Toronto Maple Leafs (3-3-1) visit the Buffalo Sabres (3-4-0) in a tight Atlantic Division matchup. The Maple Leafs are slight betting favorites despite recent losses, while the Sabres are riding a streak of home victories but have struggled against tougher competition. Both teams are averaging over 2.7 goals per game but have leaky defenses. Expect a competitive, potentially high-scoring affair.
Key Factors to Consider
Maple Leafs average 3.43 goals per game but allow 3.57, with an inconsistent power play and penalty kill. Goalie Anthony Stolarz has middling stats. Buffalo scores less (2.71/game) but have won 3 straight at home, averaging 3.0 goals in those games and outshooting opponents despite a lower offense overall[1][3]. The Sabres' top line has been productive, and Colten Ellis posted a .931 save% in their last win[3].
Toronto has won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including two recent victories, but Buffalo are playing at home where they have recently found form[3].
No major injuries reported for either side based on available data.
Home-ice advantage is significant for Buffalo, who are 10-4-0 ATS in their last 14 at home. Torontoβs recent trend is to play high-scoring games (OVER in 6 of last 8)[4].
Buffalo is motivated by their home streak and chance to climb above .500. Toronto is looking to halt a two-game slide and regain confidence in a winnable road game.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Buffalo +120, Toronto -152
Buffalo Sabres
β β β ββ 53%
Spread
Buffalo +1.5 (-245), Toronto -1.5 (+203)
Buffalo +1.5
β β β β β 70%
Over/under
Over 6.5 (+108), Under 6.5 (-132)
Over 6.5
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Buffalo Sabres 6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
π₯ Best Value Pick: Buffalo Sabres at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Expect a close, potentially high-scoring game with a slight edge to Buffalo at home, but Torontoβs offensive firepower keeps them dangerous. The most value lies in the OVER and a tight Sabres win as live underdogs.
Buffalo Sabres (2-4-0) host Toronto Maple Leafs (3-3-1) in an NHL matchup with both teams showing inconsistent recent form. Toronto is slightly favored by the bookmakers due to stronger overall team metrics and home/away splits.
Key Factors to Consider
Sabres have a 2-4-0 record, showing below-average performance with defensive vulnerabilities. Maple Leafs stand at 3-3-1 but have struggled against the spread recently and on the road. Maple Leafsβ offense is more productive, but defensive lapses have been a concern.
Recent head-to-heads favor Maple Leafs slightly, but Buffalo tends to elevate their game at home and keep matches closely contested, often leading to tight scorelines.
No significant star injuries reported on either side affecting the core lines, maintaining fairly balanced rosters.
Maple Leafs face travel fatigue playing on the road and have an observable drop in performance outside home games. Sabres also face pressure to capitalize on home advantage to improve their season start.
Sabres are motivated to regain winning momentum at home after a shaky start. Maple Leafs aim to stabilize their performance and improve road form, adding competitive intensity.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Buffalo Sabres: +105, Toronto Maple Leafs: -126
Toronto Maple Leafs
β β β ββ 68%
Spread
Buffalo Sabres +1.5: -235, Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5: +186
Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5
β β β ββ 60%
Over/under
Over 6.5: +116, Under 6.5: -142
Under 6.5
β β β ββ 64%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Toronto Maple Leafs -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 6.5 -1%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 6.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Toronto Maple Leafs win, Spread: Toronto -1.5, Over/Under: Under 6.5 goals
Predicted Score: Toronto Maple Leafs 4 – 2 Buffalo Sabres
The Toronto Maple Leafs host the New Jersey Devils in a tightly contested Eastern Conference matchup, featuring two high-scoring teams with recent form and matchup nuances shaping expectations.
Key Factors to Consider
Toronto ranks 5th in NHL goals per game (3.67), while New Jersey is slightly higher at 4th (3.80). Maple Leafs have struggled with power play efficiency (27th in league), offset by Devils' elite penalty kill (95%). Toronto has an 8-game winning streak against Metropolitan Division opponents.
Despite Toronto's current home edge, underdogs have won 8 of the last 9 meetings, and the road team covered the puck line in 10 of the last 11 games between these teams. Toronto has won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head but lost 4 games after overtime recently.
No major injuries reported for either side affecting starting lineup or key players at this moment.
The home venue provides Toronto with energy, but New Jersey's recent road struggles following wins (no puck line cover in last 11 games post-win) and losing third periods as underdogs indicate pressure in away games.
Toronto aims to maintain dominance over Metropolitan rivals and recover from recent OT losses, while New Jersey is motivated by a four-game win streak including recent solid offensive performances.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Toronto Maple Leafs: -122, New Jersey Devils: +102
Toronto Maple Leafs
β β β β β 72%
Spread
Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5: +205, New Jersey Devils +1.5: -250
Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 5.5: -130, Under 5.5: +110
Over 5.5
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Toronto Maple Leafs 6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 5.5 10%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 5.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toronto Maple Leafs to win outright on the moneyline given home advantage and recent dominance against conference opponents.
Predicted Score: Toronto Maple Leafs 4 – New Jersey Devils 3
This matchup features the Toronto Maple Leafs, favored to win, against the Seattle Kraken. The Kraken are looking for their first road win, while the Maple Leafs have been strong at home.
Key Factors to Consider
The Maple Leafs have a stronger home record and have performed well against the Kraken historically. The Kraken are seeking improvement on the road.
Toronto has dominated the series, winning 7 of the last 8 encounters.
No significant injury updates available for either team.
Home advantage and historical dominance favor the Maple Leafs.
Both teams are motivated to maintain or improve their early-season standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Maple Leafs -205, Kraken 170
Maple Leafs
β β β ββ 63%
Spread
Maple Leafs -1.5 +120, Kraken +1.5 -142
Kraken +1.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
Over 6.5 +110, Under 6.5 -130
Under 6.5
β β β β β 72%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Toronto Maple Leafs -14%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 6.5 3%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 6.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toronto Maple Leafs are predicted to outperform the Seattle Kraken.
Predicted Score: Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Seattle Kraken 2
The Toronto Maple Leafs (1-1-0) host the Nashville Predators (1-0-1) in an NHL matchup early in the season. Toronto enters with mixed recent results but strong home trends versus Nashville, who come off solid performances including a recent 4-1 road win but struggle in second legs of back-to-backs.
Key Factors to Consider
Toronto has averaged 3.33 goals/game but concedes 3.67, showing defensive instability. Nashville averages 2.67 goals/game and stronger defense, allowing 1.67. Toronto has been more successful at home, winning 10 of last 13 overall; Nashville has lost many second-leg back-to-back games.
Toronto has won the last 4 home games against Nashville, including covering the puck line consistently. Nashville won their last meeting 5-2 but struggle to cover the puck line on the road against teams on losing streaks.
No significant injuries reported for either team impacting key players, maintaining full competitive squads.
Toronto plays at home with last line of defense Anthony Stolarz having allowed 9 goals on 79 shots, while Nashville's Juuse Saros has been more reliable with 5 goals allowed on 94 shots.
Toronto seeks to rebound strongly at home after a recent loss, motivated by past success against Nashville on home ice. Nashville aims to avoid collapse on second night of back-to-back but face a tough environment.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Toronto Maple Leafs: -205, Nashville Predators: 170
Toronto Maple Leafs
β β β β β 72%
Spread
Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5: 124, Nashville Predators +1.5: -148
Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 6.5: 102, Under 6.5: -122
Under 6.5
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Toronto Maple Leafs -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 6.5 0%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 6.5 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toronto Maple Leafs to win the moneyline, cover the spread (-1.5), and the game to go under 6.5 goals.
Predicted Score: Toronto Maple Leafs 4 – Nashville Predators 2
Toronto Maple Leafs will host Detroit Red Wings in the second game of their back-to-back matchups. Toronto enters with a 1-0 start after a 5-2 win against Montreal, showing strong offense and solid defense. Detroit, freshly off a 6-3 win against Toronto on October 11, are looking to capitalize on that momentum despite weaker penalty killing and recent defensive struggles.
Key Factors to Consider
Toronto demonstrated strong scoring depth and defensive resilience in their season opener, beating Montreal 5-2. Detroit had an impressive 6-3 win over Toronto recently, displaying offensive explosiveness but with defensive concerns especially in penalty kill (ranked 27th with 66.67%).
Recent H2H results are split with both teams having five wins in the last 10 meetings. However, the latest meeting on October 11 saw Detroit pull off a 6-3 victory, breaking a tight 3-3 tie late in the third period.
No major injury alerts reported for either side impacting key players, with both teams expected to field close to full strength rosters.
This game is Toronto's first home match after an away loss to Detroit, giving them motivation to respond strongly in front of home fans. Travel factor favors Toronto who remain home while Detroit are on a road trip.
Toronto will be keen to avenge their recent defeat and maintain a perfect season start at home. Detroit rides high on confidence from their recent win but face a tough road atmosphere and possible fatigue from travel.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Toronto -200, Detroit +160
Toronto Maple Leafs
β β β β β 72%
Spread
Toronto -1.5 +110, Detroit +1.5 -130
Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
Over 6.5 -133, Under 6.5 +110
Under 6.5 goals
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Toronto Maple Leafs -3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
π₯ Best Value Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toronto Maple Leafs to win on moneyline
Predicted Score: Toronto Maple Leafs 4 – 2 Detroit Red Wings
The Toronto Maple Leafs, coming off a strong season opener, visit the Detroit Red Wings who are looking to bounce back after a tough initial loss. Both teams are in the Atlantic Division, with Toronto holding a 1-0-0 record and Detroit 0-1-0. The matchup is expected to be competitive, but Toronto's superior recent form and roster health give them an edge.
Key Factors to Consider
Toronto is 1-0 in their last 5 games and opened strong this season. Detroit has struggled with a 0-1 start and has yet to find rhythm at home.
Recent head-to-head matchups favor Toronto, showcasing better offensive and defensive execution against Detroit.
No major injuries reported for either team affecting starting lineups. Both squads appear near full strength.
The game being at Detroit offers home crowd support, but Toronto's road performance has been consistent.
Detroit is motivated to avoid an 0-2 start and break a franchise playoff drought, while Toronto aims to build momentum on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Detroit Red Wings: +120, Toronto Maple Leafs: -148
Toronto Maple Leafs
β β β β β 72%
Spread
Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5: +210, Detroit Red Wings +1.5: -263
Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 6.5: +105, Under 6.5: -125
Under 6.5
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Toronto Maple Leafs -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
π₯ Best Value Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toronto Maple Leafs to win on the moneyline, covering the spread and the game to go under total goals.
Predicted Score: Toronto Maple Leafs 3 – Detroit Red Wings 1
Both teams are fresh opening the season; Toronto has a strong roster with high offensive potential, while Montreal is seen as underdogs rebuilding after last seasons without playoff impact.
Recent head-to-heads favor Toronto, who dominated most recent matchups and showed stronger execution especially on home ice.
No significant injuries reported for either side, implying both teams field near full strength lineups.
Toronto benefits from home-ice advantage; no travel fatigue or back-to-back games affect either side.
Toronto expected to start strong to assert playoff intentions; Montreal motivated to upset but overall less pressure favoring Leafs momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-166
Toronto Maple Leafs
β β β β β 75%
Spread
154
Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5
β β β β β 70%
Over/under
-135
Under 5.5
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Toronto Maple Leafs -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 5.5 28%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.9% (Kelly Criterion)