Match Analysis: Delaware Blue Hens vs UNC Greensboro Spartans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-25
- Time: 6:30 PM UTC
- Location: Edward Waters University, Jacksonville, Florida
Game Overview
The Delaware Blue Hens (1-4) face off against the UNC Greensboro Spartans (1-5) in the Jacksonville Classic tournament. Both teams have had a rough start to the season, with Delaware winning just one of their first five games and UNC Greensboro only one of six. The matchup will test Delaware on neutral ground in Jacksonville, Florida, with Delaware slightly favored in betting odds. Both teams are looking to gain momentum early in the season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Delaware has managed a 1-4 record so far, showing some offensive potential but limited defensive consistency. Key player C. Bliss averages 13.8 PPG but with a low 36.4% FG percentage. UNC Greensboro holds a 1-5 record, struggling more defensively, and relies heavily on J. Neely, who averages 14.5 PPG with strong shooting efficiency (59.2% FG, 74.3% FT). Both teams struggle with overall wins and have had tough losses early in the season.
- There is no recent head-to-head history available between Delaware and UNC Greensboro within the given data, suggesting minimal direct matchups in recent seasons.
- No publicly reported significant injuries for either team are noted in the provided information, implying both teams will likely field their usual starters and rotations.
- The game is played at a neutral site in Jacksonville, Florida, which should mitigate home-court advantage. Both teams are coming off losses in the tournament, indicating high motivation to secure a win. Weather and travel factors appear minimal.
- Both teams have poor records and will be motivated to break a losing streak and build confidence. This tournament setting emphasizes urgency for improvement and a positive result. Delaware, with slightly better odds, may feel more pressure to perform well.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Delaware Blue Hens: -105, UNC Greensboro Spartans: -115 | Delaware Blue Hens | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Spread | Delaware Blue Hens: 1.5 -122, UNC Greensboro Spartans: -1.5 102 | Delaware Blue Hens +1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Over/under | Over: 146.5 -108, Under: 146.5 -112 | Under 146.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Delaware Blue Hens 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 146.5 4% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 146.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the slightly better offensive metrics and more favorable odds, Delaware Blue Hens are predicted to narrowly win this matchup by 2 points. The game is expected to be competitive with lower scoring due to defensive struggles on both sides.
Predicted Score: Delaware Blue Hens 74 – UNC Greensboro Spartans 72