Match Analysis: Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-20
• Time: 5:38 PM UTC
• Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON

Game Overview

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Seattle Mariners in the series rubber match. Both teams enter the game with similar records and standings in their divisions—Blue Jays 12-9 (second in AL East) and Mariners 11-10 (second in AL West). The pitching matchup features Seattle's RHP Logan Castillo (1-2, 4.22 ERA) against Toronto's LHP Eric Lucas (2-1, 4.70 ERA). The teams are evenly matched offensively and defensively with the Mariners recently winning the last game 8-4 in extra innings, boosted by a grand slam from former Blue Jay Rowdy Tellez.

Key Factors to Consider

• Seattle Mariners have a slightly better ERA at 3.80 compared to Blue Jays' 3.37, but Blue Jays have a higher team batting average (.256 vs .218). Mariners lead in stolen bases (32 vs 15). The Mariners' key hitters include George Springer (.351 AVG) and Cal Raleigh (8 HR). Blue Jays have shown resilience at home but lost the previous game in extra innings.
• The recent matchup saw the Mariners beat the Blue Jays 8-4 in an extra-innings game on April 19, 2025. Historically, the teams have been competitive, but the Mariners have slight momentum coming into this game.
• No significant injuries reported affecting starting lineups for either team at this time.
• Weather at Rogers Centre is expected to be cool at around 40-46°F with a 12 mph NNW wind, which can favor pitchers slightly and potentially reduce scoring. The game is played indoors at Rogers Centre, dampening weather impact on gameplay.
• Both teams are fighting for divisional positioning with similar records and a critical series finale. The Mariners look to build on momentum from their last win, while Blue Jays aim to protect home advantage and even the series.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Seattle Mariners: -120, Toronto Blue Jays: 102	Seattle Mariners	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Seattle Mariners: -1.5 134, Toronto Blue Jays: 1.5 -162	Toronto Blue Jays +1.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over 8.5: 100, Under 8.5: -122	Under 8.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Seattle Mariners -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The game is projected to be close with a slight edge towards the Mariners due to pitching consistency and recent morale boost from the extra-innings win. A low-scoring, pitching-dominant game is expected with Seattle favored narrowly.

Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 4 – Toronto Blue Jays 3

Match Analysis: Toronto Blue Jays vs Atlanta Braves – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-16
• Time: 5:07 PM UTC
• Location: Rogers Centre

Game Overview

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Atlanta Braves in the final game of their interleague series. The Blue Jays have historically dominated this matchup, winning 12 of the past 15 meetings. Toronto is currently 10-8, with a strong home record of 6-3, while Atlanta is 5-12, struggling on the road with a 2-10 record.

Key Factors to Consider

• The Blue Jays have been more consistent at home, but both teams have shown some inconsistency in their overall performance. The Braves have struggled to score consistently, averaging 3.56 runs per game.
• Historically, the Blue Jays have had the upper hand in this matchup, especially at home.
• Spencer Strider is returning from injury for the Braves, which might impact their performance.
• The Blue Jays' strong home record and the Braves' poor road record could influence the outcome.
• The Braves seek to break their poor road streak, while the Blue Jays aim to continue their home success.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Atlanta Braves: -139, Toronto Blue Jays: +126	Toronto Blue Jays	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Atlanta Braves: -1.5 (+112), Toronto Blue Jays: +1.5 (-132)	Toronto Blue Jays +1.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 7.5: -103, Under 7.5: -117	Under 7.5	★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Toronto Blue Jays 24%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 7.5 -4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Toronto Blue Jays at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Blue Jays are favored to win due to their strong home performance and historical dominance over the Braves.

Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 4 – Atlanta Braves 3

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction	Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5	-165	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction	Detroit Tigers Win	-162	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction	Toronto Blue Jays Win	-110	★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +396

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $99.18

Match Analysis: Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-13
• Time: 5:35 PM UTC
• Location: Camden Yards

Game Overview

The Baltimore Orioles are set to face the Toronto Blue Jays in a critical MLB match. The Orioles have shown resilience, especially after rallying from a 3-run deficit in their previous game. The Blue Jays, despite having a strong lineup, struggled with defensive plays, grounding into several double plays in their last outing.

Key Factors to Consider

• The Orioles have been improving with consistent performances from key players like Cedric Mullins and Adley Rutschman. The Blue Jays, however, need to stabilize their defense and capitalize on scoring opportunities.
• The series so far has favored the Orioles with a recent win, but the Blue Jays have historically performed well in head-to-head matches.
• No significant injuries have been reported for either team, which could affect the match outcome.
• Weather conditions might not play a significant role given the roofless nature of Camden Yards, but factors like crowd support could influence team motivation.
• Both teams are highly motivated, with the Blue Jays seeking to rectify their recent performance and the Orioles aiming to solidify their series lead.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-136 (Orioles), +116 (Blue Jays)	Baltimore Orioles	★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread	-1.5 (+146) for Orioles, +1.5 (-178) for Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays (+1.5)	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under	Over 8.5 (-105), Under 8.5 (-115)	Under 8.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Baltimore Orioles -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the Orioles' recent form and home advantage, they are likely to edge out the Blue Jays.

Predicted Score: Baltimore Orioles 4, Toronto Blue Jays 3

Match Analysis: New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-06
• Time: 5:40 PM UTC
• Location: Citi Field

Game Overview

The New York Mets and Toronto Blue Jays faced off in a series where the Mets successfully swept the Blue Jays. The final game saw the Mets win 2-1, with strong performances from their pitching staff, including David Peterson and the bullpen.

Key Factors to Consider

• The Mets have shown strong pitching, while the Blue Jays struggled with runners left on base. The Blue Jays' hitting has been inconsistent.
• The Mets successfully swept the series, indicating a current advantage.
• No specific major injuries reported for either team affecting this particular matchup.
• Both teams are early in the season, so consistency and momentum could be crucial factors.
• The Mets aim to continue their winning streak, while the Blue Jays seek to rebound from their losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence	EV Pick

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	N/A
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Given the recent dominance of the Mets over the Blue Jays and the strength of their pitching, the Mets are likely to continue performing well.

Predicted Score: Mets 3, Blue Jays 2

Match Analysis: Toronto Blue Jays vs Washington Nationals – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-02
• Time: 7:07 PM UTC
• Location: Rogers Centre

Game Overview

Toronto Blue Jays host Washington Nationals in an MLB match with Toronto seeking to continue their strong form, while Washington aims to improve their away performance.

Key Factors to Consider

• Toronto has been performing well, winning 6 of their last 7 games, while Washington has struggled away, losing 7 of their last 8 away matches. Toronto averages more points at home compared to Washington's away average.
• Recent head-to-head stats favor Toronto, given their recent success in matches.
• No specific injury reports were available for this match.
• The home advantage could play a significant role for Toronto, as they tend to perform better at Rogers Centre.
• Both teams are motivated to secure wins, but Toronto's recent form and home advantage may give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Toronto Blue Jays: +108, Washington Nationals: -126	Washington Nationals	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Toronto Blue Jays: +1.5 -154, Washington Nationals: -1.5 +128	Washington Nationals	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 8.5: -105, Under 8.5: -115	Under 8.5	★★★☆☆ 52%

Predicted Outcome

Toronto Blue Jays are favored to win.

Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 4, Washington Nationals 5

Match Analysis: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 30, 2025
• Time: 5:37 PM UTC
• Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario

Game Overview

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Baltimore Orioles in the final game of a four-game series. Both teams are looking to end their weekend series on a high note.

Key Factors to Consider

• The Orioles are off to a strong start with impressive offensive numbers, including a .956 team OPS and scoring 7.7 runs per game. The Blue Jays finished last season with a 44-36 record as moneyline favorites.
• The Orioles won the previous game in the series, with standout performances from Jordan Westburg. This could lead to momentum going into the final game.
• Baltimore is dealing with multiple injuries, including Gunnar Henderson and several pitchers like Andrew Kittredge and Trevor Rogers.
• The game takes place after a day game, potentially affecting lineups, but both teams should be well-rested for the early start.
• The Orioles aim to take the series, while the Blue Jays seek a win to avoid losing the series at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Baltimore Orioles: +108, Toronto Blue Jays: -126	Baltimore Orioles	★★☆☆☆ 49%
Spread	Baltimore Orioles: +1.5 -188, Toronto Blue Jays: -1.5 155	Baltimore Orioles +1.5	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under	Over 9: -105, Under 9: -115	Over 9	★★★☆☆ 51%

Predicted Outcome

Orioles to win as underdogs due to their strong offense and momentum from previous games.

Predicted Score: Orioles 7, Blue Jays 6