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Troy Trojans vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flash Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Troy Trojans vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 26, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Alico Arena, Fort Myers, FL

Game Overview

Troy Trojans host St. Francis (PA) Red Flash in a heavily lopsided matchup featuring a dominant home team facing one of the weakest teams in college basketball this season. Troy enters at 4-4 while St. Francis PA is winless at 0-5, having suffered multiple blowout losses including a devastating 94-57 defeat to Belmont on Monday. This game represents a massive talent and performance disparity, with Troy favored by over 22 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Troy Trojans have shown competitive ability with a .500 record, including a notable victory over SDSU (108-107). St. Francis PA has been historically poor, failing to win any games while averaging under 67 points per contest. In their most recent loss to Belmont, the Red Flash shot just 33.9% from the field, 20% from three, and committed 16 turnovers while being outrebounded 30-25. This demonstrates fundamental offensive and defensive breakdowns that Troy should easily exploit.
  • No previous matchup history available between these programs in recent seasons.
  • No specific injury reports available in the provided data for either team.
  • The game is played at a neutral site (Alico Arena in Fort Myers) as part of the Coconut Hoops Championship tournament. This eliminates typical home-court advantage benefits, though Troy still maintains superior talent and execution.
  • Troy has motivation to build momentum and establish dominance over an inferior opponent. St. Francis PA faces desperation but limited realistic paths to victory given their systematic failures across shooting, ball handling, and rebounding.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Troy -9000 / St. Francis PA +2500 Troy Trojans Win ★★★★★ 96%
Spread Troy -22.5 (-115) / St. Francis PA +22.5 (-105) Troy -22.5 (Troy covers the spread) ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 151.5 (-110) / Under 151.5 (-110) Under 151.5 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Troy Trojans -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 151.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 151.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Troy Trojans will decisively defeat St. Francis (PA) Red Flash by a substantial margin. The talent gap is enormous, and St. Francis PA's inability to execute on either end of the floor makes them vulnerable to any competent opponent, let alone one like Troy.

Predicted Score: Troy 87, St. Francis PA 64


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Troy Trojans vs. Toledo Rockets Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Troy Trojans vs Toledo Rockets – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-24
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Alico Arena, Fort Myers

Game Overview

The Troy Trojans (4-3) host the Toledo Rockets (3-2) in a closely matched NCAA college basketball game. Troy is favored both in the moneyline and spread, with a recent form that includes 3 wins out of their last 5 games and a better performance on the road against the spread. Toledo is on a three-game winning streak, showing resilience especially in non-conference play.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Troy exhibits strong rebounding (36.57 per game) and solid assists (17.6), but struggles with turnovers (12.71) and inconsistent shooting (around 45% FG). Toledo shoots better from the field (~50%), converts 75% of free throws, and has a balanced defensive profile but slightly weaker rebounding (27.4 per game). The over has hit in three of Troy's last five games.
  • Limited recent direct data available, but Troy has a home advantage and is favored by bookmakers. Toledo has momentum with a recent three-game winning streak over non-conference opponents.
  • No significant injury reports available for either team at this time.
  • Troy benefits from home court advantage at Alico Arena, which reflects in a home advantage rating of #49 overall, while Toledo ranks higher in strength of schedule and competitive ranking (#3). Motivation could be influenced by Troy trying to capitalize on home court and maintain consistency, while Toledo seeks to extend their streak.
  • Toledo aims to continue their winning streak against a favored Troy squad, which has shown vulnerability in recent losses. Troy, with a slightly better record and home advantage, looks to assert dominance early and cover the spread.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Troy: -175, Toledo: +145 Troy win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Troy: -2.5 (-115), Toledo: +2.5 (-105) Troy -2.5 cover ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 160.5 (-110), Under: 160.5 (-110) Over 160.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Troy Trojans 47%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 160.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Troy Trojans at 47% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Troy Trojans to win a close contest, leveraging home advantage and rebounding edge, with a predicted score around Troy 87, Toledo 82.

Predicted Score: Troy Trojans 87 – Toledo Rockets 82


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Troy Trojans vs. Georgia State Panthers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Troy Trojans vs Georgia State Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-22
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy, Alabama

Game Overview

The game features the Troy Trojans (6-4) hosting the Georgia State Panthers (1-9) in a Sun Belt Conference matchup. Troy is heavily favored due to superior performance and home advantage, while Georgia State has struggled throughout the season. The game is set for November 22, 2025, at Veterans Memorial Stadium with an expected temperature around 78°F and calm weather conditions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Troy has a strong 6-4 season record with recent wins and a better away and home spread performance. Georgia State has struggled, holding a 1-9 record overall with poor away form and an ATS record that indicates difficulty covering spreads.
  • The historical matchup favors Troy with stronger recent results and the Panthers rarely able to contend effectively; Troy is 3-2 ATS in their last five games and 4-1 ATS on the road, suggesting a trend toward consistent performance against expectations.
  • No significant injury reports are currently available for either team.
  • Weather conditions at Veterans Memorial Stadium are expected to be favorable (78°F, no rain, slight wind), unlikely to affect gameplay negatively.
  • Troy aims to solidify their winning season and strengthen Sun Belt positioning, while Georgia State looks to avoid a winless trend and prove competitiveness despite their poor season record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Georgia State Panthers: +350, Troy Trojans: -455 Troy Trojans ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Georgia State Panthers: +10.5 -105, Troy Trojans: -10.5 -115 Troy Trojans to cover -10.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 52.5: -105, Under 52.5: -115 Over 52.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Troy Trojans -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 52.5 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 52.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Troy Trojans are strongly predicted to win comfortably, likely covering the spread with a total score exceeding the over/under set around 52.5 points.

Predicted Score: Troy Trojans 35 – Georgia State Panthers 17


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USC Trojans vs. Troy Trojans Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: USC Trojans vs Troy Trojans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-21
  • Time: 3:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Galen Center, Los Angeles, CA

Game Overview

The USC Trojans (3-0) host the Troy Trojans (4-2) on November 21, 2025, at the Galen Center. USC, a strong home team with an unbeaten start, faces Troy, which has a decent record but competes at a different conference level. USC is heavily favored due to superior performance and roster strength.

Key Factors to Consider

  • USC Trojans are undefeated 3-0, showing strong offensive output and defense early in the season. Troy Trojans have a 4-2 record, competitive in the Sun Belt Conference but less consistent against power conference teams.
  • No recent head-to-head history or previous season matchups available for detailed comparison. USC generally holds advantage playing at a higher level.
  • No specific injury updates found for either team prior to this matchup, indicating both squads expected to play full strength.
  • USC's home court advantage at the Galen Center and familiarity with Pac-12 opponents gives them an edge. Troy must travel from a lower profile conference, potentially impacting performance.
  • USC aims to maintain an unbeaten streak and build momentum within a stronger conference. Troy looks for an upset and to gain respect against a top-tier opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Troy Trojans: 1400, USC Trojans: -4000 USC Trojans win ★★★★★ 92%
Spread Troy Trojans: -18.5 -102, USC Trojans: -18.5 -120 USC Trojans to cover -18.5 ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over: 156.5 -115, Under: 156.5 -105 Under 156.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline USC Trojans -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 156.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 156.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

USC Trojans win comfortably, covering the large spread based on their dominant early season form and marketplace odds.

Predicted Score: USC Trojans 88 – Troy Trojans 68


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San Diego St Aztecs vs. Troy Trojans Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: San Diego St Aztecs vs Troy Trojans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-19
  • Time: 3:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Viejas Arena, San Diego, CA

Game Overview

San Diego State Aztecs (2-0) host Troy Trojans (3-2) in a college basketball matchup. The Aztecs, undefeated at home, face Troy who are underdogs but coming off a mixed start. San Diego State displays stronger team metrics and home court advantage, while Troy relies heavily on key players like Cooper Campbell. The game is expected to be controlled by the Aztecs with a significant spread favoring them.

Key Factors to Consider

  • San Diego State is undefeated so far this season with a strong home record (2-0) and efficient scoring (10.5 PPG by key player Harrington). Troy has a 3-2 record but struggles with consistency and is heavily reliant on Campbell's scoring (15.8 PPG). San Diego State's defense and overall depth appear superior.
  • Recent direct matchups favor San Diego State with Troy often unable to cover large spreads. No available detailed head-to-head results for this specific season but historical trend supports Aztecs dominance.
  • San Diego State has minor injuries listed (e.g., Gwath with a knee issue), unlikely to severely impact performance. Troy's injury report is minimal.
  • Home court advantage for San Diego State at Viejas Arena often boosts their performance. Crowd support and travel fatigue likely affect Troy negatively.
  • San Diego State aims to maintain a perfect home record and establish dominance early in the season, while Troy looks to prove competitiveness against a top-ranked program despite odds.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline San Diego St Aztecs: -2300, Troy Trojans: 1060 San Diego St Aztecs win ★★★★★ 92%
Spread San Diego St Aztecs: -15.5 -115, Troy Trojans: +15.5 -105 San Diego St Aztecs -15.5 ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over: 138.5 -110, Under: 138.5 -110 Under 138.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline San Diego St Aztecs -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 138.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 138.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

San Diego State wins comfortably, covering the spread. The Aztecs' defensive strength and home court edge should limit Troy's offensive production.

Predicted Score: San Diego State Aztecs 78, Troy Trojans 60


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CSU Northridge Matadors vs. Troy Trojans Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: CSU Northridge Matadors vs Troy Trojans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-17
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Premier American Credit Union Arena, Northridge, California

Game Overview

The CSU Northridge Matadors (2-2) face the Troy Trojans (3-1) in an early season NCAA men's basketball matchup. Troy comes in favored on the road by 3.5 points with strong road performance last season, while Northridge benefits from playing at home, having finished 22-11 last season with a 10-3 home record. Both teams average around 73 points per game based on last season stats, suggesting a moderately paced game with an expected combined total near 156.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Troy is currently 3-1, coming off solid wins and a loss against LMU recently. They have a good road record historically and average about 73.4 points per game with solid three-point shooting (23.1%). Northridge is 2-2, with a strong home performance last season and allowing 72.9 points per game. Northridge's defense is notable with opponents shooting 40.4% last season. Troy has a strong offense but has turned the ball over moderately (13.3 per game).
  • This marks the first-ever meeting between Troy and CSU Northridge in men's basketball, providing no historical direct match data. Analysis relies on recent seasonal performance and venue impact.
  • No injury reports have been noted for either team prior to the game, implying both teams should be at full strength.
  • Troy is in the midst of a long road trip in California, which could induce fatigue. They play their second game of a four-game California road stretch. Meanwhile, Northridge has home-court advantage with a solid fan base expected at the Premier American Credit Union Arena (capacity approx. 2,200).
  • Troy aims to maintain momentum on the road during a challenging stretch and build on last season’s strong conference and road performances. Northridge looks to defend their home court and even their season record early on, capitalizing on familiar surroundings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline CSU Northridge Matadors: +160, Troy Trojans: -192 Troy Trojans ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread CSU Northridge Matadors: +3.5 -105, Troy Trojans: -3.5 -115 Troy Trojans -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over: 156.5 -110, Under: 156.5 -110 Over 156.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Troy Trojans -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 156.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 156.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Troy Trojans to win by a narrow margin, covering the -3.5 spread, with a moderately high scoring game expected near the total line.

Predicted Score: Troy Trojans 79 – CSU Northridge Matadors 74


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Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Troy Trojans Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Loyola Marymount Lions vs Troy Trojans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 3:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Gersten Pavilion, Los Angeles, CA

Game Overview

The matchup between the Loyola Marymount Lions and Troy Trojans features two undefeated teams this season, with LMU at 4-0 and Troy at 3-0. Both teams have shown strong offensive capabilities, with Troy recently scoring a season-high 121 points against Pensacola Christian, while LMU maintains a solid defensive record with a key victory over UTEP 71-58. This is their first-ever meeting, adding an intriguing element to the game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Loyola Marymount is 4-0, including a 71-58 win against UTEP. Myron Amey Jr. leads LMU with 16.25 points per game and Jalen Shelley averages 8.5 rebounds. Troy is 3-0 with impressive offensive stats, including 121 points in their last game, led by Thomas Dowd (16 points) and strong team ball movement with 31 assists. Troy averages 96 points/game (34th nationally) with high field goal (50.5%) and three-point percentages (40.2%).
  • No previous meetings between Loyola Marymount Lions and Troy Trojans have been recorded, making this the first encounter between the two teams.
  • No significant injury reports have been noted for either team ahead of this game.
  • The game is played at Loyola Marymount’s home court, Gersten Pavilion, which may advantage LMU. Troy is embarking on a six-game road trip, which could impact their performance.
  • Both teams are undefeated and motivated to maintain perfect records early in the season. Troy will look to start their road trip strong, while LMU aims to capitalize on home-court advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Loyola Marymount Lions: -188, Troy Trojans: 152 Loyola Marymount Lions ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Loyola Marymount Lions: -4.5 -105, Troy Trojans: +4.5 -115 Loyola Marymount Lions to cover -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over: 142.5 -110, Under: 142.5 -114 Under 142.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Loyola Marymount Lions 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 142.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 142.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Loyola Marymount Lions are favored to win due to home advantage and consistent performance, but Troy's high-powered offense and recent dominance make this a competitive game. Expect a close game with LMU slightly ahead.

Predicted Score: Loyola Marymount Lions 74 – Troy Trojans 68


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Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Troy Trojans Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Old Dominion Monarchs vs Troy Trojans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-13
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Kornblau Field at S.B. Ballard Stadium, Norfolk, Virginia

Game Overview

This is a Sun Belt Conference matchup between Old Dominion Monarchs (6-3) and Troy Trojans (6-3), both with identical overall records but slightly different conference standings. Old Dominion is favored by bookmakers, with a consensus spread around -10.5 and a total set at 52.5 points. The game is scheduled for Thursday night, November 13, 2025, and will be broadcast on ESPN.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Old Dominion has shown strong recent form, going 4-1 in their last five games and 4-1 against the spread. Their offense averages 31.9 points per game, ranking 55th nationally, while their defense allows 23.4 points per game, ranking 60th. Troy, on the other hand, has struggled in their last outing, losing 23-10 to Arkansas State. Their defense is solid, but their offense has been inconsistent, averaging 25.1 points per game according to ESPN projections.
  • Recent head-to-head data is not available in the provided sources, but both teams have similar records and conference standings, suggesting a competitive matchup.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either team in the provided sources.
  • The game will be played at Old Dominion's home stadium, which could provide a slight advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be mild, with no rain forecasted.
  • Both teams are fighting for a strong finish in the Sun Belt Conference, with Old Dominion looking to solidify their position and Troy aiming to bounce back from their recent loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Old Dominion Monarchs: -450, Troy Trojans: 350 Old Dominion Monarchs ★★★★☆ 89%
Spread Old Dominion Monarchs: -10.5 -115, Troy Trojans: 10.5 -105 Old Dominion Monarchs to cover ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over: 52.5 -110, Under: 52.5 -110 Under ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Old Dominion Monarchs -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 52.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Old Dominion is favored to win this game, with a high probability of covering the spread. The total points are expected to be close to the set line, but the game could lean towards the under due to Troy's recent defensive performance.

Predicted Score: Old Dominion 28, Troy 21


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Furman Paladins vs. Troy Trojans Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Furman Paladins vs Troy Trojans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Timmons Arena, Greenville, SC

Game Overview

The Furman Paladins (0-1) host the Troy Trojans (1-0) in an NCAA basketball matchup. Troy enters on a winning momentum after a high-scoring overtime victory (103-97) against Kent State, demonstrating effective shooting and rebounding. Furman is coming off a home loss to High Point. The game is expected to be competitive with an estimated combined total around 150 points, reflecting an offensive-minded contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Troy shows efficient shooting (52.4% FG, 46% 3PT) and strong free throw accuracy (75.8%), aided by balanced assists (20) and steal numbers (8) in their win. Furman is 0-1 and was outscored in their opening game, showing early season rust. Troy's defense allowed 38% FG to Kent State, which could be tested by Furman's offense. Furman's current form and ability to improve at home are crucial.
  • No recent detailed head-to-head data available in the search results, but Troy won the last noted matchups and currently shows stronger early season form.
  • No injury information available for either team from the provided data.
  • The game is played at Furman's home arena, Timmons Arena, giving them home-court advantage. The game will be broadcast on ESPN+. Public betting heavily favors Furman with 100% of bets on them despite their prior loss, indicating strong support and potentially value in Troy's underdog position.
  • Troy seeks to continue positive momentum after their strong road victory, aiming to prove consistency. Furman wants to capitalize on home court to rebound from a disappointing start and validate their potential this season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Furman Paladins: -168, Troy Trojans: 136 Furman Paladins ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Furman Paladins: -3.5 -104, Troy Trojans: +3.5 -118 Furman Paladins -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over: 150.5 -108, Under: 150.5 -116 Over 150.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Furman Paladins -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 150.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 150.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The analysis favors Furman to win narrowly due to home advantage and betting market confidence, but Troy's strong offensive metrics and shooting efficiency suggest a close game, potentially going to the over on total points.

Predicted Score: Furman Paladins 78 – Troy Trojans 74


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Troy Trojans vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Troy Trojans vs Arkansas State Red Wolves – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 1, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)

Game Overview

The Troy Trojans, currently 6-2, host the Arkansas State Red Wolves, who are 4-4, in a Sun Belt Conference matchup. Troy is favored by 7.5 points, reflecting their strong performance this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Troy has been consistent with a 4-0 record in the Sun Belt, while Arkansas State is 3-1 in conference play. Troy recently defeated Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 35-23, and Arkansas State won against Georgia Southern 34-24.
  • Historical data on head-to-head matchups is not provided, but Troy's current form suggests an advantage.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this matchup.
  • The game is on Troy's homecoming, which could boost their motivation and crowd support.
  • Troy's motivation is high due to their undefeated conference record and homecoming event.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Troy -275, Arkansas State 225 Troy Trojans ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Troy -7.5 (-105), Arkansas State +7.5 (-115) Troy Trojans ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 52.5 (-115), Under 52.5 (-105) Over ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Troy Trojans -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 52.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Troy Trojans at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Troy Trojans are likely to win due to their strong conference record and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Troy Trojans 31, Arkansas State Red Wolves 24


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