Match Analysis: Dean Garnett vs Tuomas Gronvall – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-05
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: ING Arena, Brussels
Game Overview
The fight between Dean Garnett and Tuomas Gronvall is set for July 5, 2025, at PFL Europe 2, taking place in Brussels at the ING Arena. Both fighters have solid MMA records with Garnett at 12-3-1 and Gronvall at 12-8-1. Garnett, a 36-year-old English fighter, brings a balanced striking and finishing style including 4 KOs and 1 submission; Gronvall, 31 years old from Finland, is recognized for his relentless grappling and pace, favoring submissions (6) and decisions (5). The bout is anticipated to be competitive given their contrasting approaches and experience levels.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dean Garnett has a slightly better win-loss record and more KO wins, indicating stronger striking. Tuomas Gronvall has more submission wins, suggesting a grappling advantage. Both fighters have extensive experience though Garnett's recent form appears solid, while Gronvall is known for pace and pressure.
- No official previous matchups found between Garnett and Gronvall indicating a fresh contest without direct past outcome influence.
- No reported injuries for either fighter. Alex Luster's withdrawal led to Gronvall stepping in, which may affect his preparation but no injury concerns have been indicated.
- Fighting in Brussels at ING Arena, Gronvall's home country Finland is different from the venue, while Garnett is fighting away from his UK base. The PFL Europe atmosphere and card strength could motivate both fighters.
- Gronvall, stepping in due to another's withdrawal, will be eager to seize this opportunity at a major PFL Europe event. Garnett is motivated to maintain his winning momentum and secure position in the tournament.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dean Garnett: -400, Tuomas Gronvall: 250 | Dean Garnett | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Dean Garnett -1.5 rounds: -150, Tuomas Gronvall +1.5 rounds: 130 | Dean Garnett -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: 110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dean Garnett -99% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Dean Garnett is favored to win due to his superior striking, finishing ability, and current odds advantage. However, Gronvall's grappling and relentless pressure poses a credible threat to turn the fight in his favor, making it a challenging but likely Garnett victory.
Predicted Score: Dean Garnett wins by unanimous decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds