Match Analysis: Tysie Gallagher vs Ellie Hellewell – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Park Community Arena, Sheffield, United Kingdom
Game Overview
Tysie Gallagher faces Ellie Hellewell in a Super Bantamweight 10-round boxing match on September 27, 2025, at Park Community Arena in Sheffield. Gallagher, with a 9-2-0 record and more professional experience dating back to 2021, is the favorite against the undefeated southpaw, Ellie Hellewell, who holds a 7-0-0 record with a 14% KO rate.[1][2]
Key Factors to Consider
- Gallagher brings experience with 11 pro fights and 88 total rounds fought, showing solid technical skills and sharper combinations. Hellewell, though less experienced with 7 fights and 39 rounds, has a power advantage evidenced by a 14% knockout rate versus Gallagher's 0%.[1][6]
- This is their first meeting; no direct head-to-head history is available.[5]
- No reported injuries to either fighter leading into the bout.[1][2]
- The fight takes place at Gallagher's home city (Sheffield) which may influence crowd support. It is also part of the undercard for a prominent event featuring Ben Crocker and Sean McComb.[1]
- Gallagher appears highly motivated, dedicating the fight personally as a symbolic and emotional return, suggesting extra psychological investment.[3]
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tysie Gallagher: -195, Ellie Hellewell: +150 | Tysie Gallagher to win | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Spread | Gallagher -1.5 rounds: -110, Hellewell +1.5 rounds: -110 | Gallagher to win by more than 1 round | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
| Over/under | Over 8.5 rounds: -120, Under 8.5 rounds: +100 | Over 8.5 rounds – fight goes the distance or near to it | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tysie Gallagher -12% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Tysie Gallagher at -12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tysie Gallagher is predicted to win by decision leveraging her greater experience and technical skills. Hellewell's youth and power mean she could trouble Gallagher, but the odds and qualitative assessment favor Gallagher controlling the fight.
Predicted Score: Gallagher wins by unanimous decision, 97-93 on judges' scorecards