Match Analysis: Ollie Sarwa vs Tuomas Gronvall – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 15, 2025
• Time: 8:30 PM UTC
• Location: Indigo at The O2, London, England

Game Overview

Bantamweight main card matchup at Cage Warriors 196 between Ollie Sarwa and Tuomas Gronvall. Sarwa enters as the betting favorite with -160 moneyline odds, indicating market confidence in his abilities. Gronvall, fighting out of Finland with a 13-9-1 record, is the underdog at +120.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ollie Sarwa is favored by the market with significant odds movement, opening at -400 and moving to -250 closing odds, suggesting strong market confidence and likely recent dominant performance. Tuomas Gronvall carries a 13-9-1 professional record, indicating a fighter with moderate experience but inconsistent results.
• No previous head-to-head history between these fighters in available data.
• No injury information available in provided data.
• Fight takes place in London at a premium venue (The O2), which may provide home advantage considerations. This is a main card fight at a significant Cage Warriors event.
• Both fighters competing at a major Cage Warriors event with main card placement, suggesting high-profile opportunity for both competitors.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Sarwa -160 / Gronvall +120	Ollie Sarwa	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Draw -100%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Ollie Sarwa to win by decision or submission.

Predicted Score: Unable to determine without more detailed fighter striking, grappling, and submission statistics

Match Analysis: Dean Garnett vs Tuomas Gronvall – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-05
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: ING Arena, Brussels

Game Overview

The fight between Dean Garnett and Tuomas Gronvall is set for July 5, 2025, at PFL Europe 2, taking place in Brussels at the ING Arena. Both fighters have solid MMA records with Garnett at 12-3-1 and Gronvall at 12-8-1. Garnett, a 36-year-old English fighter, brings a balanced striking and finishing style including 4 KOs and 1 submission; Gronvall, 31 years old from Finland, is recognized for his relentless grappling and pace, favoring submissions (6) and decisions (5). The bout is anticipated to be competitive given their contrasting approaches and experience levels.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dean Garnett has a slightly better win-loss record and more KO wins, indicating stronger striking. Tuomas Gronvall has more submission wins, suggesting a grappling advantage. Both fighters have extensive experience though Garnett's recent form appears solid, while Gronvall is known for pace and pressure.
• No official previous matchups found between Garnett and Gronvall indicating a fresh contest without direct past outcome influence.
• No reported injuries for either fighter. Alex Luster's withdrawal led to Gronvall stepping in, which may affect his preparation but no injury concerns have been indicated.
• Fighting in Brussels at ING Arena, Gronvall's home country Finland is different from the venue, while Garnett is fighting away from his UK base. The PFL Europe atmosphere and card strength could motivate both fighters.
• Gronvall, stepping in due to another's withdrawal, will be eager to seize this opportunity at a major PFL Europe event. Garnett is motivated to maintain his winning momentum and secure position in the tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Dean Garnett: -400, Tuomas Gronvall: 250	Dean Garnett	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Dean Garnett -1.5 rounds: -150, Tuomas Gronvall +1.5 rounds: 130	Dean Garnett -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: 110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Dean Garnett -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Dean Garnett is favored to win due to his superior striking, finishing ability, and current odds advantage. However, Gronvall's grappling and relentless pressure poses a credible threat to turn the fight in his favor, making it a challenging but likely Garnett victory.

Predicted Score: Dean Garnett wins by unanimous decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Patrick Habirora vs. Danny Roberts Prediction	Under 1.5 rounds	-190	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Dean Garnett vs. Tuomas Gronvall Prediction	Dean Garnett Win	-400	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Taylor Lapilus vs. Ali Taleb Prediction	Taylor Lapilus Win	-230	★★★★☆ 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +174

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $54.75