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Morehead St Eagles vs. UL Monroe Warhawks Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Morehead St Eagles vs UL Monroe Warhawks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-23
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Neutral Site – Johnson City, TN

Game Overview

The Morehead St Eagles host the UL Monroe Warhawks in a neutral-site NCAA Men’s basketball matchup. Morehead St has shown a stronger offense recently, averaging significantly more points per game and a positive scoring margin, whereas UL Monroe struggles with a negative scoring margin and lower offensive efficiency. Historical head-to-head data is minimal and mixed, with no meetings since 2009. Current odds favor Morehead St decisively on the moneyline and spread.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Morehead St Eagles rank higher in offensive effectiveness, averaging about 69.8 points per game with a +6.1 scoring margin, while UL Monroe averages 66.1 points per game with a -10.8 margin. Morehead St's offense is notably efficient, shooting 56.3% on effective FG percentage allowed to opponents, with the Warhawks at 50% effective FG. Morehead St has consistently scored over 140 points in 80% of their recent games, often surpassing 150-170 point totals, indicating strong offensive output.
  • The teams have scarce direct meetings. The last recorded games were in 2008 and 2009 with split results: UL Monroe won by 1 point away in 2009 and Morehead St won by 2 points at home in 2008. There is essentially no recent data to infer head-to-head dominance.
  • No injuries reported for either team, indicating both lineups should be at full strength.
  • The game is played at a neutral venue in Johnson City, TN, removing home-court advantage. Weather and travel factors are nominal. Morehead St’s recent home/neutral and UL Monroe’s away performance do not strongly suggest external distortions.
  • Morehead St holds a better record (2-0) in the current season and positive momentum from high-scoring wins. UL Monroe's struggles with a 1-4 record and inconsistency could impact motivation negatively.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Morehead St Eagles: -285, UL Monroe Warhawks: 230 Morehead St Eagles ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Morehead St Eagles: -5.5 -120, UL Monroe Warhawks: +5.5 -102 Morehead St Eagles -5.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 148.5: -110, Under 148.5: -110 Over 148.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Morehead St Eagles -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 148.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 148.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Morehead St Eagles are the clear favorites to win given their superior offensive metrics, recent scoring form, and the betting market odds. The predicted outcome is a Morehead St victory covering the -5.5 spread with moderately high confidence.

Predicted Score: Morehead St Eagles 79 – 68 UL Monroe Warhawks


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Texas State Bobcats vs. UL Monroe Warhawks Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Texas State Bobcats vs UL Monroe Warhawks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 22, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFCU Stadium, San Marcos, Texas

Game Overview

The Texas State Bobcats (4-6, 1-5 Sun Belt) host the UL Monroe Warhawks (3-7, 1-5 Sun Belt) in a Sun Belt Conference matchup. Texas State enters as heavy favorites, having recently snapped a losing streak with a win over Southern Miss, while UL Monroe continues to struggle offensively and defensively. Both teams are competing for bowl eligibility but remain near the bottom of their conference standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Texas State has shown improvement recently, winning their last game 41-14 against Southern Miss after a period of offensive inconsistency. However, they have allowed 40+ points in four of their last five games, indicating persistent defensive vulnerabilities. UL Monroe has been significantly worse, scoring 14 or fewer points in four of their last five games while allowing 31+ points in three of their last four contests. Texas State's offensive capabilities significantly outpace UL Monroe's, creating a stark talent disparity.
  • Texas State has dominated this matchup historically, winning four of its last five games against UL Monroe. Additionally, UL Monroe has lost all of its last 12 November games against non-AP-ranked teams, a troubling trend heading into this late-season contest.
  • No specific injury information is available from the provided data for either team.
  • Weather conditions at game time show 73°F with 0% rain and minimal wind, providing neutral playing conditions. The game will be broadcast on ESPN+, and UL Monroe has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams, while the favorite has covered in six of UL Monroe's last seven games.
  • Both teams are fighting near the bottom of the Sun Belt standings with limited bowl game prospects. Texas State's recent win provides momentum, while UL Monroe is desperate to snap their lengthy losing streak. However, Texas State's superior offensive execution and historical dominance in this matchup suggest stronger positioning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Texas State -1100, UL Monroe +700 Texas State Bobcats ★★★★★ 92%
Spread Texas State -17.5 -112, UL Monroe +17.5 -108 Texas State covers -17.5 ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 58.5 -105, Under 58.5 -115 Over 58.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Texas State Bobcats 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 58.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 58.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Texas State Bobcats win decisively. The combination of Texas State's significantly superior offensive production, historical head-to-head advantage, and UL Monroe's persistent inability to score or defend creates a clear mismatch. Texas State's defense, while flawed, remains substantially better than UL Monroe's struggling unit. The Bobcats should control this game throughout and secure a comfortable victory.

Predicted Score: Texas State 35, UL Monroe 17


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UL Monroe Warhawks vs. Lamar Cardinals Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: UL Monroe Warhawks vs Lamar Cardinals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 17, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Fant-Ewing Coliseum, Monroe, LA

Game Overview

The Lamar Cardinals (1-1) travel to face the UL Monroe Warhawks (1-3) in a non-conference NCAA basketball matchup. Lamar enters as a significant favorite after a loss to TCU, while UL Monroe looks to build momentum following a victory over Rust College. This matchup features a clear talent disparity reflected in the substantial point spread, with Lamar favored by 8.5 points. UL Monroe seeks revenge from a 97-73 loss to Lamar in December 2023.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lamar averages 79.0 points per game (205th nationally) with a 47.2% field goal percentage and 36.2% three-point shooting. The Cardinals struggled in their last outing against TCU, shooting 41.7% from the field but connecting on 36.8% from three. UL Monroe has performed inconsistently, shooting 52.4% in their most recent win over Rust College but managing only 10.5% from three-point range. The Warhawks average lower scoring output and show inconsistent shooting patterns. Lamar's free throw shooting (71.4%) provides an advantage over UL Monroe (71.9%), making the teams nearly equal at the charity stripe. Lamar's assist-to-turnover ratio is superior, with 36 total assists against 11.5 turnovers per game, compared to UL Monroe's 14.7 assists and 13.7 turnovers.
  • The teams last met in December 2023 with Lamar defeating UL Monroe 97-73, a 24-point victory. This significant margin suggests Lamar maintains a clear competitive advantage. UL Monroe has struggled against stronger competition recently, going 0-3 in their last five games and 1-2 against the spread in road games.
  • No injury information is available in the provided search results for either team.
  • The game is played at UL Monroe's home venue (Fant-Ewing Coliseum), providing the Warhawks a home court advantage despite being heavily favored against. Public betting shows an even split at 50%-50% for moneyline picks, suggesting market uncertainty despite the large spread. UL Monroe's recent string of losses (0-3 in last five games) creates psychological pressure, while Lamar's recent loss to TCU may provide motivation for improvement.
  • Lamar has motivation to respond after their 78-65 loss to TCU and establish consistency. UL Monroe faces desperation after dropping three consecutive games and enters the matchup with a 1-3 record seeking a statement win at home. The historical 24-point deficit from their December 2023 meeting may weigh on the Warhawks' confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lamar -500 / UL Monroe +360 Lamar Cardinals ML ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Lamar -8.5 (-110) / UL Monroe +8.5 (-110) Lamar -8.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 145.5 (-110) / Under 145.5 (-114) Under 145.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lamar Cardinals -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 145.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 145.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lamar Cardinals are strongly favored to win this matchup based on superior overall performance metrics, better shooting consistency, and the dominant head-to-head history. The Cardinals' advantage in ball movement (36 assists) and lower turnover rate provide structural advantages. UL Monroe's recent poor form (0-3 in last five games) combined with inconsistent three-point shooting creates significant obstacles. While UL Monroe has home court advantage, the talent and form gap appears decisive. Lamar should win by 7-10 points, likely staying within the 8.5-point spread but close.

Predicted Score: Lamar 82, UL Monroe 75


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UL Monroe Warhawks vs. South Alabama Jaguars Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: UL Monroe Warhawks vs South Alabama Jaguars – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: JPS Field at Malone Stadium, Monroe, LA

Game Overview

South Alabama Jaguars (2-7) travel to face UL Monroe Warhawks (3-6) in a Sun Belt Conference matchup. Both teams are struggling this season, with South Alabama having a slight edge in record and recent form. The game is scheduled for Saturday night under clear conditions, with kickoff at 8:30 PM local time. The betting market favors South Alabama as a moderate favorite, with the spread set at -4.5 and the total points line at 49.5.

Key Factors to Consider

  • South Alabama has shown a tendency to cover the spread more consistently than UL Monroe, with a 6-3 record when betting the over and a better overall ATS record. UL Monroe has struggled defensively, allowing more points and yards, and has a 2-6 ATS record this season. South Alabama has a stronger rushing attack, averaging 1743 yards compared to UL Monroe's 1518, and has scored 17 rushing touchdowns to UL Monroe's 8. UL Monroe has a slight edge in yards per carry (4.63 vs 4.49), but South Alabama has been more efficient in converting opportunities.
  • No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup, but both teams have similar records and conference standings, suggesting a competitive game.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either team, indicating both squads should be at full strength for this contest.
  • The game will be played at Malone Stadium, which is UL Monroe's home field. However, the weather is expected to be favorable, with no rain and mild temperatures, minimizing any environmental impact on play.
  • Both teams are fighting to improve their records and potentially secure a better bowl eligibility position. South Alabama, as the favorite, may have added motivation to close the season strong, while UL Monroe will look to upset the Jaguars and boost their own postseason hopes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline South Alabama Jaguars: -205, UL Monroe Warhawks: 170 South Alabama Jaguars ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread South Alabama Jaguars: -4.5 -112, UL Monroe Warhawks: 4.5 -108 South Alabama Jaguars ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 49.5 -105, Under: 49.5 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline South Alabama Jaguars -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

South Alabama is favored to win this matchup, with a strong rushing attack and better overall performance this season. UL Monroe has shown some offensive capability but has struggled defensively. The game is expected to be close, with South Alabama likely to cover the spread and the total points likely to go over the line.

Predicted Score: South Alabama 28, UL Monroe 24


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Houston Christian Huskies vs. UL Monroe Warhawks Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Houston Christian Huskies vs UL Monroe Warhawks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-14
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Sharp Gymnasium, Houston, TX

Game Overview

The Houston Christian Huskies host the UL Monroe Warhawks in an NCAA men's basketball matchup. Houston Christian has a 1-1 record (1-0 at home) while UL Monroe is 1-2 (0-2 away). The Huskies are favored by 8.5 points with total points set at 146.5. The game is expected to be competitive with Houston Christian holding a home-court advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Houston Christian has a balanced offense with 52.9% FG for key player K. Green averaging 13 PPG, while UL Monroe relies on K. Lewis, who averages 15.3 PPG but with lower shooting efficiency (32.5%). Houston Christian has shown stronger home form (1-0) compared to UL Monroe’s 0-2 on the road. Overall records suggest Houston Christian's defense and efficient shooting may give them an edge.
  • No recent head-to-head results are available for this matchup this season. Historical performance and line movement suggest a moderate gap favoring Houston Christian. Both teams appear closely matched with slightly more momentum for the Huskies at home.
  • No significant injury reports or player absences have been indicated in available data, suggesting both teams will likely have full rosters.
  • The game being played at Houston Christian's Sharp Gym provides them a familiar setting and potential crowd advantage. Current date timing and no reported travel issues favor the home team. Weather or other external disruptions appear irrelevant for this indoor event.
  • Houston Christian looks motivated to defend home court early in the season and establish momentum. UL Monroe aims to improve its away record but faces challenges against a favored home squad. Early season form slightly favors the Huskies.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Houston Christian Huskies: -400, UL Monroe Warhawks: 300 Houston Christian Huskies to win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Houston Christian Huskies: -8.5 -110, UL Monroe Warhawks: 8.5 -110 Houston Christian to cover the -8.5 spread ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over: 146.5 -105, Under: 146.5 -115 Under 146.5 total points ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Houston Christian Huskies -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 146.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Houston Christian Huskies at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Houston Christian Huskies by 9 points, total points under 146.5

Predicted Score: Houston Christian Huskies 77 – 68 UL Monroe Warhawks


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Ole Miss Rebels vs. UL Monroe Warhawks Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Ole Miss Rebels vs UL Monroe Warhawks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Tad Smith Coliseum, Oxford, Mississippi

Game Overview

The Ole Miss Rebels, a strong SEC team, host the UL Monroe Warhawks in the season opener for both squads. Ole Miss carries high expectations given their Power Five conference status and has significant home-court advantage. UL Monroe, led by first-year head coach Phil Cunningham, is looking to build momentum in a challenging non-conference matchup on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ole Miss is favored heavily and expected to dominate given their superior recruiting, talent depth, and strong home environment. UL Monroe is an underdog with less experience and will likely struggle to keep pace against the Rebels.
  • This appears to be the first meeting of the season between the teams with Ole Miss traditionally having the upper hand in past matchups.
  • No significant injury reports available for either team at this time, indicating both teams likely will have their core players available.
  • Ole Miss holds home court at Tad Smith Coliseum, enhancing their advantage. UL Monroe faces travel fatigue and an early tough opponent after starting their season on the road.
  • Ole Miss aims to set the tone for a strong season with a decisive home win. UL Monroe seeks to upset and gain confidence under a new head coach but faces an uphill battle.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ole Miss Rebels: -10000, UL Monroe Warhawks: 3300 Ole Miss Rebels to win ★★★★★ 95%
Spread Ole Miss Rebels: -35.5 -115, UL Monroe Warhawks: +35.5 -105 Ole Miss Rebels to cover the -35.5 spread ★★★★★ 90%
Over/under Over: 152.5 -110, Under: 152.5 -110 Over 152.5 points ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ole Miss Rebels -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 152.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 152.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ole Miss Rebels are predicted to win convincingly by a large margin reflecting the substantial odds gap.

Predicted Score: Ole Miss Rebels 93 – UL Monroe Warhawks 57


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UL Monroe Warhawks vs. Old Dominion Monarchs Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: UL Monroe Warhawks vs Old Dominion Monarchs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Malone Stadium, Monroe, LA

Game Overview

This Sun Belt Conference matchup features the Old Dominion Monarchs (5-3 overall, 2-2 conference) visiting the UL Monroe Warhawks (3-5 overall, 1-3 conference) at Malone Stadium. Old Dominion enters on a 1-game winning streak after a close 24-21 win over Appalachian State, showcasing strong offensive capabilities led by QB Colton Joseph. UL Monroe is struggling with a 4-game losing streak following a heavy 49-21 loss at Southern Miss. This is the first meeting between the programs, adding an element of unfamiliarity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Old Dominion has a better recent record (5-3) and appears offensively stronger, averaging 459 yards in their latest game led by dynamic passing from Colton Joseph. UL Monroe has been inconsistent, with a defense that has recently conceded large point totals and an offense that has struggled to maintain pace.
  • This is the first ever meeting between Old Dominion Monarchs and UL Monroe Warhawks, so no direct historical data is available.
  • No specific injuries reported for either team prior to this game based on available information.
  • Game is played at Malone Stadium in Monroe, Louisiana, favoring the home UL Monroe Warhawks. Weather info is unavailable but should be factored if known closer to game day.
  • Old Dominion aims to solidify its position in the Sun Belt East division with a win, potentially gaining momentum for postseason aspirations. UL Monroe looks to stop their losing skid at home and improve standing in the West division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Old Dominion Monarchs: -800, UL Monroe Warhawks: 560 Old Dominion Monarchs win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Old Dominion Monarchs: -17.5 -105, UL Monroe Warhawks: +17.5 -115 Old Dominion Monarchs to cover -17.5 points ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over: 53.5 -110, Under: 53.5 -110 Over 53.5 points ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Old Dominion Monarchs -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 53.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Old Dominion favored to win convincingly based on recent offensive performance, higher win percentage, and stronger overall team form. Expect Old Dominion to cover the spread and the total points to approach the over market, given UL Monroe's defensive vulnerabilities and the offensive strength of Old Dominion.

Predicted Score: Old Dominion Monarchs 38 – UL Monroe Warhawks 17


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Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs. UL Monroe Warhawks Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs UL Monroe Warhawks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-25
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Carlisle-Faulkner Field at M.M. Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, Miss.

Game Overview

The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (5-2, 3-0 Sun Belt) host the UL Monroe Warhawks (3-4, 1-2 Sun Belt) in a key Sun Belt Conference matchup. Southern Miss is riding a three-game winning streak and leads the West division, while ULM has lost three straight and is struggling in conference play[5][4][3]. This is a homecoming game for Southern Miss, adding extra motivation for the home team[1]. The game is available for streaming on ESPN+[8].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Southern Miss has a significantly better record, both overall and in conference play, with impressive recent wins on the road. Offensively, they have shown the ability to score in the mid-to-high 30s, while their defense has held opponents to 22 or fewer points in recent wins[5][8]. ULM, by contrast, has lost three straight and is averaging just 14.7 points per game during their losing streak[4]. Their defense is allowing over 40 points per game in losses, with the only bright spot being an overtime win against Arkansas State in late September.
  • Head-to-head data for recent seasons is limited in the search results, but Southern Miss is currently in much better form, especially at home. The teams have not met in recent years with the same roster composition, so recent trends are the best indicator.
  • No injury data is available in the search results. Both teams are presumed to be at close to full strength, but this cannot be confirmed without official reports.
  • Southern Miss is playing at home for Homecoming, which typically boosts attendance and home-field advantage[1]. No significant weather concerns are indicated, and the game is a nationally televised (streamed) event[8].
  • Southern Miss is leading the Sun Belt West and aims to stay atop the division. ULM is trying to avoid a four-game losing streak and salvage their season. Homecoming adds extra incentive for the Golden Eagles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Southern Miss -430 / ULM +340 Southern Miss wins High (80%)
Spread Southern Miss -11.5 (-105) / ULM +11.5 (-115) Southern Miss covers -11.5 Moderate-High (65%)
Over/under 50.5 (Over/Under -110) Under 50.5 Moderate (60%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles 243%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 50.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles at 243% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 71.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Southern Miss is a clear favorite due to superior recent form, home-field advantage, and superior offensive and defensive metrics. Expect them to control the game on both sides of the ball, with ULM struggling to keep pace offensively. The spread is large, but Southern Miss has the talent and momentum to cover. The over/under is moderately high, but Southern Miss's defense could keep this under the total if they dominate possession.

Predicted Score: Southern Mississippi 31, UL Monroe 17


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UL Monroe Warhawks vs. Troy Trojans Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: UL Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Malone Stadium, Monroe, LA

Game Overview

This matchup between the UL Monroe Warhawks and the Troy Trojans will be a Sun Belt Conference clash. The Troy Trojans enter the game with a 4-2 record, while the Warhawks have a 3-3 record. Troy has been strong in their conference games, currently standing at 2-0, while UL Monroe is 1-1 in conference play.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Troy Trojans have shown strong performance in their previous games, particularly in their win over Texas State, where they managed a comeback victory. UL Monroe has had mixed results, with notable wins against Arkansas State.
  • Historical head-to-head data is not explicitly mentioned, but Troy's recent performance suggests they might have an edge.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this matchup.
  • Weather conditions or other external factors might influence the game, but no specific details are provided.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their standing in the Sun Belt Conference.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Troy -230, UL Monroe +190 Troy Trojans ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Troy -6, UL Monroe +6 Troy Trojans ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 45.5 -112, Under 45.5 -108 Under 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Troy Trojans -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 45.5 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Troy Trojans are favored to win based on their recent form and conference performance.

Predicted Score: Troy Trojans 24, UL Monroe Warhawks 20


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Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. UL Monroe Warhawks Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs UL Monroe Warhawks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Brooks Stadium, Conway, South Carolina

Game Overview

The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (2-3, 1-1 Sun Belt) face the UL Monroe Warhawks (3-2, 1-0 Sun Belt) in a Sun Belt Conference matchup. Both teams have struggled at times, with Coastal Carolina showing weaknesses on offense and defense, while UL Monroe relies on a strong rushing attack but a vulnerable pass defense. The match is expected to be close, with UL Monroe favored by 2.5 points as underdogs are Coastal Carolina's moneyline +114 suggests value. The over/under is set around 43.5 to 44.5 points, indicating moderate scoring expectations. Weather is mild with 67°F, 45% rain chance and moderate wind.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UL Monroe has a stronger record (3-2) and ranks well in rushing yards (188.0 avg, 43rd nationally) but struggles with pass defense (276.8 yds allowed, 129th). Coastal Carolina is 2-3 and ranks poorly in scoring offense (19.0 ppg, 123rd) and pass defense (276.8 yds allowed, 129th). Both teams have bottom-20 rankings in quality drives, indicating inconsistent offensive execution.
  • Recent history shows UL Monroe slightly favored with a spread around -2.5 and moneyline at -135, with Coastal Carolina moneyline +114. Their previous notable matchup on Oct 8, 2022, was coastal Carolina winning 28-21 at UL Monroe, but spread was heavier then (-12.5). The teams often produce low to moderate scoring games around 44-58 points total.
  • No specific injury reports available from provided data. Both teams appear to have their main starters available, but Coastal Carolina may be impacted by limited offensive effectiveness and possible defensive lapses.
  • Game played at Coastal Carolina’s home Brooks Stadium, giving them home field advantage. Weather is cool with a 45% chance of rain and a wind of 15 mph, possibly slowing down offensive rhythm and favoring a lower scoring game.
  • UL Monroe is undefeated in conference play (1-0) and motivated to maintain momentum. Coastal Carolina, at 1-1 in conference, needs this win to stay competitive. Both teams have incentives to win in a tight Sun Belt East race.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: +114, UL Monroe Warhawks: -135 UL Monroe Warhawks ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: +2.5 -110, UL Monroe Warhawks: -2.5 -110 UL Monroe Warhawks -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 43.5 -115, Under: 43.5 -105 Under 43.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UL Monroe Warhawks 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 43.5 37%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 43.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UL Monroe is favored to win this tightly contested game by a small margin due to a better record, stronger rushing attack, and current momentum. The game is expected to be low scoring and close, with UL Monroe covering the 2.5-point spread.

Predicted Score: UL Monroe Warhawks 23 – 17 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers


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