Match Analysis: Jaron Ennis vs Uisma Lima – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-11
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, United States
Game Overview
Jaron Ennis steps up to junior middleweight (154 lbs) in a WBA title eliminator against Uisma Lima. Ennis is undefeated (34-0, 30 KOs), coming off a unification win at welterweight, while Lima is on a four-fight winning streak after his sole loss. Ennis is the overwhelming favorite to win decisively.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ennis dominated at welterweight before moving up and has substantial knockout power and undefeated record. Lima has shown resilience with recent wins but lacks the high-level achievements and power of Ennis.
- No prior fights between Ennis and Lima; this is their first meeting.
- No reported injuries for either fighter as of fight week.
- Fight promoted in Philadelphia, giving Ennis likely home crowd advantage. Ennis fights on DAZN with strong media support. Both fighters must make the 154-pound limit.
- Ennis is highly motivated to establish himself early in the junior middleweight division and secure a world title shot. Lima aims to cause an upset and leverage momentum but is a clear underdog.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jaron Ennis -5000 / Uisma Lima +1200 | Jaron Ennis | ★★★★★ 92% |
| Spread | Ennis -6.5 rounds, Lima +6.5 rounds (odds vary by bookmaker) | Ennis -6.5 rounds (win by 7th round or earlier) | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Over/under | Over 7.5 rounds -125 / Under 7.5 rounds -105 | Under 7.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 80% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jaron Ennis -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 7.5 37% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jaron Ennis wins by knockout (TKO/KO) before round 7
Predicted Score: Ennis wins by 6th round TKO