Match Analysis: Trent Miller vs Ryan Gandra – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-26
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Dana White's Contender Series 2025 Week 3 (Venue TBD)
Game Overview
The middleweight bout features Trent Miller (8-2) versus Ryan Gandra (7-1). Miller is stepping in on short notice and has a power-heavy, aggressive style with weaknesses in cardio, defense, and chin durability. Gandra, making his US debut, is more balanced with KO/TKO, submission, and decision wins and is considered more athletic and dynamic.
Key Factors to Consider
- Miller trains with the elite Xtreme Couture team, whereas Gandra's camp details are less highlighted but he has demonstrated versatility in finishes.
- No prior encounters between Miller and Gandra; this will be their first meeting.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this bout.
- Miller accepted the fight on short notice, potentially impacting his preparation and conditioning. Gandra is making his US debut, which can add motivation but also pressure.
- Gandra is highly motivated to impress in his US debut, while Miller seeks to capitalize despite short notice, relying on his power and aggression.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ryan Gandra: -370, Trent Miller: 295 | Ryan Gandra | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Ryan Gandra -1.5: -150, Trent Miller +1.5: 130 | Ryan Gandra -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5: 125, Under 1.5: -155 | Under 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 80% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ryan Gandra -11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 7% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ryan Gandra via first-round knockout, leveraging superior athleticism, conditioning, and striking precision, with a likely finish before Miller can capitalize on his power.
Predicted Score: Ryan Gandra wins by KO in Round 1