The BC Lions (5-5) visit the Toronto Argonauts (2-8) at BMO Field. The Lions are on a two-game winning streak, led by Nathan Rourke's impressive recent performances. Toronto is struggling defensively and has a poor home record this season.
Key Factors to Consider
BC Lions have gained momentum with back-to-back wins, scoring 77 points combined and showcasing strong passing from Nathan Rourke. Toronto Argonauts have struggled, especially defensively, allowing the most points per game in the CFL and recently losing 3 straight games.
Recent head-to-head trends favor the BC Lions as they have outperformed Toronto both at home and on the road this season. Toronto’s lone home win is weak compared to BC’s solid away record of 3-2.
Toronto’s receiver Damonte Kesy is out with a head injury, weakening their offensive firepower. BC Lions have no key injuries reported, fielding their star QB Nathan Rourke and key offensive weapons.
Toronto has poor home form and might struggle with motivation due to a losing record. Weather and field conditions are normal for late August with no reported adverse effects.
BC is fighting to improve to a winning record and build playoff momentum. Toronto is trying to avoid a deep losing skid but faces morale issues and injury setbacks.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
BC Lions: -178, Toronto Argonauts: +146
BC Lions
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
BC Lions -3.5: -110, Toronto Argonauts +3.5: -110
BC Lions -3.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 55.5: -105, Under 55.5: -115
Under 55.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
BC Lions 9%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 55.5 3%
🔥 Best Value Pick: BC Lions at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
BC Lions to win straight up with a moderately confident margin covering -3.5 points. Expect a relatively high-scoring game due to Toronto's poor defense and BC's potent offense, but final total to stay just under the 55.5 line.
Predicted Score: BC Lions 29 – Toronto Argonauts 23
The Edmonton Elks (2-6) host the Toronto Argonauts (2-7) in a CFL matchup where Edmonton is a slight favorite at home. Toronto showed offensive firepower recently despite their poor record, losing narrowly 46-42 in their last game. Both teams struggle defensively, suggesting a potentially high-scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
Edmonton has a 2-6 record with modest recent form and slight home advantage. Toronto is 2-7 but has demonstrated offensive potency, with QB Nick Arbuckle posting strong recent performances. Both teams concede over 30 points on average.
Recent H2H matchups favor Edmonton narrowly with home advantage but Toronto's close competitive games indicate volatility.
No significant injuries reported to starting QBs; depth may be a concern but not a decisive factor currently.
Game played at Edmonton’s Commonwealth Stadium, providing home field edge. Weather and other factors are typical for August with no major impact expected.
Both teams are struggling this season, but Edmonton has slightly more motivation to defend home turf to improve playoff chances, while Toronto aims to upset and gain momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Edmonton: -152, Toronto: 126
Edmonton Elks
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
Edmonton: -2.5 (-120), Toronto: +2.5 (-102)
Edmonton Elks -2.5
★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under
Over: -110, Under: -110
Over 53.5
★★★★☆ 70%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Edmonton Elks -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 53.5 24%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
The matchup features the Toronto Argonauts hosting the Ottawa Redblacks, both teams holding identical 2-6 records in the East Division. The game is crucial for both who are positioned at the bottom of the standings. Ottawa comes off a bye week and a recent win that snapped a losing streak, while Toronto tries to leverage home-field advantage and a slightly more consistent offense under backup QB Nick Arbuckle.
Key Factors to Consider
Both teams have struggled this season with 2-6 records. Toronto is slightly favored in power rankings due to more consistent offensive execution. Ottawa’s recent form improved with a convincing 31-11 win over Calgary, showing a competent ground and aerial attack led by Dru Brown. Toronto’s offense features Nick Arbuckle, second in passing yards but with the league's most interceptions, reflecting some inconsistency.
Earlier season meeting won by Toronto with notable special teams contributions including two return touchdowns. Dru Brown did not start for Ottawa in that game, impacting performance comparison. Historical results suggest Toronto's greater stability, but the Redblacks have the potential to keep it close.
Ottawa's starting QB Dru Brown recently returned from injury and is now healthy. Toronto’s usual QB Chad Kelly is out, with Arbuckle starting, which carries the risk of turnovers given his interception stats.
Toronto hosts at BMO Field, providing home crowd advantage. Ottawa had a bye last week, which may aid their physical readiness. Special teams played a big role in the prior encounter, though repeating special teams touchdowns is improbable.
Both teams are desperate to improve their poor records. Ottawa’s confidence should be bolstered by last week’s win and bye week rest. Toronto aims to exact revenge and capitalize on home field, with motivation to avoid falling further behind in standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Ottawa +140, Toronto -170
Toronto Argonauts
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Ottawa +3.5 -115, Toronto -3.5 -105
Toronto Argonauts -3.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 52.5 -115, Under 52.5 -105
Under 52.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Toronto Argonauts -3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 52.5 17%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toronto Argonauts to win straight up, cover the -3.5 spread, with the game finishing under 52.5 total points.
Predicted Score: Toronto Argonauts 24 – Ottawa Redblacks 17
The Winnipeg Blue Bombers (3-3) host the Toronto Argonauts (2-5) in a pivotal CFL matchup. Winnipeg enters the game as favorites, showing solid road form historically and aiming to stabilize after recent defensive lapses. Toronto struggles offensively and sits near the bottom of the East Division standings, battling motivation issues but coming off a recent win against Winnipeg.
Key Factors to Consider
Winnipeg has a 3-3 record, showing inconsistency but strong road success with six wins in their last seven away games. Toronto is 2-5, with a weak offense averaging league-low yards per play and high turnover issues but has momentum from a recent 31-17 win over Winnipeg.
In the last encounter, Toronto defeated Winnipeg 31-17, with strong passing from Nick Arbuckle. Historically Winnipeg has been favored and has had success, but Toronto's recent victory shows potential competitiveness.
No major quarterback injuries reported; both starters Zach Collaros (Winnipeg) and Nick Arbuckle (Toronto) expected to start. Key offensive players are healthy, though Winnipeg's recent turnovers affected their defense negatively.
Game played at home for Winnipeg, giving them weather and crowd support advantages. Defensive improvements expected from Winnipeg facing a turnover-prone Argonauts offense.
Winnipeg motivated to rebound from recent defeats and maintain playoff contention. Toronto motivated to avoid bottom placement in their division but lacking consistent form.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Toronto +198, Winnipeg -245
Winnipeg Blue Bombers
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Toronto +5.5 -110, Winnipeg -5.5 -110
Winnipeg Blue Bombers -5.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 50.5 -115, Under 50.5 -105
Over 50.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Winnipeg Blue Bombers -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 50.5 12%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Winnipeg Blue Bombers to win moneyline, cover the -5.5 spread, and the total points to go over 50.5
Predicted Score: Winnipeg Blue Bombers 30 – Toronto Argonauts 20
Winnipeg Blue Bombers visit Toronto Argonauts in a CFL matchup where Winnipeg leads the standings 3-2 and Toronto struggles at 1-5. Winnipeg is slightly favored but Toronto seeks a home upset.
Key Factors to Consider
Winnipeg is 3-2, recently losing to Calgary 41-20; Toronto is 1-5 with offensive struggles. Winnipeg's defense and QB ranking better overall. Toronto may debut Chad Kelly, potentially boosting offense.
Recent matchups show Winnipeg often as favorites; last Grey Cup rematch favored Winnipeg. Head-to-head stats favor Winnipeg consistently but Toronto's home field offers some advantage.
No confirmed major injuries; potential Toronto QB Chad Kelly's status pending, could impact Toronto's offensive output.
Game played at Toronto's BMO Field with possible home crowd support. Weather and field conditions not noted as adverse.
Toronto desperate for a win to break early-season slump, offering high motivation. Winnipeg aiming to rebound quickly from recent loss to maintain playoff positioning.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Toronto Argonauts: +198, Winnipeg Blue Bombers: -245
Winnipeg Blue Bombers
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Toronto Argonauts: +5.5 -105, Winnipeg Blue Bombers: -5.5 -115
Winnipeg Blue Bombers -5.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 52.5: -105, Under 52.5: -115
Over 52.5 points
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Winnipeg Blue Bombers -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 52.5 17%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 52.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Winnipeg Blue Bombers to win on the moneyline with a spread cover. Total points expected high, favoring over.
Predicted Score: Winnipeg Blue Bombers 30 – Toronto Argonauts 22
The Montreal Alouettes, currently 3-2, host the struggling Toronto Argonauts, who are 1-4. The Alouettes are favored due to their strong defensive performance and balanced offense, while the Argonauts have struggled with a porous defense and inconsistent offense.
Key Factors to Consider
Montreal has shown strong defensive metrics, allowing the fewest points per game in the East. Toronto, on the other hand, has a struggling offense and defense, ranking 9th in total offense and 8th in total defense.
The Alouettes have had success against the Argonauts historically and have started the season with strong wins.
Davis Alexander for the Alouettes was dealing with a hamstring injury but is not expected to miss this game.
The Alouettes are playing at home, where they typically perform well, while the Argonauts are on the road.
The Alouettes are motivated to maintain their strong start, while the Argonauts are looking to turn their season around.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Montreal Alouettes: -420, Toronto Argonauts: 320
Montreal Alouettes
★★★★☆ 82%
Spread
Montreal Alouettes: -8.5 -110
Montreal Alouettes
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over: 50.5 -115, Under: 50.5 -105
Over
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Montreal Alouettes -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 50.5 3%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Montreal is expected to win given their strong form and home advantage.
Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 31, Toronto Argonauts 20
The Week 4 CFL match-up features the Toronto Argonauts visiting the Ottawa Redblacks. This game is pivotal for both teams as they look to build momentum early in the 2025 season. Ottawa has shown competitive form in their home games while Toronto is aiming to recover from recent inconsistent results.
Key Factors to Consider
Ottawa Redblacks have demonstrated a solid home record and improved defensive efforts in recent weeks, while the Toronto Argonauts have had mixed performances with some struggles on the road. Both teams have shown offensive capabilities, but Ottawa’s balanced play on both sides gives them a slight edge.
Recent head-to-head matchups favor the Ottawa Redblacks slightly, especially at home where they have managed to contain Toronto’s offensive threats effectively. Last seasons' meetings showed competitive games with close scores, but Ottawa finished with a better record overall.
Current injury reports have not highlighted any major absences for either team, though minor injuries could affect depth particularly in defensive backfields and special teams.
The game being at Ottawa’s home stadium, TD Place, with its supportive crowd and familiar conditions, provides a home-field advantage. Weather is expected to be clear and cool, which should not adversely affect play style for either team.
Ottawa is motivated to maintain home dominance and assert themselves in the early season standings. Toronto is motivated to prove resilience on the road and seeks to avoid an early-season losing streak, increasing their urgency.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Ottawa Redblacks: -154, Toronto Argonauts: 128
Ottawa Redblacks win
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Ottawa Redblacks: -2.5 -122, Toronto Argonauts: +2.5 100
Ottawa Redblacks to cover -2.5 points
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 51.5: -118, Under 51.5: -104
Over 51.5 points
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Ottawa Redblacks 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 51.5 5%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Considering home advantage, recent form, and squad health, Ottawa Redblacks are favored to win this game. The spread suggests Ottawa is expected to win by a field goal margin, and the total points line indicates a moderately high-scoring affair.
Predicted Score: Ottawa Redblacks 28 – 21 Toronto Argonauts
The Toronto Argonauts host the Saskatchewan Roughriders in a CFL matchup. The Roughriders are favored in the moneyline at -154, indicating a slight edge over the Argonauts. The spread is set at Saskatchewan Roughriders -3, reflecting a close competitive game. The over/under is at 48.5 points, suggesting a moderate to high-scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
Both teams have shown strong performances this season, but recent head-to-head results may favor the Argonauts historically.
Recent head-to-head statistics show the Argonauts have historically performed well against the Roughriders, but current odds suggest a slight edge for Saskatchewan.
No significant injury reports have been noted for this matchup.
Home-field advantage may play a role in favoring the Argonauts.
Both teams are motivated to secure a win in the CFL standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Saskatchewan Roughriders: -154, Toronto Argonauts: 128
Saskatchewan Roughriders
★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread
Saskatchewan Roughriders: -3 -110, Toronto Argonauts: 3 -110
Saskatchewan Roughriders
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over: 48.5 -105, Under: 48.5 -115
Over
★★★☆☆ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Saskatchewan Roughriders -8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 48.5 15%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on the odds, the Saskatchewan Roughriders are slightly favored, but the Toronto Argonauts' home-field advantage and recent performances suggest a competitive game.
Predicted Score: Toronto Argonauts 24, Saskatchewan Roughriders 27