Match Analysis: J.P. Saint Louis vs Tyler Ray – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-21
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: PFL World Tournament 10 Finals – venue unspecified
Game Overview
The PFL World Tournament 10 Finals will feature a welterweight bout between J.P. Saint Louis and Tyler Ray. Both fighters have an identical professional record of 11 wins and 5 losses, with no draws. Saint Louis is 32 years old, 178 cm tall, with a reach of 178 cm and weighed in at 170 lbs. Tyler Ray is slightly taller at 183 cm with reach of 183 cm and weighed in heavier at 184.6 lbs. Their fighting dynamics differ in finishing styles and decision rates, making this a competitive and closely matched fight.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both fighters have similar records of 11-5-0. Saint Louis shows a higher tendency for submissions (8 of 11 wins) compared to Ray (5 submissions), while Ray has more wins by decision (5) than Saint Louis (1), indicating differing fight pacing and possibly endurance.
- No previous direct fights recorded between J.P. Saint Louis and Tyler Ray, making this their first encounter.
- No current injury reports available for either fighter ahead of this bout.
- The fight is part of a major tournament final with high stakes and is expected to be broadcast on ESPN, adding pressure and motivation. The venue details are not explicitly stated, but this is a high-profile PFL event.
- Both fighters have strong incentives to win as this is a tournament final. Saint Louis may have slight psychological advantage as the favorite in betting odds.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | J.P. Saint Louis: -160, Tyler Ray: +135 | J.P. Saint Louis | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | J.P. Saint Louis: -1.5, Tyler Ray: +1.5 | J.P. Saint Louis to cover -1.5 rounds (win decisively or by finish) | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Over/under | over: 1.85, under: 1.95 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | J.P. Saint Louis 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: J.P. Saint Louis at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
J.P. Saint Louis is predicted to narrowly outpoint Tyler Ray, leveraging his submission proficiency and slightly better odds. The fight is expected to be competitive with potential for a finish or decision.
Predicted Score: Saint Louis wins by submission or decision in round 3