Match Analysis: Tobiasz Le vs Alfan Rocher-Labes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: KSW 111 event (exact venue unspecified)
Game Overview
The Bantamweight prelims fight features Tobiasz Le vs. Alfan Rocher-Labes at KSW 111 on October 18, 2025. Both fighters weigh 136 lbs (62 kg). Rocher-Labes is 28 years old with a 178 cm reach and height; Le is 31 years old with 173 cm reach and height. Rocher-Labes holds an 11-4 record, Le 5-2, with only Rocher-Labes having submission wins.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rocher-Labes has 11 wins (4 submissions, 1 KO/TKO, 5 decisions) and 4 losses, showing well-rounded skills especially in submissions. Tobiasz Le has 5 wins (4 KO/TKO, 1 decision) and 2 losses, favoring striking and knockout power but no submission victories. Rocher-Labes has greater experience and slightly better defensive grappling.
- No documented prior head-to-head encounters between these fighters.
- No publicly available information indicating injuries for either fighter before the bout.
- The fight is a KSW prelim bantamweight match with equal last weigh-ins, no venue advantage apparent. No notable external factors affecting performance identified.
- Rocher-Labes’ larger record and submission skill set may motivate him to dominate ground exchanges; Le’s knockout power drives him to end the fight standing. Both fighters appear motivated given the stage and weight category.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Alfan Rocher-Labes: -135, Tobiasz Le: -105 | Alfan Rocher-Labes | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Not explicitly provided; typical MMA O/U rounds is around 2.5 to 3 rounds | Under 2.5 rounds favored given wresting/decision tendencies | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tobiasz Le 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Tobiasz Le at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Alfan Rocher-Labes is favored to win by decision or submission, leveraging superior experience and grappling; however, Tobiasz Le’s knockout power and aggressive striking could lead to an upset if he connects early.
Predicted Score: Alfan Rocher-Labes wins by unanimous decision or late submission in round 3 or 4