Match Analysis: Toledo Rockets vs Detroit Mercy Titans – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Savage Arena, Toledo, OH

Game Overview

The Toledo Rockets (1-2) host the Detroit Mercy Titans (1-2) in a matchup where Toledo is favored by 10.5 points. Both teams are struggling early this season, but Toledo holds advantages in home court performance, scoring offense, and defensive efficiency.

Key Factors to Consider

• Toledo averages about 76 points per game, ranking mid-tier nationally, and allows ~77 points defensively. Detroit Mercy averages 67 points per game with weaker defensive metrics, conceding nearly 76 points per game. Toledo won their last game on the road by 10 points, showing better recent form.
• Recent patterns favor Toledo, especially at home where Detroit Mercy has lost their last 15 road games. Toledo has been strong in the daytime home games following road wins, and Detroit Mercy has trended to lose first halves in such contests.
• No significant injuries reported that would impact starters or key rotations for either team.
• Game played in Toledo's Savage Arena with Toledo enjoying strong home attendance and support. Detroit Mercy faces a struggling road environment historically against Toledo.
• Toledo appears motivated to bounce back after early season losses and capitalize at home. Detroit Mercy seeks to end their poor road streak but faces uphill odds given lackluster offensive efficiency.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Toledo Rockets to win moneyline, cover the spread, and the total to go under 161.5 points.

Predicted Score: Toledo Rockets 90, Detroit Mercy Titans 69

Match Analysis: Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Toledo Rockets – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-12
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Fred C. Yager Stadium, Oxford, Ohio

Game Overview

The Toledo Rockets (5-4) visit the Miami (OH) RedHawks (5-4) in a closely matched MAC contest where both teams have similar overall and conference records. Toledo enters as a narrow favorite with momentum after a strong offensive showing in their latest game.

Key Factors to Consider

• Toledo has a slightly stronger defense allowing only 14.6 points per game and averaging 32.9 points scored, compared to Miami (OH)'s 25.3 points scored and 21.7 points allowed. Toledo's offense showed efficiency recently with 42 points and balanced attack. Miami has been solid at home but struggles against tough defense.
• Historically, matches between these two have been competitive, but Toledo often holds a slight edge, especially when playing away. Recent form favors Toledo given their decisive last win.
• No major injuries reported for either team that would significantly impact key offensive or defensive players.
• Game played at Miami (OH) home stadium, providing slight home field advantage. Weather conditions expected to be fair, not impacting play significantly.
• Both teams have identical overall records and similar conference standings; Toledo is motivated to solidify playoff positioning, while Miami aims to defend home turf to improve postseason chances.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Toledo Rockets to win on the moneyline, cover the spread, and the game to go over the total points line.

Predicted Score: Toledo Rockets 28 – Miami (OH) RedHawks 20

Match Analysis: Wright St Raiders vs Toledo Rockets – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 12, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Ervin J. Nutter Center, Fairborn, Ohio

Game Overview

Wright State Raiders (1-1) host the struggling Toledo Rockets (0-2) in a non-conference matchup. Toledo arrives on a two-game losing streak, while Wright State seeks to build momentum at home after a road loss to California. This matchup features two mid-tier mid-major programs with contrasting trajectories early in the season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Toledo is 0-2 on the season with significant losses to Marshall (85-73) and another unnamed opponent. The Rockets are averaging 73.5 PPG on 43.7% shooting with 80.5 PPG allowed. Wright State stands at 1-1 after losing 77-67 on the road to California but maintaining a 1-0 home record. Wright State has shown defensive competence, limiting opponents to 114 points across two games.
• In their last two meetings, Toledo holds the edge with an 86-77 home win and a 78-77 road victory. The teams split their last four head-to-head matchups with two wins apiece, suggesting relatively balanced competition historically. However, Toledo's current form has deteriorated significantly since those contests.
• No significant injuries reported in available data for either team.
• Wright State possesses a strong home court advantage, having maintained a 1-0 home record this season and benefiting from crowd support at Nutter Center. Toledo is traveling on the road without momentum. The game lacks national coverage, suggesting lower-profile competition that may attract sharper action on the spread.
• Wright State is motivated to protect home court and build early-season momentum after a road loss. Toledo desperately needs a win to avoid falling to 0-3 and salvage early confidence. However, Toledo's motivation may be tempered by lack of execution in recent games.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Wright State Raiders will defeat Toledo Rockets with a margin exceeding the spread. Wright State's home-court advantage, superior recent form, and defensive capability should overcome Toledo's historical head-to-head edge. The total will finish under 157.5 as both teams struggle offensively relative to pace.

Predicted Score: Wright State 79, Toledo 68

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Match Analysis: Toledo Rockets vs Marshall Thundering Herd – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Savage Arena, Toledo, OH

Game Overview

The Marshall Thundering Herd (1-0) visit the Toledo Rockets (0-1) at Savage Arena. Marshall won their opening game with solid shooting and defensive stats, while Toledo lost narrowly at home but showed strong shooting efficiency. Historically Toledo dominates the recent head-to-head series, but Marshall enters with momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

• Marshall started 1-0 with a 78-72 win over UMass, shooting 48.2% FG and converting 10/30 from three. They forced 20 turnovers and grabbed 35 rebounds. Toledo is 0-1 after a close 74-76 home loss to South Alabama, shooting 47.3% FG and 45.5% from three, with solid individual performances but a narrow defeat.
• Toledo has won 7 of the last 8 matchups against Marshall, including two recent victories (88-87 and 90-80). Despite this, Marshall looks to leverage their current form to break this trend.
• No significant injuries reported for either team, both expected to start their key players.
• The game is played at Toledo’s home venue, Savage Arena, giving them a slight home court advantage. Broadcast on ESPN+ may increase team motivation for exposure.
• Marshall looks motivated to continue their winning start and prove themselves against a team that has historically dominated them. Toledo is keen to bounce back from their opening loss and defend home court pride.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Marshall Thundering Herd moneyline +105 for highest expected value, with Toledo favored on spread -1.5 but riskier due to recent form and motivation. Expect game total to stay under 160.5 given recent scoring patterns and defensive tendencies.

Predicted Score: Marshall 78 – Toledo 75

Match Analysis: Toledo Rockets vs Northern Illinois Huskies – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-05
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Glass Bowl, Toledo, Ohio

Game Overview

The Toledo Rockets (4-4) host the Northern Illinois Huskies (2-6) in a Mid-American Conference matchup with Toledo as heavy favorites both on the moneyline and spread. Toledo boasts a top-tier pass defense, while Northern Illinois has struggled with a losing record and four consecutive road losses.

Key Factors to Consider

• Toledo has a strong defense, ranking 4th nationally in pass defense, while Northern Illinois also has a ranked passing defense (15th), but overall NIU's record is poor (2-6) compared to Toledo’s balanced 4-4. Toledo lost their last road game to Washington State 28-7 but have won four straight at home. Northern Illinois won their last game 21-7 at home versus Ball State but have struggled on the road.
• Historically, Toledo has dominated the matchup, winning 4 of the last 6 games including a recent 13-6 victory at Northern Illinois’ stadium. This matchup weighs heavily in Toledo’s favor.
• No significant injuries reported for either team that would drastically affect the outcome or key player availability.
• Game played at Toledo’s Glass Bowl provides a home-field advantage. Weather factors are not specified but typically November in Ohio favors defensive, lower-scoring games.
• Toledo, at .500 and fighting for conference standing, carries higher motivation playing at home to maintain momentum, while Northern Illinois has a losing record and recent poor road form, potentially impacting morale.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Toledo Rockets to win outright on the moneyline, cover the 14.5 point spread, and the game to go under 42.5 points.

Predicted Score: Toledo Rockets 28, Northern Illinois Huskies 13

Match Analysis: Washington State Cougars vs Toledo Rockets – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-25
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Gesa Field at Martin Stadium, Pullman, Washington

Game Overview

A closely matched college football contest featuring Washington State Cougars (3-4) hosting Toledo Rockets (4-3). The game is expected to be competitive with a slight home favorite edge.

Key Factors to Consider

• Washington State averages 20.6 points per game, struggling offensively ranked 112th nationally, while Toledo has a better record at 4-3. Washington State's defense is allowing 27.1 points, which is moderately weak. Both teams have similar recent records and form, indicating a tight game.
• No significant recent head-to-head history to strongly favor one team. Both teams are similarly matched historically and competitively.
• No major injury reports available for either side, suggesting full-strength lineups.
• Game played at Washington State's home field, Gesa Field, with weather forecast around 51°F, low rain chance and light wind, neutral for game conditions.
• Both teams are hovering around .500 records; Toledo at 4-3 and Washington State 3-4 may push for a needed win for bowl eligibility, creating intense motivation on both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Washington State Cougars to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 spread, and the game to go under 46.5 points total.

Predicted Score: Washington State 24 – Toledo 20

Match Analysis: Toledo Rockets vs Kent State Golden Flashes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-18
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Glass Bowl, Toledo, Ohio

Game Overview

A Mid-American Conference (MAC) matchup: Toledo Rockets (3-3, 1-2 MAC) host Kent State Golden Flashes (2-4, 1-1 MAC). Toledo are heavy favorites at home, but early conference disappointments have raised questions about consistency. Kent State is coming off a blowout win but lacks significant quality victories.

Key Factors to Consider

• Toledo are 3-3, recently losing to Bowling Green 28-23, but are strong at home (recent results not detailed). Kent State is 2-4, most recently beating UMass 42-6. Both teams are inconsistent in ATS and total performance this season; Toledo is 4-2 ATS, Kent State 3-3 ATS.
• Recent H2H data is unavailable, but Toledo has been a historically stronger program, entering the season as MAC favorites.
• No injury news reported in the sources.
• Home field advantage for Toledo, but external factors like weather do not appear to be significant.
• Toledo aims to get back on track in MAC play after recent letdowns and avoid falling further behind in the division. Kent State will look to build on recent momentum but lacks a consistent winning formula.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Toledo is the superior team in terms of talent and home field, but their recent results suggest vulnerability against large spreads. Kent State has shown some fight as an underdog but has not faced a team of Toledo's caliber on the road this season. The total is set in a reasonable range given both teams' inconsistencies.

Predicted Score: Toledo 30, Kent State 17

Match Analysis: Bowling Green Falcons vs Toledo Rockets – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-11
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Doyt L. Perry Stadium

Game Overview

Toledo (3-2, 1-1 MAC) travels to face Bowling Green (2-3, 0-1 MAC) in a Mid-American Conference rivalry with Toledo favored by the books and recent form supporting the Rockets.

Key Factors to Consider

• Toledo has been the stronger team recently, covering the spread in 5 of their last 6 games and winning 4 of those outright[3]. Bowling Green is under .500 and has a losing conference record.
• This is the 90th meeting between these teams. Historical H2H leans toward Toledo in recent years, but detailed recent results and trends are not available in search results[2].
• No injury information is available in the search results.
• No major external factors (weather, schedule quirks, etc.) are reported in the available data.
• Toledo is in contention for the MAC title race and needs to avoid upsets; Bowling Green is desperate for their first conference win.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Toledo is the better team on paper and in recent form, but the spread is significant; the under looks attractive with both teams likely to prioritize controlling the ball.

Predicted Score: Toledo 24, Bowling Green 13

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