Match Analysis: Sassuolo vs Udinese – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 10:30 AM UTC
- Location: Mapei Stadium – Citta del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia, Italy
Game Overview
Sassuolo hosts Udinese in a Serie A matchup with Sassuolo struggling early in the season while Udinese has shown better away form and sits higher in the standings. The game is poised to be competitive with modest scoring chances expected.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sassuolo has a poor recent record (1-0-3), including a 1-0-1 home record with only 1 point from home matches. Udinese has been stronger away (2-0-0) with 6 points on the road, showing better form and efficiency.
- Historically mixed but Sassuolo has not dominated Udinese recently. The home team has 1 win, 0 draws, 3 losses overall in recent encounters, suggesting Udinese's resilience.
- No specific key injuries reported for either team that would drastically affect starting lineups or strength.
- No weather or venue-related concerns; match played at Sassuolo's home ground with typical conditions.
- Udinese has more incentive to maintain strong early season form and climb higher in the table, whereas Sassuolo is under pressure after poor results, possibly increasing desperation.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | +126 | Sassuolo | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | -105 | Sassuolo -0.25 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | -120 | Under 2.25 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Sassuolo 6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Sassuolo win; Spread: Sassuolo -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals
Predicted Score: 1-0