Match Analysis: Richard Kallos vs Tom Wright – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: Newcastle, Cage Warriors 193

Game Overview

Bantamweight MMA bout between Richard Kallos and Tom Wright at Cage Warriors 193. Both fighters are experienced with similar physical stats; fight scheduled for 13 September 2025.

Key Factors to Consider

• Richard Kallos has a record of 4-2 with 4 submission wins and 1 KO/TKO loss, showing strong grappling. Tom Wright is 2-2 with a balanced KO/TKO and submission wins, but less overall experience and recent form is split.
• No direct H2H records available, but Kallos has more wins overall and a higher finishing rate via submission.
• No reported current injuries for either fighter.
• Fight is at a neutral venue, Newcastle; no home advantage. Both fighters weigh similarly with slight weight advantage to Wright.
• Kallos, with a better career record, looks motivated to maintain winning momentum; Wright needs a win to stabilize his record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Richard Kallos: +145, Tom Wright: -190	Tom Wright	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Tom Wright -1.5 rounds: -135, Richard Kallos +1.5 rounds: +115	Tom Wright -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Tom Wright -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Tom Wright at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tom Wright to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Tom Wright wins by decision after full 3 rounds