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UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Loyola Marymount Lions Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs Loyola Marymount Lions – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-18
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: The Thunderdome, UC Santa Barbara

Game Overview

The matchup features undefeated Loyola Marymount Lions (5-0) on the road facing the also undefeated UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (3-0) at home. Both teams exhibit strong offensive capabilities with Loyola Marymount averaging 93 points per game and shooting nearly 55% from the floor and 42% from three-point range. UC Santa Barbara counters with solid offense averaging around 91.7 points per game on 50% shooting and a stout defense allowing about 76 points per game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Loyola Marymount is 5-0 with high shooting efficiency (54.9%) and strong 3P shooting (42.3%). UC Santa Barbara is 3-0, showing good offensive balance and strong rebounding (34 total in last game). Both teams have low turnovers (~10 per game) but UCSB commits slightly more fouls.
  • Limited recent H2H data available, but UCSB's home court and past small-margin wins suggest a competitive rivalry. Prior margins are generally close.
  • No significant injury reports affecting key players on either side before the game.
  • Game at UCSB’s Thunderdome gives Gauchos home-court advantage, playing a late local time which benefits UCSB. Both teams motivated by maintaining undefeated status early in the season.
  • Both are undefeated and focused, but UCSB has a slight edge in motivation leveraging home advantage to remain unbeaten. Loyola Marymount aims to extend their perfect start on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline UC Santa Barbara: -165, Loyola Marymount: +135 UC Santa Barbara β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread UC Santa Barbara -3.5 (-110), Loyola Marymount +3.5 (-110) UC Santa Barbara -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 146.5 (-105), Under 146.5 (-115) Under 146.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 146.5 10%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 146.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos to cover the spread and win outright with a total score slightly under the projected total.

Predicted Score: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 80 – Loyola Marymount Lions 73


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Sacramento St Hornets vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Sacramento St Hornets vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 12, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Hornet Pavilion, Sacramento, CA

Game Overview

UC Santa Barbara (2-0) travels to face Sacramento State (2-0) in a matchup between two unbeaten teams in their early-season campaigns. UCSB enters as a significant favorite, with the Gauchos showing superior efficiency on both ends of the floor. This represents UCSB's first true road test, while Sacramento State looks to protect their home court after strong early performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UC Santa Barbara has been exceptionally efficient, averaging 91.5 points per game while holding opponents to just 70.5 PPG, resulting in a +21 point differential. The Gauchos shoot 51.7% from the field, grab 42.5 rebounds per game, and average 16 assists, demonstrating balanced offensive execution. Key player Caleb Smith leads with 18.5 PPG on 61.1% shooting with 71.4% free throw accuracy. Recent wins include a dominant 98-67 rout of San Francisco State and an 85-74 victory over San Jose State. Sacramento State has posted wins over Dominican University (103-79) and William Jessup Warriors (86-76), but has struggled historically, losing six of their last six games against Big West Conference opponents and losing the first half in each of their last seven non-conference games.
  • In their last matchup on November 30, 2018, UCSB dominated Sacramento State 75-58, with the Gauchos controlling the game decisively. This historical edge provides additional confidence for UCSB's superior execution level.
  • No injuries reported for either team in the available data.
  • This is UCSB's first road game of the season, which could introduce some adjustment challenges despite their strong overall performance. Sacramento State is playing at home where they are 2-0, a potential advantage. However, Sacramento State has lost seven of their last nine road night games against non-conference opponents when away, suggesting their home court is critical to their success.
  • UCSB is motivated to extend their perfect record and prove themselves in a road environment. Sacramento State is motivated to protect their home court but faces historical pressure having lost significantly to UCSB previously. The Hornets have recent momentum with back-to-back home wins but lack the offensive consistency UCSB has demonstrated.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sacramento St +380 | UCSB -500 UC Santa Barbara Gauchos β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Sacramento St +9.5 -110 | UCSB -9.5 -110 UC Santa Barbara -9.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Over/under Over 161.5 -112 | Under 161.5 -108 Under 161.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 161.5 39%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 161.5 at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UC Santa Barbara will win this matchup convincingly. The Gauchos' superior efficiency, balanced offensive attack, dominant rebounding, and strong defensive discipline should prove too much for Sacramento State despite the road disadvantage. UCSB's 51.7% field goal shooting, 16 assists per game, and +21 point differential far exceed Sacramento State's capabilities. While Sacramento State will benefit from home court advantage, the talent and efficiency gap is too significant to overcome.

Predicted Score: UCSB 82, Sacramento State 68


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UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. San JosΓ© St Spartans Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs San JosΓ© St Spartans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The Thunderdome

Game Overview

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos host San JosΓ© St Spartans in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. The Gauchos enter with a 1-0 record and strong offensive rebounding, while the Spartans are 0-1 and struggled defensively in their opener.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UCSB shot 47.1% from the field and grabbed 61 rebounds in their 98-67 win over San Francisco State. San JosΓ© State lost their opener and allowed 73.7 points per game last season, with poor defensive execution in their first game.
  • UCSB leads the recent series 4-1, including a 64-59 win last season. The Gauchos have covered the spread in their last three meetings.
  • No major injuries reported for either team.
  • UCSB is at home, where they are 1-0 this season. The Thunderdome is a strong home venue for the Gauchos.
  • UCSB is motivated to build on their strong start, while San JosΓ© State seeks to rebound from a disappointing opener.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -410 UC Santa Barbara Gauchos β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 79%
Spread -8.5 -115 UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -8.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Over/under 146.5 -105 Over 146.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 146.5 41%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 146.5 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos to win and cover the spread, with the game going over the total points line.

Predicted Score: San JosΓ© St 69 – 78 UC Santa Barbara


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3 Pick Parlay for Basketball – November 8, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Chicago Bulls Prediction Cleveland Cavaliers Win -335 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 79% (79%)
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. San JosΓ© St Spartans Prediction UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Win -410 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 79% (79%)
Tulane Green Wave vs. Texas State Bobcats Prediction Tulane Green Wave -12.5 -112 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +206

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $61.15

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Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-21
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Unknown

Game Overview

This matchup between the Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors and the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos is part of the Big West Championship, with the Gauchos being the reigning champions. Both teams have strong performances in the league, but the Gauchos' recent success in the NCAA tournament gives them an edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UC Santa Barbara has shown strong performance recently, hosting NCAA regionals and winning key games. Hawai'i has a strong home record, which could be a factor in this matchup.
  • Historically, these teams have closely contested games, but recent performances suggest UC Santa Barbara might have an advantage.
  • No significant injury reports mentioned.
  • Weather and crowd support could influence the game, but specific conditions are not detailed.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, as they compete for a spot in the Big West Championship.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline UCSB -154, Hawai'i 120 UC Santa Barbara Gauchos β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread UCSB -1.5 +114, Hawai'i 1.5 -145 UC Santa Barbara Gauchos β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Over/under Over 10 -120, Under 10 -110 Over β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 10 1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 10 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos are favored to win based on recent form and NCAA success.

Predicted Score: UCSB 7, Hawai'i 5


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UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs Cal Poly Mustangs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-17
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Caesar Uyesaka Stadium, Santa Barbara, CA

Game Overview

The UC Santa Barbara Gauchos will host the Cal Poly Mustangs at Caesar Uyesaka Stadium in a pivotal Big West Conference baseball matchup. Both teams have shown competitive form through the 2025 season, with UCSB demonstrating strong home performances and Cal Poly maintaining solid road results. This game is part of the Blue-Green Rivalry, adding intensity and motivation for both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UC Santa Barbara Gauchos have a resilient home record with recent wins against strong opponents and some losses in close matches. Their offense has shown capability to score in double digits on several occasions, while their pitching has occasional lapses. Cal Poly Mustangs have a strong overall record with high-scoring games and consistent pitching performances. They have recently won multiple games convincingly on the road, reflecting strong team depth.
  • The Blue-Green Rivalry between UCSB and Cal Poly is competitive with recent meetings often decided by narrow margins. Both teams split their previous matchups this season, underlining a well-matched contest. Historically, home advantage at Caesar Uyesaka Stadium has slightly favored UCSB, but Cal Poly’s recent strong form narrows this edge.
  • No significant injury reports or player absences have been disclosed for either side ahead of this matchup, suggesting both teams will field close to full strength.
  • The game time is in the evening, which may favor UCSB’s familiarity with their home field conditions. Weather forecasts indicate mild conditions conducive to baseball, and there is no indication of rain or interruptions. The rivalry and associated home crowd support provide an emotional boost for UCSB.
  • Both teams are motivated by conference standings implications and rivalry bragging rights. UCSB’s home crowd and streaks in recent games add to their determination, while Cal Poly’s strong road success and desire to assert dominance in the rivalry fuel their intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cal Poly Mustangs: -110, UC Santa Barbara Gauchos: -120 UC Santa Barbara Gauchos to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -1.5 runs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos to cover the spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over/Under 12.5 runs Over 12.5 runs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The matchup is expected to be tightly contested given the comparable strengths. However, slight edge goes to UC Santa Barbara Gauchos due to home advantage and recent offensive explosiveness combined with competitive pitching. Expect a close high-scoring game with UCSB narrowly prevailing.

Predicted Score: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 7 – 5 Cal Poly Mustangs


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UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Davis Aggies Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs UC Davis Aggies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-06
  • Time: 8:05 PM UTC
  • Location: Caesar Uyesaka Stadium

Game Overview

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos host UC Davis Aggies in a match where Gauchos are favored. Recent series results show UC Santa Barbara's strong performance with a series win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UC Santa Barbara has shown consistent performance, with notable pitching and offense, particularly in recent matches against UC Davis.
  • UC Santa Barbara has recently clinched a series victory over UC Davis, indicating a favorable head-to-head record.
  • No specific injury reports are available, but overall team health has been consistent.
  • Home advantage at Caesar Uyesaka Stadium tends to boost UC Santa Barbara's performance.
  • Both teams are motivated, but UC Santa Barbara’s momentum from recent wins might give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence EV Pick
Moneyline UCSB: -250, UCD: 190 UCSB win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% UCSB win -100%
Spread UCSB: -2.5 -115, UCD: 2.5 -115 UCSB covers β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65% UCSB covers -100%
Over_under Over 13.5: -115, Under 13.5: -115 Under β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55% Under -100%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 118%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 13.5 3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos at 118% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 61.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos to win against UC Davis Aggies

Predicted Score: UCSB: 7-3 UCD


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Long Beach State Dirtbags vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: Long Beach State Dirtbags vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-29
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Blair Field, Long Beach

Game Overview

Long Beach State Dirtbags host UC Santa Barbara Gauchos in a competitive NCAA baseball matchup. Both teams have varied performances this season, with Long Beach State looking to improve their record against a stronger UC Santa Barbara squad.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Long Beach State has struggled to maintain consistency, while UC Santa Barbara has shown solid form. Past performances suggest UC Santa Barbara might have an edge, especially in head-to-head matchups.
  • Historically, UC Santa Barbara has often bested Long Beach State, indicating a potential advantage for the visiting team.
  • No major injury reports are available for either team, which may not significantly impact this game.
  • Weather conditions and home-field advantage could slightly favor Long Beach State but are unlikely to sway the outcome significantly.
  • Both teams will be highly motivated, but UC Santa Barbara might have more pressure to win given their stronger season so far.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Long Beach State: +190, UC Santa Barbara: -250 UC Santa Barbara β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Long Beach State: +2.5 -125, UC Santa Barbara: -2.5 -105 UC Santa Barbara β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over_under Over: 11 -115, Under: 11 -115 Over 11 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Predicted Outcome

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos are favored to win given their recent performances and historical advantage.

Predicted Score: Long Beach State 4-7 UC Santa Barbara


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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – March 28, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Long Beach State Dirtbags vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Prediction UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Win -250 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)
BYU Cougars vs. West Virginia Mountaineers Prediction West Virginia Mountaineers Win -220 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)
Purdue Boilermakers vs. UCLA Bruins Prediction UCLA Bruins -1.5 -113 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +284

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $76.77

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UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Irvine Anteaters Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs UC Irvine Anteaters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: March 22, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Caesar Uyesaka Stadium

Game Overview

The UC Santa Barbara Gauchos host the UC Irvine Anteaters in a Big West Conference matchup. Both teams have shown strong performances this season, with UC Santa Barbara having a solid home record and UC Irvine looking to continue their competitive form on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UC Santa Barbara has been performing well at home, while UC Irvine has shown resilience in away games. Both teams have strong pitching and hitting, which could lead to a closely contested match.
  • Historically, the head-to-head between these two teams has been competitive, with both sides having their share of wins. Recent performances suggest a tight contest.
  • There is no reported significant injury that could impact the lineup for either team.
  • Weather conditions in Santa Barbara are generally favorable for baseball, which should not affect gameplay. The crowd could slightly favor UC Santa Barbara, but UC Irvine's experience on the road might mitigate this advantage.
  • Both teams are highly motivated as they compete for conference standings and potential NCAA tournament spots.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline UC Irvine: -130, UC Santa Barbara: 100 UC Irvine β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Spread UC Irvine: -1.5 100, UC Santa Barbara: 1.5 -130 UC Santa Barbara +1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%
Over_under Over 13.5: -115, Under 13.5: -115 Under 13.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Predicted Outcome

UC Irvine Anteaters are favored due to their recent form and competitive edge, but UC Santa Barbara's home advantage could make this a close game.

Predicted Score: UC Santa Barbara 6, UC Irvine 5


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