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Texas State Bobcats vs. Troy Trojans Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Texas State Bobcats vs Troy Trojans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 12, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFCU Stadium

Game Overview

The Texas State Bobcats are favored over the Troy Trojans in this matchup. Both teams have a 3-2 record, indicating a competitive game. External factors such as weather and motivation could play a crucial role.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have shown mixed results recently, but Texas State has been stronger in home games.
  • Insufficient historical data to significantly influence the prediction.
  • No significant injury reports that would likely impact the game.
  • Weather conditions appear favorable for football with 81Β°F and no rain.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but Texas State might have an edge playing at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Texas State Bobcats: -325, Troy Trojans: 260 Texas State Bobcats β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Texas State Bobcats: -8.5 -108, Troy Trojans: +8.5 -112 Troy Trojans +8.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 67%
Over/under Over: 54.5 -108, Under: 54.5 -112 Over 54.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Texas State Bobcats -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 54.5 16%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 54.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Texas State Bobcats are favored across markets due to their stronger home performance and recent form.

Predicted Score: Texas State 31, Troy 24


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Troy Trojans vs. South Alabama Jaguars Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Troy Trojans vs South Alabama Jaguars – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy, Alabama

Game Overview

The matchup features the home team Troy Trojans (2-2) against South Alabama Jaguars (1-4) in a Sun Belt conference contest. Troy is favored by sportsbooks with stronger odds and home field advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Troy has a balanced 2-2 record with solid defensive rankings, allowing 23 points per game and scoring an average of 20.5 points. South Alabama is struggling offensively and defensively with a 1-4 record, scoring 25.2 points but conceding 31.8 per game. Troy’s defense ranks higher, contributing to their better form.
  • Recent head-to-head data and Sun Belt standings show Troy as the stronger team, currently with a better record and home advantage. Historical data favors Troy in these matchups.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side, suggesting full strength squads.
  • The game is played at Troy’s home stadium, which boosts their chances. Weather and other environmental factors are neutral and not expected to impact performance significantly.
  • Troy is motivated to maintain a winning record at home and push up in Sun Belt standings, while South Alabama aims to break their losing streak, potentially increasing their risk-taking tendencies.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Troy: -125, South Alabama: +105 Troy Trojans β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Troy -1.5 -115, South Alabama +1.5 -105 Troy Trojans -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 47.5 -110, Under 47.5 -110 Under 47.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Troy Trojans 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Troy Trojans to win moneyline, cover the spread (-1.5), and the total score to go under 47.5 points.

Predicted Score: Troy Trojans 24 – South Alabama Jaguars 17


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Buffalo Bulls vs. Troy Trojans Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Buffalo Bulls vs Troy Trojans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: UB Stadium, Buffalo, New York

Game Overview

The Buffalo Bulls (2-1) host the Troy Trojans (1-2) in a matchup where Buffalo is favored by 6.5 points. Buffalo has shown stronger recent form with a close win over Kent State, while Troy has struggled offensively with two recent losses and only 7 points scored in the last game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Buffalo enters with momentum after a 31-28 win over Kent State. Troy has a struggling offense averaging under 100 yards passing recently, with a 7-point output last game against Memphis.
  • No recent detailed head-to-head stats found, but Buffalo's overall stronger form and home field advantage are significant.
  • No major injuries reported that would impact key Buffalo or Troy players significantly.
  • Buffalo playing at home in UB Stadium with ESPN+ TV coverage, which may boost motivation. Weather and other logistical factors appear standard.
  • Buffalo 2-1 record and recent win provides confidence and home crowd motivation. Troy's need to rebound from two straight losses adds pressure but also urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Buffalo: -238, Troy: +195 Buffalo Bulls β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread Buffalo: -6.5 -110, Troy: +6.5 -110 Buffalo Bulls -6.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over: 42.5 -110, Under: 42.5 -110 Under 42.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Buffalo Bulls 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 42.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 42.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Buffalo Bulls to win straight up, cover the 6.5 spread, and the game total to go under 42.5 points.

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bulls 28 – Troy Trojans 14


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Troy Trojans vs. Memphis Tigers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Troy Trojans vs Memphis Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Larry Blakeney Field at Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy, Alabama

Game Overview

The Memphis Tigers (2-0) feature a strong start to their season, coming off a dominant 38-16 win, facing Troy Trojans (1-1) who are coming off a 27-16 loss to Clemson. Memphis is favored both on the moneyline and spread, with a moderately high total of 51.5 points set for the game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Memphis is undefeated with decisive wins, demonstrating a balanced and effective offense and defense. Troy struggled against a top opponent but showed strong rushing yards and efficient passing, despite the loss.
  • Recent matchups have favored Memphis, who are also the bookmakers' favorites by 3.5 points. Historical trends suggest Memphis has the edge in both scoring and defensive execution.
  • No significant injury concerns reported for either team that would affect the key positions or overall team performance.
  • Game played at Troy's home stadium with expected warm weather (~81Β°F), no rain, and light wind, conditions that favor a normal offensive game without adverse weather impact.
  • Memphis is motivated to maintain their undefeated streak and build momentum early in the season. Troy aims to rebound quickly after a tough loss, but Memphis' higher ranking and record give them an intangible edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Memphis Tigers: -180, Troy Trojans: +150 Memphis Tigers β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread Memphis Tigers: -112, Troy Trojans: -108 Memphis Tigers -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 51.5: -102, Under 51.5: -118 Under 51.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Memphis Tigers 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 51.5 2%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Memphis Tigers to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -3.5 spread, and the total points will go under 51.5.

Predicted Score: Memphis Tigers 28, Troy Trojans 17


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Clemson Tigers vs. Troy Trojans Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Clemson Tigers vs Troy Trojans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Memorial Stadium, Clemson, South Carolina

Game Overview

This early season matchup features the Clemson Tigers hosting the Troy Trojans. Clemson enters 0-1 after a narrow loss to LSU where their offense struggled while their defense performed reasonably well. Troy is 1-0, having demonstrated a strong fourth-quarter surge and a powerful rushing game but showed defensive vulnerabilities against lesser competition.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Clemson's defense has been solid but their offense underperformed in Week 1. Troy excels in fourth-quarter point differential and red zone efficiency but has struggled defensively against ranked teams, especially on the road.
  • Troy has lost its last four road games against AP-ranked opponents. Clemson has historically dominated matchups against mid-major Sun Belt opponents like Troy, covering recent spreads.
  • No notable injuries reported that would impact starting offensive or defensive units significantly for either team.
  • Home field advantage at Memorial Stadium favors Clemson. Weather and other external conditions expected to be typical early September in South Carolina with no adverse effects.
  • Clemson is motivated to rebound from an opening loss and prove their dominance against a mid-tier opponent. Troy aims to maintain momentum but faces challenges playing away against a Power 5 team.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Clemson -9900, Troy +900 Clemson β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Clemson -33.5 -108 Clemson -33.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over 51.5 -115, Under 51.5 -105 Under 51.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 51.5 37%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Clemson to win moneyline; Clemson to cover the -33.5 spread; Total points under 51.5

Predicted Score: Clemson 38 – Troy 13


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Troy Trojans vs. Nicholls State Colonels Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Troy Trojans vs Nicholls State Colonels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Larry Blakeney Field at Veterans Memorial Stadium

Game Overview

Troy Trojans, a strong FBS program, host the Nicholls State Colonels, a smaller FCS team, on August 30, 2025. Troy is heavily favored given the class and talent gap, with strong recent form and minimal injuries, while Nicholls State is expected to struggle against a much more talented and experienced opponent.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Troy Trojans consistently perform well in their conference with strong offense and defense, while Nicholls State, as an FCS team, struggles against higher-tier competition, with little indication of improvement this season.
  • Recent matchups heavily favor Troy, often winning by large margins; no close contests are on record between these teams, indicating a historical dominance by Troy.
  • No significant injuries reported for Troy; Nicholls State has no major injury concerns but overall depth and talent remain limited.
  • Home-field advantage for Troy plays a key role, coupled with better facilities and crowd support; weather conditions expected to be typical for Alabama late August.
  • Troy aims to establish dominance early in the season and maintain momentum, while Nicholls State plays as heavy underdog with motivation to limit damage rather than win outright.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Troy -1600, Nicholls State +860 Troy Trojans β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 92%
Spread Troy -20.5 -115, Nicholls State +20.5 -105 Troy Trojans -20.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Over/under Over 48.5 -110, Under 48.5 -110 Under 48.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Troy Trojans -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 34%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Troy Trojans to cover the -20.5 spread with a convincing win, while the game total will likely stay under 48.5 points due to moderate scoring pace expected in a physically dominant defensive performance.

Predicted Score: Troy Trojans 34 – Nicholls State Colonels 13


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Troy Trojans vs. Old Dominion Monarchs Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: Troy Trojans vs Old Dominion Monarchs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-23
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Riverwalk Stadium, Montgomery, Alabama

Game Overview

The NCAA baseball match between the Troy Trojans and the Old Dominion Monarchs is set at Riverwalk Stadium, Montgomery, Alabama. Troy enters as the favored third seed with a strong winning record of 37-19 overall and 18-12 in conference play, while Old Dominion is the sixth seed with a 21-29 overall and 15-15 in conference record. Troy has demonstrated consistent performance throughout the season and recently won convincingly against Old Dominion in previous encounters in this Sun Belt Championship series.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Troy Trojans have a solid season record (37-19) with strong offensive showings, including recent wins over Old Dominion with scores such as 7-1 and 14-12. Old Dominion had a tougher season with more losses (21-29), recently struggling in the conference tournament against top teams. Troy's consistency and offensive firepower give them a performance edge.
  • In recent meetings during this tournament, Troy has dominated Old Dominion, winning all matchups by comfortable margins, including a 23-6 win and a 7-1 victory. This shows a clear upper hand in direct competition.
  • No specific injuries were reported in the available data for either team, suggesting both squads are likely at or near full strength for this matchup.
  • The game is hosted at a neutral-ish venue, Riverwalk Stadium, which limits home advantage. Weather and other environmental conditions are typical for late May in Montgomery, Alabama, likely favorable for play without notable disruptions.
  • Troy is motivated as the higher seed aiming to progress further in the Sun Belt Championship, while Old Dominion is fighting to upset a top seed and improve its postseason standing after a challenging regular season. The tournament setting increases the stakes for both.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Old Dominion Monarchs: 210, Troy Trojans: -280 Troy Trojans β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Old Dominion Monarchs: -2.5 -120, Troy Trojans: +2.5 -110 Troy Trojans to cover -2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Over/under Over: 14.5 -115, Under: 14.5 -115 Over 14.5 runs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Troy Trojans -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 14.5 22%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 14.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Troy Trojans are predicted to win this match given their better overall and head-to-head performance. Their strong offensive capability and momentum from recent victories position them as the favorites to cover the spread and surpass the over/under line.

Predicted Score: Troy Trojans 9 – 5 Old Dominion Monarchs


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Troy Trojans vs. Texas State Bobcats Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: Troy Trojans vs Texas State Bobcats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-22
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Riddle-Pace Field, Troy, Alabama

Game Overview

The upcoming NCAA baseball match features the Troy Trojans hosting the Texas State Bobcats. Troy has been a strong team this season with a record around 37-19, showing impressive offensive and defensive capabilities including recent dominant wins such as 23-6 and 14-12 at home. Texas State has struggled more this season with a record near 26-29, suffering several heavy losses and inconsistent performance but occasionally showing resilience with wins in tight games. Troy enters as favorites with home advantage and better overall season form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Troy Trojans have demonstrated strong form in 2025 with multiple high-scoring wins and consistent pitching performances. Texas State Bobcats have been inconsistent, with a losing record and some lopsided defeats, but have managed close victories sporadically. Troy’s superior win-loss ratio and home advantage heavily favor their performance.
  • In the recent matchup on April 26, 2025, Troy defeated Texas State 9-4, showing clear dominance. Historically within the season, Troy has maintained superiority over Texas State, indicating psychological and tactical advantages.
  • No specific injury reports are available for either team close to this match date, implying both teams likely field near-full strength squads.
  • Playing at home, Troy benefits from familiar conditions at Riddle-Pace Field. Weather conditions on May 22, 2025, are expected to be conducive to play, with no reported disruptions or extreme weather.
  • Troy is motivated to solidify their strong season record and improve standings in the Sun Belt Conference. Texas State looks to upset a higher-ranked opponent and improve their sub-.500 season record, adding an element of competitive underdog drive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Texas State Bobcats: 200, Troy Trojans: -270 Troy Trojans β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Texas State Bobcats: -2.5 -130, Troy Trojans: +2.5 100 Troy Trojans -2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Over/under Over 13.5: -115, Under 13.5: -115 Over 13.5 runs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Troy Trojans 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 13.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 13.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Troy Trojans are predicted to win comfortably based on stronger recent performances, home field advantage, and superior odds offered by bookmakers.

Predicted Score: Troy Trojans 8 – 4 Texas State Bobcats


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Troy Trojans vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: Troy Trojans vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 15, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Riddle-Pace Field, Troy, AL

Game Overview

The matchup between the Troy Trojans and Southern Miss Golden Eagles is a crucial game in the NCAA baseball season. Both teams have shown strong performances, with Southern Miss displaying a solid record of 38-13, while Troy boasts a 36-15 record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Southern Miss has a strong overall record, with significant wins against Lafayette and Louisiana Tech. Troy, on the other hand, has shown impressive victories against Bellarmine and Mississippi State.
  • There is limited recent data on head-to-head matchups between these teams, but Southern Miss generally has a strong performance against conference opponents.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either team leading up to this match.
  • Weather conditions and home field advantage could play a role, but there is no specific data indicating a significant impact.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, given their positions in the standings and the importance of each game in the NCAA season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Southern Miss: -145, Troy: +114 Southern Miss β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southern Miss Golden Eagles -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Southern Miss Golden Eagles at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Southern Miss is likely to win due to their strong overall performance and recent success.

Predicted Score: Southern Miss 6, Troy 4


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Arkansas St Red Wolves vs. Troy Trojans Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: Arkansas St Red Wolves vs Troy Trojans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-09
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Tomlinson Stadium – Slayton Family Field, Jonesboro, AR

Game Overview

The NCAA baseball matchup features the Arkansas State Red Wolves hosting the Troy Trojans at Tomlinson Stadium in Jonesboro. This game is part of a multi-game series between these Sun Belt Conference rivals. Arkansas State has struggled through parts of the season with a mixed record, showing inconsistency at home, while Troy comes in as a stronger team on the road, favored in the moneyline and with a solid recent history of performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arkansas State has displayed fluctuating results, including losses to teams like Eastern Illinois and Ole Miss earlier in the season, indicating some weaknesses especially in pitching and clutch hitting. Troy Trojans have been more consistent with better pitching depth and offensive production, giving them an edge in this contest.
  • The teams have met multiple times in recent seasons within the Sun Belt Conference. Troy has generally held the upper hand, especially in away games, and this series is expected to be competitive but tilted slightly toward Troy based on recent form and overall squad capabilities.
  • No significant injury reports have been disclosed for either team as of the match date, suggesting that both squads will field their expected lineups.
  • Playing at home should provide Arkansas State with some advantage, including fan support and familiarity with the field. Weather and other external conditions have not been noted as impactful for this game day.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure wins late in the season to improve their standings in the Sun Belt Conference. Troy's favored status could add pressure to maintain momentum, while Arkansas State will be eager to upset and defend their home turf.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arkansas St Red Wolves: 160, Troy Trojans: -210 Troy Trojans β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Arkansas St Red Wolves: +1.5, Troy Trojans: -1.5 Troy Trojans -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 7.5 / Under 7.5 Under 7.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market EV Pick
Moneyline Troy Trojans -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Troy Trojans at -14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Troy Trojans are favored to win this matchup given their stronger road form, better recent team performance, and favorable odds. Arkansas State may keep the game competitive, but Troy's consistency suggests a likely victory.

Predicted Score: Troy Trojans 5, Arkansas St Red Wolves 3


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