and league standing.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Union Berlin: 2.25, VfB Stuttgart: 1.15, Draw: 2.61
Draw
★★☆☆☆ 45%
Spread
Union Berlin: -0.25 at -101, VfB Stuttgart: +25 at -119
Union Berlin +0.25
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under
Over 2.75: -117, Under 2.75: -103
Under 2.75
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Union Berlin 37%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.75 18%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Union Berlin at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the close nature of the teams and the tactical setup, the match is likely to end in a low-scoring draw or a narrow away win for Stuttgart due to their slightly better form and healthier squad.
Augsburg and Union Berlin are set to meet in the Bundesliga on May 17, 2025. Augsburg have struggled lately, losing their last three matches, while Union Berlin are winless in five games. Historically, Augsburg has a strong record against Union Berlin, being unbeaten in their last nine matches.
Key Factors to Consider
Augsburg have been in a slump, losing their last three games with a combined score of 1:9. Union Berlin have also been struggling, particularly away from home with the worst away goal record in the league.
Augsburg are unbeaten in their last nine matches against Union Berlin, indicating a strong advantage in head-to-head encounters.
No specific injury details are available for this match.
Both teams have nothing left to play for, which might affect their motivation levels.
With no significant positional changes to gain, both teams' motivation may be low.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Augsburg: 105, Union Berlin: 245, Draw: 260
Augsburg Win or Draw
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Augsburg: -0.25 -122, Union Berlin: 25 102
Augsburg -0.25
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under
Over: 3 100, Under: 3 -120
Under 3
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Augsburg -99%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 3 -99%
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Given the teams' recent form and historical head-to-head, a low-scoring match is expected with Augsburg likely to secure a narrow victory or draw.
This match is between Union Berlin and 1. FC Heidenheim in the German Bundesliga. Union Berlin is currently positioned 13th in the league, while Heidenheim is 16th. Given their respective league positions, Union Berlin is expected to have a slight advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
Union Berlin has had a mixed season, with recent results showing a draw against Bayer Leverkusen and a high-scoring draw against Stuttgart. Heidenheim has struggled with significant losses, including a 3-0 defeat to Eintracht Frankfurt.
There is limited recent head-to-head data available, but Union Berlin typically has a stronger performance against lower-ranked teams.
No specific injury information is available, but it is crucial to check for any last-minute updates before the match.
The match is being played at Union Berlin's home ground, which should provide them with additional motivation and support.
Union Berlin is likely more motivated to secure a win to improve their league standing, while Heidenheim needs points to avoid relegation.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Union Berlin: 120, Draw: 250, Heidenheim: 230
Union Berlin win
★★★★☆ 70%
Spread
Union Berlin -0.25: -112, Heidenheim +25: -108
Union Berlin to cover
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -110
Over 2.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Union Berlin -99%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 -99%
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Union Berlin is expected to win, given their home advantage and higher league position.
Union Berlin and Werder Bremen meet in a Bundesliga clash with contrasting forms. Union Berlin has shown defensive resilience, while Werder Bremen's attacking output is superior. Head-to-head history favors Union Berlin (6 wins in 11 meetings), but Werder Bremen's recent away form and goal-scoring efficiency add complexity.
Key Factors to Consider
Union Berlin struggles offensively (1.03 goals/game) but has better defensive metrics (1.43 goals conceded/game). Werder Bremen scores more (1.55 goals/game) but concedes more (1.74 goals/game).
Union Berlin leads 6-4 in 11 meetings, with 1 draw[2][4]. Recent matches show competitive balance, but historical dominance leans toward Union Berlin.
No specific injury data available in the provided sources.
Werder Bremen's superior away form (8 away wins) could counter Union Berlin's home advantage.
Werder Bremen (8th place) may push for higher mid-table security, while Union Berlin's position (unstated in sources) likely demands points to avoid relegation risks.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Union Berlin +170 | Draw +255 | Werder Bremen +150
Werder Bremen (slight edge)
★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread
Union Berlin 0 (-102) | Werder Bremen 0 (-118)
Werder Bremen 0 (pick'em, slight lean)
★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under
Over 2.5 (-118) | Under 2.5 (-102)
Over 2.5 goals
★★★☆☆ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Werder Bremen 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 -0%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Werder Bremen at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Value lies with Werder Bremen's attacking quality and away form. A tight match likely, but Bremen's edge in goal production gives them a slight advantage.
Bochum enters with mixed recent form (L-W-L-W-L), while Union Berlin has shown inconsistency (W-D-W-L-L). The fixture is critical for potential mid-table positioning, with both teams eager to secure points late in the season.
Key Factors to Consider
Bochum's home form shows volatility, indicated by alternating wins and losses. Union Berlin's away performances require scrutiny, though their overall attack momentum could challenge Bochum's defense[1][3].
Previous Bundesliga encounters suggest competitiveness, with their most recent meeting (Dec 2024) ending 1-1[4].
No injury data available from current sources; assume fully fit squads unless updated pre-match[2].
No weather disruptions reported. Home advantage for Bochum might counter Union Berlin's tactical discipline.
Both teams are likely fighting to avoid lower-half finishes, increasing urgency for a result[1][3].
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Bochum 125 | Draw 255 | Union Berlin 205
Bochum (narrow win) or Draw
55% combined confidence (Bochum 30% | Draw 25% | Union Berlin 20%)
Spread
Bochum -0.25 (-102) | Union Berlin +25 (-118)
Bochum -0.25 covers if avoiding loss
50% (hinges on home momentum vs. Union's defense)
Over/under
Over 2.5 (-120) | Under 2.5 (+100)
Under 2.5 goals
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
VfL Bochum 58%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 0%
🔥 Best Value Pick: VfL Bochum at 58% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tight match favoring Bochum marginally due to home edge and shorter odds (1.25 implied probability: ~44.4%), but Union Berlin's spread hedge (-0.25) complicates the outcome. Expect under 2.5 goals given both teams' inconsistency in attack.
Bayer Leverkusen, currently second in the Bundesliga with 62 points, is set to host Union Berlin, who are in 13th place with 33 points. The match promises to be intense, with Bayer Leverkusen aiming to maintain their strong form and Union Berlin fighting to avoid relegation. Both teams have shown potential for high-scoring matches recently.
Key Factors to Consider
Bayer Leverkusen have been consistent at home, winning 14 of their last 21 home matches. Union Berlin has struggled away, losing 3 of their last 6 away games across all competitions.
Bayer Leverkusen have never been beaten by Union Berlin in their last 8 encounters. Union Berlin has never won against Bayer Leverkusen at the BayArena.
No specific injury report provided, but this factor may influence the match dynamics.
The match is crucial for Bayer Leverkusen's pursuit of the top spot, while Union Berlin seeks to solidify their mid-table position.
Bayer Leverkusen remains highly motivated to catch up with Bayern Munich, while Union Berlin's recent form suggests they are determined to avoid relegation and improve their standing.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-305 for Bayer Leverkusen, 750 for Union Berlin, 440 for the draw
Bayer Leverkusen to win
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
-1.5 for Bayer Leverkusen at -108, +1.5 for Union Berlin at -112
Bayer Leverkusen to cover the spread
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under
Over 3 at 102, Under 3 at -122
Over 3 goals
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Bayer Leverkusen -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 3 33%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bayer Leverkusen is likely to win due to their strong home record and motivation to maintain a high position in the league.
Predicted Score: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Union Berlin