Match Analysis: UConn Huskies vs UAB Blazers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field, East Hartford, CT
Game Overview
The UConn Huskies (5-3) will host the UAB Blazers (3-4) in an FBS Independent versus American Athletic Conference matchup. UConn enters the game with recent strong offensive performances, including a high-scoring win over FIU (51-10) and a competitive close loss in double overtime to Rice. UAB has struggled overall with a 3-4 record but competes with physicality and is motivated for an upset on the road at a tough venue.
Key Factors to Consider
- UConnβs offense has averaged over 38 points per game in recent contests, showing explosive capability especially at home. Their defense, while inconsistent, has kept opponents generally under control. UAB's offense has been less potent, with struggles to score consistently, but their defense has held reasonably well in the American Athletic Conference matchups.
- There is no significant recent head-to-head history between these two teams, and this game marks a first meeting at Pratt & Whitney Stadium. Matchup history elsewhere is limited, providing little direct comparison.
- No publicly noted significant injuries reported for either team prior to this match, suggesting both squads will likely field close to full strength lineups.
- The game is played in East Hartford, CT, favoring UConn with home crowd advantage. Weather conditions around early November in Connecticut are typically cool which may favor the more run-oriented or physically tough team. No other external disruptions are noted.
- UConn looks to strengthen its winning record and maintain momentum late in the season, while UAB is motivated to improve its sub-.500 record with a notable road win to boost morale and bowl eligibility hopes.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | UAB Blazers: +350, UConn Huskies: -450 | UConn Huskies | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | UAB Blazers: +11.5 at -105, UConn Huskies: -11.5 at -115 | UConn Huskies -11.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 63.5 at -110, Under: 63.5 at -110 | Over 63.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UConn Huskies -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 63.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 63.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UConn Huskies are favored to win comfortably at home given superior record, offensive firepower, and home field advantage. The Blazers face a tough challenge but may keep it competitive early.
Predicted Score: UConn Huskies 38 – 20 UAB Blazers