Match Analysis: Dzhamal Mavliudov vs Triston Gwaltney – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-15
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Sanford Pentagon, Sioux Falls, South Dakota
Game Overview
Dzhamal Mavliudov and Triston Gwaltney face off in a lightweight MMA bout at LFA 214. Mavliudov is the clear favorite due to his strong ground game and combat sambo background, while Gwaltney presents a striking threat with knockout power.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mavliudov shows consistent control on the ground and has been successful in recent fights implementing his grappling skills. Gwaltney leverages striking unpredictability but has less success in prolonged ground exchanges.
- No recorded previous matchups, making style clashes and adaptations crucial.
- No reported injuries for either fighter entering this matchup.
- Fight is held at Sanford Pentagon, a venue known to favor aggressive and well-conditioned fighters. No travel or environmental disadvantages noted for either combatant.
- Mavliudov is motivated to maintain an undefeated streak and solidify status as a dominant lightweight prospect in LFA. Gwaltney aims to capitalize on his underdog status and knockout potential to raise profile.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dzhamal Mavliudov: -600, Triston Gwaltney: 425 | Dzhamal Mavliudov | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Dzhamal Mavliudov -1.5: -115, Triston Gwaltney +1.5: -115 | Dzhamal Mavliudov -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 rounds: -115, Under 1.5 rounds: -115 | Under 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dzhamal Mavliudov -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Dzhamal Mavliudov to win via decision
Predicted Score: Dzhamal Mavliudov wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds