Match Analysis: Jordan Vucenic vs Torpal Merjoev – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 8:30 PM UTC
• Location: Indigo at The O2, London

Game Overview

The lightweight bout between Jordan Vucenic and Torpal Merjoev is a featured main card fight at Cage Warriors 196 on November 15, 2025. Vucenic, a seasoned fighter with Cage Warriors title experience and previous UFC fights, faces rising Norwegian prospect Merjoev, who is undefeated with a record of 6-0 and eager to make a statement on a big stage in London.

Key Factors to Consider

• Jordan Vucenic holds a significant experience advantage with a 13-4 record including multiple wins by submission and decision. Merjoev, although undefeated at 6-0, has less experience and has finished fewer opponents by knockout or submission. Vucenic’s diverse finishing ability and experience in high-pressure fights favor him.
• The fighters have not previously faced each other, making this a fresh and unpredictable matchup.
• No reported injuries have been disclosed for either fighter leading into the bout.
• The fight takes place in London at the Indigo at The O2, a venue where Vucenic has had legendary moments and previous big fights, potentially giving him a psychological edge.
• Merjoev is highly motivated to climb the ranks and sees this fight as a breakthrough opportunity. Vucenic is motivated to maintain his status as a top lightweight and leverage his experience to secure another high-profile victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jordan Vucenic: -600, Torpal Merjoev: 350	Jordan Vucenic	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Jordan Vucenic: -1.5, Torpal Merjoev: +1.5	Jordan Vucenic to win by more than 1.5 rounds or a clear finish	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over_2.5_rounds: -110, under_2.5_rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds, expecting a tactical pace with a likely finish or decision before extended rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jordan Vucenic -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jordan Vucenic at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jordan Vucenic is favored to win by leveraging his experience and versatility against the less seasoned but motivated Merjoev. Expect a tactical fight with potential for Vucenic to win via submission or decision.

Predicted Score: Jordan Vucenic wins by submission or decision within 2 to 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Teddy Adlington-Stringer vs Torpal Merjoev – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-28
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, Greater Manchester, England

Game Overview

The MMA fight between Teddy Adlington-Stringer and Torpal Merjoev is a lightweight bout scheduled for June 28, 2025, at the BEC Arena in Manchester. Teddy Adlington-Stringer enters as the heavy favorite with significantly better betting odds and experience, while Torpal Merjoev is undefeated but less favored by bookmakers. This matchup pits Stringer's experience and favored status against Merjoev's undefeated momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

• Teddy Adlington-Stringer has a strong track record against high-level opponents, showing versatility and finishing capability. Torpal Merjoev holds a perfect 5-0 professional record with wins via TKO and decisions, indicating a well-rounded skill set but less exposure at elite levels.
• The fighters have no prior head-to-head meeting. Analysis relies on comparing their respective fight histories and styles.
• No reported injuries or health concerns for either fighter leading up to the bout.
• The fight is held on neutral ground at the BEC Arena in Manchester, which may slightly favor Teddy Stringer due to proximity and fan support. No significant external disruptions or conditions noted.
• Stringer, as the favorite, is motivated to maintain status and validate odds, while Merjoev seeks to continue his undefeated streak and prove himself against a top-tier opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Teddy Adlington-Stringer: -600, Torpal Merjoev: 425	Teddy Adlington-Stringer	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Teddy Adlington-Stringer: -1.5, Torpal Merjoev: +1.5	Teddy Adlington-Stringer to win by at least 2 rounds or dominant finish	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: -135, Under 1.5 rounds: 105	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Teddy Adlington-Stringer -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Teddy Adlington-Stringer is predicted to win by decision or late finish given his favored odds, experience, and the momentum suggested by bookmakers. Merjoev may push aggressively early but is slightly less likely to overcome Stringer’s superior experience.

Predicted Score: Teddy Adlington-Stringer wins by unanimous decision or TKO in rounds 3 to 5