Match Analysis: Timothy Cuamba vs Chang Ho Lee – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-01
• Time: 10:15 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

The fight features Timothy Cuamba, known for his explosive striking and KO power with 5 stoppage wins, against Chang Ho Lee, a pressure wrestler with a 5-fight win streak, strong ground control, and excellent cardio. Cuamba excels in striking creativity and countering pressure, while Lee's wrestling aims to control the pace on the ground.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cuamba is 3-2 in his last five, highlighted by powerful KO wins and the ability to finish fights early. Lee has won his last 5 fights consecutively, displaying strong wrestling dominance and pressure, leveraging consistent ground control.
• No known previous head-to-head matches. Styles suggest a striker (Cuamba) versus wrestler (Lee) matchup, with contrasting strengths likely deciding the fight dynamics.
• No recent injuries or weight issues reported for either fighter. Lee’s opponent in a previous fight missed weight, but Lee came in properly for this bout.
• The fight takes place at UFC Apex, a familiar venue for both fighters which likely minimizes environmental factors. Betting odds show some market confidence in both fighters, with slight odds advantage towards Cuamba on the moneyline but Lee favored on the spread.
• Cuamba seeks to extend his UFC success with highlight finishes and validate his striking credentials. Lee aims to maintain his winning streak and solidify his position using his wrestling pressure, with high motivation to control the fight and execute a ground-heavy game plan.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -118, away: -102	Chang Ho Lee	★★★☆☆ 57%
Spread	home: 165, away: -230	Chang Ho Lee +3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over: -200, under: 154	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Chang Ho Lee 7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Chang Ho Lee at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chang Ho Lee to win by decision

Predicted Score: Chang Ho Lee wins by decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Timothy Cuamba vs Roberto Romero – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 26, 2025
• Time: 10:45 PM UTC
• Location: T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, Missouri, United States

Game Overview

Featherweight prelims bout between two fighters looking for their first UFC win. Romero (8-4-1) enters as a slight favorite against Cuamba (8-3), who is 0-2 in UFC fights. Expect a technical striking battle between evenly matched competitors with similar physical attributes.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cuamba is 0-2 in UFC (decision losses), showing defensive holes while absorbing 60+ strikes in both fights[5]. Romero went 1-1 in Dana White's Contender Series before UFC debut loss[3].
• First professional meeting between the fighters[2].
• No reported injuries pre-fight[3].
• Event occurs at standard elevation in Kansas City. Romero has more regional experience against Mexican competition[1][3].
• High stakes for both – potential roster cuts loom for fighters who start 0-3 (Cuamba) or 0-2 (Romero) in UFC[3][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Romero -135 / Cuamba +115	Romero ML	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over 2.5 (-245) / Under 2.5 (+195)	Over 2.5 Rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Roberto Romero 16%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Roberto Romero at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Romero via decision (55-45% edge) due to slightly superior composure under pressure and cleaner striking output. Cuamba's UFC experience against higher-caliber competition could surprise, but his defensive liabilities (60+ strikes absorbed in both UFC fights) make him vulnerable[5][3].

Predicted Score: Romero via Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)