Match Analysis: Mark Dickinson vs Troy Williamson – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Rainton Meadows Arena, Houghton-le-Spring, United Kingdom
Game Overview
Mark Dickinson defends his English super-middleweight title against Troy Williamson in a scheduled 10-round bout. Dickinson is an accomplished 26-year-old with an 8-1 record and a strategic boxing style, while Williamson is a seasoned 34-year-old with a 20-4-1 record and a significant knockout power advantage. The fight represents a crossroads for Williamson who is recovering from three consecutive losses, whereas Dickinson comes in with momentum and technical skill.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dickinson has demonstrated slick boxing skills and ring IQ, winning his last fight decisively. Williamson brings more professional experience and a higher KO ratio but has struggled recently with three losses in a row.
- No prior matches between the two. Dickinson is younger with a height advantage (6'2" vs. 5'11"). Williamson holds a 70% KO rate against Dickinson's 25%, indicating greater finishing power.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the match.
- The fight is on the undercard of a major WBA championship event and streamed worldwide on DAZN, increasing exposure.
- Dickinson aims to solidify his rising profile by defending his title, while Williamson is motivated to halt his losing streak and regain contender status.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mark Dickinson: -400, Troy Williamson: 300 | Mark Dickinson | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Over/under | Over 8.5 rounds: -385, Under 8.5 rounds: 285 | Under 8.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mark Dickinson -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 8.5 150% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 150% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 52.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mark Dickinson is favored to win by decision or late stoppage due to his younger age, recent momentum, and technical skill advantage over Troy Williamson despite Williamson's power and experience. Dickinson's style and ring IQ should neutralize Williamson's power.
Predicted Score: Mark Dickinson wins by 9 rounds to 1 (10-round decision)