Match Analysis: Thomas Gantt vs Adam Livingston – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-17
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, USA
Game Overview
The lightweight bout between Thomas Gantt and Adam Livingston is part of Dana White's Contender Series Week 6. Gantt holds a 4-0 undefeated record with a perfect KO rate and is favored on the moneyline. Livingston, meanwhile, is undefeated 3-0 with a diverse finishing ability, noted for his power and knockout threat. Both fighters have never faced each other before, with contrasting fighting styles and respective strengths in wrestling/grappling (Gantt) and explosive striking power (Livingston).
Key Factors to Consider
- Thomas Gantt has a 4-0 record, all wins by KO, demonstrating strong finishing ability primarily by ground and pound. Adam Livingston is 3-0 with 2 KOs and 1 decision, showing a mix of striking and endurance. Gantt's wrestling background gives him an edge in grappling control and takedown success, though Livingston's power makes him dangerous standing.
- This is their first meeting; no previous head-to-head data is available.
- No injury information available for either fighter prior to the match.
- Venue is UFC Apex in Las Vegas, which is neutral ground for both fighters. No reported external factors such as travel stress or recent fights impacting performance.
- Both fighters are looking to advance their careers on Dana White's Contender Series, with strong motivation to win for UFC contract consideration. Gantt appears confident with his grappling and finishing style while Livingston aims to capitalize on his knockout power.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Adam_Livingston: 142, Thomas_Gantt: -176 | Thomas Gantt | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Spread | Thomas_Gantt_-1.5: -120, Adam_Livingston_+1.5: 100 | Thomas Gantt -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
| Over/under | over_1.5_rounds: 110, under_1.5_rounds: -130 | Over 1.5 Rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Thomas Gantt 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Thomas Gantt at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Thomas Gantt is predicted to win by a ground and pound TKO or KO, leveraging his wrestling credentials and ability to handle Livingston's power early before taking momentum on the ground.
Predicted Score: Thomas Gantt wins by TKO in Round 2