The Baltimore Orioles host the Toronto Blue Jays to complete a four-game AL East series. Baltimore seeks a sweep with strong recent form, while Toronto has struggled in recent days despite a better overall season record.
Key Factors to Consider
Baltimore has won five straight games and is playing their best baseball of the season. Toronto has lost four straight and is struggling lately despite a solid overall record (63-46) compared to Baltimore (50-58).
Baltimore leads the season series 6-3 and won the last two matchups, including a dominant 16-4 victory. Recent games mostly went over their run totals.
No major injuries reported affecting starting pitchers. Dean Kremer (Orioles) and Jose Berrios (Blue Jays) are confirmed starters.
Game played at Baltimore's home field, Oriole Park at Camden Yards, where Baltimore is 27-26 and Toronto is 26-29 on the road.
Baltimore aims to sweep a division rival and build momentum for playoff contention, likely increasing their aggressiveness and focus. Toronto is motivated to stop their losing streak but has underperformed recently.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Baltimore -107, Toronto -103
Baltimore Orioles
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Baltimore -1.5 (+170), Toronto +1.5 (-195)
Baltimore Orioles -1.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 9.5 (-126), Under 9.5 (+106)
Over 9.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Baltimore Orioles 3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9.5 17%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 run spread, and the game to go over 9.5 total runs.
Predicted Score: Baltimore Orioles 6 – Toronto Blue Jays 4
The Toronto Blue Jays enter this game hot, having won four straight games and eight of their last ten, and currently lead the four-game series 3-0 against the Detroit Tigers. Detroit is a solid AL Central contender but has struggled against Blue Jays' recent form and starting pitching in this series.
Key Factors to Consider
Toronto is 63-42 overall and in excellent recent form, while Detroit is 60-46 but has lost momentum after three straight defeats to Toronto in this series. Blue Jays hitters, including Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and George Springer, are showing strong offensive output.
Toronto has dominated this series with a 3-0 lead and a convincing 6-1 win in the last matchup. Detroit has struggled against Toronto's pitching and overall team play in these recent games.
No significant injuries reported affecting starting lineups or pitching rotations for either team based on current data.
Game played at Detroit’s Comerica Park, providing home-field advantage to the Tigers but Toronto has overcome this in recent matchups. Weather and other external conditions are neutral and not impacting.
Toronto is motivated to complete the series sweep and extend their winning streak. Detroit aims to prevent the sweep and regain momentum in the tight AL Central race.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Detroit Tigers -118, Toronto Blue Jays +100
Toronto Blue Jays
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
Detroit Tigers -1.5 +164, Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 -200
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5
★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -110, Under 8.5 -110
Under 8.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Toronto Blue Jays 12%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 15%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline, Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 on the spread, and Under 8.5 runs on total score.
Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 5, Detroit Tigers 3
The Toronto Blue Jays host the New York Yankees in a critical American League matchup. The Blue Jays are currently the hottest team in baseball with only four losses since June 29, while the Yankees rely on ace Max Fried, who has an impressive 11-3 record and a 2.43 ERA this season.
Key Factors to Consider
Toronto Blue Jays have a strong recent form, losing only four games since late June, versus the Yankees who are solid but have shown recent vulnerability with Fried allowing 10 earned runs in his last 14 innings. The Blue Jays are 59-42 on the season, slightly better than the Yankees’ 56-45.
Max Fried is 3-0 with a 1.74 ERA in career games against the Blue Jays, but Chris Bassitt has been pitching excellently at home with a 2.53 ERA in 64 innings. Historical pitcher performance slightly favors Yankees’ ace but Blue Jays' home pitching is strong.
No significant injuries reported for either team impacting starting pitchers or lineup key players for this game.
The game is played at Rogers Centre, a hitter-friendly park, which could boost run production. Weather conditions not reported as a factor.
Blue Jays are motivated as the hottest team currently and eager to capitalize on home advantage; Yankees motivated to stay competitive in a tough division. The Blue Jays’ recent winning streak adds a psychological edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Toronto Blue Jays +120, New York Yankees -142
Toronto Blue Jays
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 -140, New York Yankees -1.5 +116
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5
★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -105, Under 8.5 -115
Over 8.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Toronto Blue Jays 21%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8.5 13%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Toronto Blue Jays at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.5% (Kelly Criterion)
The San Francisco Giants visit the Toronto Blue Jays in a mid-July interleague series finale. Both teams are close to the playoff bubble, with motivation high for a series sweep. Vegas has the game priced as a virtual pick'em, reflecting tight pregame expectations.
Key Factors to Consider
The Blue Jays are favorites in most models, but only marginally—a reflection of Robbie Ray's excellent stats (2.65 ERA, 1.08 WHIP) for the Giants and Jose Berrios's solid but less dominant form (3.75 ERA, 1.24 WHIP) for Toronto[1]. San Francisco’s pitching advantage is somewhat offset by their weaker road record and bats that have underperformed. Toronto’s lineup has more depth and consistency, especially at home.
No recent notable H2H trends or blowouts found in this series, but Toronto's home-field edge has held up historically. With the opportunity for a sweep, expect added urgency for both teams, but especially for Toronto to close out the homestand on a high note.
No major injuries reported for either side’s key starters or lineup regulars.
Rogers Centre is known to play neutral to slightly hitter-friendly, but with two solid starting pitchers expected to go deep, conditions may favor a lower-scoring game. No significant weather disruptions expected.
Toronto is seeking a sweep and playoff momentum—expect extra energy at home. San Francisco, fighting for their own postseason spot, will not lack drive, but their road form is a concern.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Giants -108, Blue Jays -108
Toronto Blue Jays Win
★★★☆☆ 52%
Spread
Giants -1.5 146, Blue Jays 1.5 -178
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 (Underdogs covering)
★★★☆☆ 53%
Over/under
Over 8 -115, Under 8 -105
Under 8 runs
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Toronto Blue Jays 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 27%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
This is a toss-up game—but I expect Toronto to edge it at home in a tight, low-scoring contest. Value is on the under and Blue Jays moneyline.
Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 3, San Francisco Giants 2